Novak Djokovic vs. Pedro Martinez Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & How to Watch
Fourth seed Novak Djokovic will open his 2026 Australian Open campaign against Pedro Martinez in the first round. Even with the age curve, at 38, Djokovic’s 2025 stats still sat at elite major-winning levels. He won titles in Geneva and Hellenic, made the Miami final, and made semifinal runs at every Grand Slam. Stat-wise, he had 77% first-serve points won, 32% first-serve return points won, and 42% break-point conversion.
Martinez comes in ranked No. 71, with a 2025 season mostly defined by early exits, aside from a few spikes (Argentina semifinal, Rotterdam/Bucharest quarterfinals, and a career-best Wimbledon third round). But the 2025 statistical profile is where this match becomes difficult for him on hard courts. He had just 38 aces, 62% first-serve points won, and a modest 27% first-serve return points won.
The betting odds clearly indicate world No. 4’s win. But there’s a risk factor as well that Djokovic is playing his first match of the year after a season that included injury interruptions.
For today’s tennis picks, here’s how we’re betting on Novak Djokovic vs. Pedro Martinez today, including our Best Bet, supporting angles, and a set-score prop for bigger prices.
Tournament & Round: Australian Open, First Round
Surface: Outdoor Hard Court
Format: Best of Five Sets
Date & Start Time: January 19, Not before 8:10 PM AEDT Local Time
Court: Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne, Australia
Best Bet: Novak Djokovic -8.5 Games (-132, FanDuel)
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Novak Djokovic vs. Pedro Martinez Odds
Given below are the latest odds for Novak Djokovic vs. Pedro Martinez from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.
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Novak Djokovic vs. Pedro Martinez Prediction & Picks
Our Pick: Novak Djokovic -8.5 Games (-132, FanDuel)
Djokovic’s moneyline is correctly untouchable from a betting efficiency standpoint. At -4500, the implied probability is so extreme that you’re basically paying full freight for a result that still contains natural best-of-five randomness. The value conversation here is strictly about margin and match length.
The cleanest angle is backing Djokovic to create separation on return. While Martinez is likely to play a high percentage of second-serve points, with only 62% first-serve points won and low ace volume (38 total in 2025). That’s a bad math problem over three sets. Djokovic’s own 2025 return stats (32% first-serve return points won) say that Martinez might face sustained break chances.
The -8.5 games (-132) line is the best price-efficient exposure because it doesn’t require a perfect 3-0 script like the set bet does. The obvious risk is that it’s Djokovic’s first match of the season and he did deal with injuries in 2025.
21+ and present in AZ/CO/CT/IA/IL/IN/KS/LA (permitted parishes only) /MA/MD/MI/NJ/NY/OH/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY. Minimum $10 first deposit required. Promotion Bonus will be credited to your account within 72 hours settlement of Qualifying Wager. First online real money wager only (minimum $5). Bonus issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets that expires in 14 days. Bonus bets and NFL Sunday Ticket code will be issued within 72 hours of bet placement. See full terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com.
Novak Djokovic Recent Form
French Open – Semifinal
Wimbledon – Semifinal
US Open – Semifinal
Shanghai – Semifinal
Hellenic – Title
Did Novak Djokovic win the point of the year already?
Novak Djokovic and Pedro Martinez do not have a head-to-head record yet.
Final Score Prediction & Set-Betting Prop
Projection: Novak Djokovic wins in straight sets.
Higher Variance Set Prop: Novak Djokovic 3-0 (-260, FanDuel). This is the direct bet on a routine straight-sets outcome, but it carries more volatility than the spread. Thus, it is recommended to use this as a secondary bet, rather than a primary one.
How can I watch Novak Djokovic vs. Pedro Martinez on TV and live stream?
TV broadcasters for the 2026 Australian Open include ESPN and ESPN2 in the United States, TNT Sports in the United Kingdom, Channel 9 Network in Australia, Eurosport across Europe, beIN Sports in the Middle East and North Africa, and TSN/RDS in Canada, with streaming on 9NOW for Australian viewers.
Streaming options vary by region and often require subscriptions. Viewers can access full coverage via ESPN+ (USA, all courts/multiview), Discovery+ (UK/Europe), Stan Sport (Australia), and global platforms like Tennis TV for select ATP matches on devices worldwide.
Match
Novak Djokovic vs. Pedro Martinez
Date
January 19, 2026
Start Time
Not before 8:10 PM AEDT
Tournament
Australian Open 2026
Event Type
Men’s Singles (Grand Slam)
Surface
Outdoor Hard Court
Court
Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne Park, Melbourne, Australia
I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.
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