Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & How to Watch
Sixth seed Alex de Minaur meets Hamad Medjedovic in the second round of the 2026 Australian Open in Melbourne, and the market has this priced as a clear favorite spot for the Aussie. De Minaur comes in as world No. 6 after a straight-sets win over lucky loser Mackenzie McDonald, while Medjedovic advanced with a four-set win over Mariano Navone.
This matchup is baseline pressure vs. power-serving variance, and de Minaur’s 2025 run fits it cleanly. He finished the year with 309 aces, won 73% of first-serve points, and posted an elite 32% first-serve return points won, while converting 43% of break points across 597 chances. Medjedovic, currently ranked No. 90, is dangerous on serve himself (256 aces, 73% first-serve points won), but his return and conversion numbers trail behind, with 28% first-serve return points won and 36% break conversion.
Just listen to that crowd 🔊🇦🇺
Home favorite Alex de Minaur is through to the second round after taking out McDonald 6-2, 6-2, 6-3 🫡#AO26pic.twitter.com/Otmodm8Ekg
In best-of-five, the difference is likely to appear as rallies extend and return games pressure. Medjedovic can create hold streaks if his first serve stays hot, but he’s also coming off a four-set match in Round 1. If de Minaur controls the neutral rallies and keeps forcing Medjedovic to hit through the court repeatedly, this one should tilt toward a comfortable win rather than a marathon.
For today’s tennis picks, here’s how we’re betting on Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic today, including our Best Bet, supporting angles, and a set-score prop for bigger prices.
Tournament & Round: Australian Open, Second Round (R64)
Surface: Outdoor Hard Court
Format: Best of Five Sets
Date & Start Time: January 21, Not before 7:00 PM AEDT Local Time
Court: John Cain Arena, Melbourne, Australia
Best Bet: Alex de Minaur -6.5 Games (-126, FanDuel)
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Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic Odds
Given below are the latest odds for Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap, and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.
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Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic Prediction & Picks
Our Pick: Alex de Minaur -6.5 Games (-126, FanDuel)
The moneyline is playable only in parlays, but from a pricing perspective, it doesn’t offer standalone efficiency at -630. The sharper way to approach this matchup is through the handicap because the edge is more about how the Aussie can force return games.
De Minaur’s return stats are the cleanest indicator in this spot. And once rallies start, he’s far more likely to win the extra-ball exchanges that decide whether this becomes a tight four-setter or a match that quietly ends.
Medjedovic’s serve is legitimate, and the reason this handicap isn’t risk-free is that he can create pockets of hold stability. He already had multiple retirements last season, and he’s coming off a four-set match in Round 1. Against a grinder like de Minaur, physical durability and concentration matter almost as much as raw power.
21+ and present in AZ/CO/CT/IA/IL/IN/KS/LA (permitted parishes only) /MA/MD/MI/NJ/NY/OH/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY. Minimum $10 first deposit required. Promotion Bonus will be credited to your account within 72 hours settlement of Qualifying Wager. First online real money wager only (minimum $5). Bonus issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets that expires in 14 days. Bonus bets and NFL Sunday Ticket code will be issued within 72 hours of bet placement. See full terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com.
Alex de Minaur Recent Form
Beijing – Semifinal
Shanghai Masters – Quarterfinal
Vienna – Semifinal
Paris Masters – Quarterfinal
ATP Finals – Group Stage
de Minaur d. McDonald 6-2 6-2 6-3 at the Australian Open
Great start for Alex
The #1 Australian was showing off in front of his home crowd.
Moving lightning quick around the court and looking determined to make another deep run.
Alex de Minaur and Hamad Medjedovic do not have a head-to-head yet.
Final Score Prediction & Set-Betting Prop
Projection: Alex de Minaur wins in four sets.
Higher Variance Set Prop: Alex de Minaur 3-0 (+100, FanDuel). Given that this is a higher-variance bet, it is better to use this as a secondary option and not the primary option.
How can I watch Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic on TV and live stream?
TV broadcasters for the 2026 Australian Open include ESPN and ESPN2 in the United States, TNT Sports in the United Kingdom, Channel 9 Network in Australia, Eurosport across Europe, beIN Sports in the Middle East and North Africa, and TSN/RDS in Canada, with streaming on 9NOW for Australian viewers.
Streaming options vary by region and often require subscriptions. Viewers can access full coverage via ESPN+ (USA, all courts/multiview), Discovery+ (UK/Europe), Stan Sport (Australia), and global platforms like Tennis TV for select ATP matches on devices worldwide.
Match
Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic
Date
January 21, 2026
Start Time
Not before 7:00 PM AEDT
Tournament
Australian Open 2026
Event Type
Men’s Singles (Grand Slam)
Surface
Outdoor Hard Court
Court
John Cain Arena, Melbourne Park, Melbourne, Australia
I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.
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