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Karen Khachanov vs. Jenson Brooksby Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & How to Watch
Seventh seed Karen Khachanov advances to the second round in Dubai after a three-set win over Alexander Shevchenko, setting up a clash with Jenson Brooksby, who moved through Zizou Bergs.
Khachanov, ranked No. 16, has been uneven early in 2026. A Doha quarterfinal run stabilized his form after early exits in Hong Kong, Melbourne, and Rotterdam. His 2025 run shows the ceiling still exists with finals in Toronto (singles) and Hong Kong (doubles), a Wimbledon quarterfinal, among other deep runs. Statistically, he remains reliable with 74% first-serve points won with steady return pressure (28%) and a strong 40% break-point conversion across high volume.
Brooksby, ranked No. 46, is still in a re-entry phase. After wrist surgeries and a long ban, 2025 was about rebuilding rhythm, and 2026 results so far reflect volatility more than progress. While his return numbers (30% first-serve return points won) remain competitive, his serve lacks the free-point buffer needed on faster courts.
For today’s tennis picks, here’s how we’re betting on Karen Khachanov vs. Jenson Brooksby today, including our Best Bet, supporting angles, and a set-score prop for bigger prices.
Best Bet: Karen Khachanov -2.5 Games (-132, FanDuel)
Book: Best price at FanDuel
Our best bet for Karen Khachanov vs. Jenson Brooksby is Karen Khachanov -2.5 Games (-132, FanDuel).
Given below are the latest odds for Karen Khachanov vs. Jenson Brooksby from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap, and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.
| Market | FanDuel | BetMGM |
| Moneyline | Khachanov -205 / Brooksby +166 | Khachanov -182 / Brooksby +175 |
| Game Handicap | Khachanov -2.5 (-132) / Brooksby +2.5 (-102) | Khachanov -2.5 (-143) / Brooksby +2.5 (+105) |
| Total Games (22.5) | Over (-110) / Under (-122) | Over (-118) / Under (-111) |
| Set Betting | Khachanov 2-0 (+120) / Brooksby 2-0 (+360) | Khachanov 2-0 (+108) / Brooksby 2-0 (+360) |
| Total Sets (2.5) | Over (+130) / Under (-176) | Over (+135) / Under (-220) |
Our Pick: Karen Khachanov -2.5 Games (-132, FanDuel)
The pricing suggests respect for Brooksby’s return craft, but the surface and recent match data tilt this toward Khachanov controlling. Khachanov’s serve stats with 391 aces in 2025 with a solid first-serve win rate should hold up well against the returner. Over sustained games, that favors the player who can shorten points when needed.
The -2.5 game handicap at FanDuel is the most efficient expression of that edge. It captures Khachanov’s likelihood of winning in straight sets or a tight three-set match where he wins the key games. Compared to the 2-0 set price, it also offers protection against a single momentum swing or late-set wobble, important given Khachanov’s three-set opener in round one.
Karen Khachanov and Jenson Brooksby are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head, including their most recent Cincinnati meeting with Khachanov’s win.
| Year | Winner | Event | Round | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Karen Khachanov | Cincinnati | Round of 32 | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 2022 | Jenson Brooksby | Indian Wells | Round of 64 | 6-0, 6-3 |
Projection: Karen Khachanov wins in straight sets.
Higher Variance Set Bet: Karen Khachanov 2-0 Sets (+120, FanDuel). Given that this is a higher-risk bet, it would be recommended to use this as a secondary angle.
TV broadcasters for the 2026 Dubai Tennis Championships include Tennis Channel (USA, Spain, and India), TSN / TVA (Canada), Sky Sports (UK & Ireland and much of Europe), and beIN Sports / DAZN (Middle East, Australia, France, and Europe).
Streaming options vary by region and often require subscriptions. Live streaming is available on Tennis TV (official ATP/WTA streaming platform), beIN CONNECT (Middle East/Asia), ESPN+ (some regions), Sky Go/NOW TV, the DAZN app, the TSN app, and Tennis Channel Plus.
| Match | Karen Khachanov vs. Jenson Brooksby |
| Date | February 25, 2026 |
| Start Time | Not Before 2:00 PM GST Local Time |
| Tournament | Dubai Tennis Championships 2026 |
| Event Type | Men’s Singles (ATP 500) |
| Surface | Outdoor Hard Court |
| Court | Aviation Club Tennis Centre, Dubai, UAE |
| TV Coverage | Tennis Channel (USA, Spain, India), TSN / TVA (Canada), Sky Sports (UK & Ireland and much of Europe), beIN Sports / DAZN (Middle East, Australia, France, Europe) |
| Live Streaming | Tennis TV (official ATP/WTA streaming platform), beIN CONNECT (Middle East/Asia), ESPN+ (some regions ), streaming platforms of Sky Go / NOW TV, DAZN app, TSN app, Tennis Channel Plus. |
Mandatory Image Credit: Aaron Doster-Imagn Images
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