Stan Wawrinka vs. Hamad Medjedovic Prediction, Odds & Best Bets (Open Occitanie 2026, Round of 32, February 3)

Stan Wawrinka vs. Hamad Medjedovic Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & How to Watch

Wild card Stan Wawrinka opens his Open Occitanie 2026 campaign against Hamad Medjedovic in Montpellier, with the winner set to face top seed and defending champion Felix Auger-Aliassime. While this is a first-round matchup on paper, the stakes are elevated given the surface and the looming Round of 16 test.

Wawrinka, ranked world No. 139, comes in off a third-round run at the Australian Open and continues what he has already confirmed will be his final season on tour. His 2025 stats highlight baseline competitiveness with 69% first-serve points won, 27% first-serve return points won, and a 34% break-point conversion rate. However, the lack of deep runs since Umag 2023 and a declining ability to absorb pace indoors remain persistent concerns.

You’re a legend Stan Wawrinka 🇨🇭

40 years old
20th Australian Open
2014 Australian Open Champion

One legendary backhand 🔥

pic.twitter.com/l7SXxoJKhC
— Barstool Tennis (@StoolTennis) January 24, 2026

Medjedovic, ranked world No. 90, represents the higher-upside but higher-variance profile. The Serb fired 256 aces in 2025, backed by 73% first-serve points won and a slightly stronger 36% break-point conversion rate. While consistency has been an issue, his indoor credentials include a finals run in Marseille and quarterfinal runs in Mallorca and Winston-Salem. The market reflects this contrast clearly, pricing Medjedovic as the favorite while respecting Wawrinka’s experience.

For today’s tennis picks, here’s how we’re betting on Stan Wawrinka vs. Hamad Medjedovic today, including our Best Bet, supporting angles, and a set-score prop for bigger prices.

Tournament & Round: Open Occitanie, First Round (R32)
Surface: Indoor Hard Court
Format: Best of Three Sets
Date & Start Time: February 3
Court: Arena Montpellier, Montpellier, France

Best Bet: Over 2.5 Sets (+120, BetMGM)

Book: Best price at BetMGM

Our best bet for Stan Wawrinka vs. Hamad Medjedovic is Over 2.5 Sets (+120, BetMGM).

Stan Wawrinka vs. Hamad Medjedovic Odds

Given below are the latest odds for Stan Wawrinka vs. Hamad Medjedovic from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap, and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.

Market	FanDuel	BetMGM
Moneyline	–	Medjedovic -167 / Wawrinka +125
Game Handicap	–	Wawrinka -1.5 (+105) / Medjedovic +1.5 (-125)
Total Games	–	Over 23.5 (-110) / Under 23.5 (-121)
Set Betting	–	Wawrinka 2-0 (+290) / Medjedovic 2-0 (+160)
Total Sets	–	Over 2.5 (+120) / Under 2.5 (-163)

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Stan Wawrinka vs. Hamad Medjedovic Prediction & Picks

Our Pick: Over 2.5 Sets (+120, BetMGM)

BetMGM’s pricing frames this matchup as a serve-dominant match, which aligns closely with the statistical resumes. Medjedovic’s edge on serve is meaningful, but Wawrinka’s return stats remain competitive enough to prevent this from being a straight-set match.

The Over 2.5 Sets at +120 stands out as the most efficient price. Both players posted break-point conversion rates above 34% in 2025, suggesting swings in set control rather than sustained dominance. Indoors, where Medjedovic’s serve plays up and Wawrinka’s experience still holds value, the probability of split sets is higher.

From a risk standpoint, moneyline exposure on either side is inefficient. Medjedovic’s inconsistency caps confidence as a favorite, while Wawrinka’s physical ceiling limits his upside as a plus-money underdog. The total-set market absorbs this uncertainty.

Stan Wawrinka Recent Form

Shanghai – R128
Basel – R16
Bratislava – R16
Hellenic – R16
Australian Open – Third Round

40 year old Stan Wawrinka comes back from 2 -1 down to win a 5th set tiebreak..

The Last dance in Melbourne 👏pic.twitter.com/HqLXECAxzf
— SK (@Djoko_UTD) January 22, 2026

Hamad Medjedovic Recent Form

Almaty – R32
Vienna – R32
Paris Masters – Qualifiers
Auckland – R16
Australian Open – Second Round

Hamad Medjedovic gets another fantastic win, beats #8 Daniil Medvedev 6-3, 6-2 to reach the final in Marseille.

2nd career ATP final, both on indoor hardcourts pic.twitter.com/LCuyafcXMi
— José Morgado (@josemorgado) February 15, 2025

Head-to-Head History

Stan Wawrinka and Hamad Medjedovic do not have a head-to-head record yet.

Final Score Prediction & Set-Betting Prop

Projection: Hamad Medjedovic wins in three sets.

Higher Variance Set Bet: Medjedovic 2-1 (+260, BetMGM). Given that this is a high-risk bet, it is advised to use this as a secondary angle and not the primary bet.

How can I watch Stan Wawrinka vs. Hamad Medjedovic on TV and live stream?

TV broadcasters for the 2026 Open Occitanie include Ziggo Sport (Netherlands); regional broadcasters such as Tennis Channel (USA), Eurosport France, TSN+ (Canada), Amazon Prime Video (UK), and beIN Sports Australia are also listed for ATP Tour 250 events, including this tournament.

Streaming options vary by region and often require subscriptions. Live streaming is available on Tennis TV (official ATP streaming worldwide) and ATP Tour TV (ATP’s official streaming platforms).

Match	Stan Wawrinka vs. Hamad Medjedovic
Date	February 3, 2026
Start Time	TBD
Tournament	Open Occitanie 2026
Event Type	Men’s Singles (ATP 250)
Surface	Indoor Hard Court
Court	Arena Montpellier, Montpellier, France
TV Coverage	Tennis Channel (US), Eurosport (Europe), beIN Sports (select regions), and local rights holders (coverage varies by country)
Live Streaming	Tennis TV (official ATP streaming worldwide) and ATP Tour TV (ATP’s official streaming platforms)

Mandatory Image Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images

Rudra Dubey

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I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.