Sunderland will welcome Liverpool at the Stadium of Light on Wednesday, February 11, 2026. The Premier League clash carries significant implications for both sides’ European ambitions. The promoted Black Cats are the only top-flight team unbeaten at home this season.
Meanwhile reigning champions Liverpool are struggling for consistency. After a horrible run of form, they have slipped to sixth position in the league table. Just over two months ago, these sides shared a 1-1 draw at Anfield. Now recent trends suggest another tight contest.
You can find more of our soccer predictions on our main picks hub. Here’s how we’re betting Sunderland vs Liverpool tonight, including our Best Bet, a Same-Game Parlay, and key trends to know.
Sunderland vs Liverpool Match Details
Competition: Premier League
Date & kickoff: Wednesday, February 11, 2026 – 3:15 PM ET / 8:315 PM GT
Venue: Stadium of Light, Sunderland, England
Expected XIs: Sunderland 4-2-3-1 vs Liverpool 4-2-3-1
Best Bet for Sunderland vs Liverpool
Our best bet for Sunderland vs Liverpool is Both Teams to Score: Yes at -140 (BetMGM) / -134 (FanDuel).
Liverpool have conceded 21 goals in their 12 Premier League away matches this season. This defensive return is worse than several current bottom-half clubs. They have also allowed four 90th-minute winners in league play. Across their last seven league fixtures, they have managed just one win.
But they have still generated regular scoring opportunities through wide rotations and transitional attacks. Meanwhile, Sunderland have claimed 26 of their 36 total points at home (72.2%). They’re also boasting a 12-game unbeaten league run at the Stadium of Light. Brian Brobbey has scored three of his five league goals on home soil.
Chemsdine Talbi has also netted in the reverse fixture at Anfield. Liverpool’s front line consisting of Mohamed Salah, Florian Wirtz, Cody Gakpo and Hugo Ekitike, are producing volume chances despite fluctuating finishing efficiency. Even during Salah’s goal drought since early November, Liverpool have averaged multiple big chances per game. But considering their defensive frailties, the pick seems probable.
Sunderland vs Liverpool Prediction
Our pick: Match to Draw at -275 (BetMGM) / -290 (FanDuel)
Liverpool’s recent form has dropped drastically. The reverse fixture also finished by a 1-1 draw at Liverpool’s own home. Sunderland are sitting in 11th place in the league table. But they’re only three points behind Liverpool in sixth. They have been inconsistent, fluctuating between wins and losses across their last five league outings.
Meanwhile, Liverpool have recorded just one win in their last seven Premier League matches. They’ve registered four draws and two defeats in the rest of the six games. The Reds have conceded multiple goals in the stoppage time. This inability to close games has cost them valuable points. On the road, the Reds have won only twice in their last 10 league games (three draws, five losses).
Sunderland have usually struggled in this fixture in past fixtures. They’ve gone winless in 11 consecutive league meetings with Liverpool. However, their current home resilience combined with Liverpool’s away inconsistency says that it could be a level game between these two teams, with a possibility of a draw.
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Same-Game Parlay (Bet Builder) for Sunderland vs Liverpool
Bet $100 to Win $164.89 (FanDuel) Total Goals Over 1.5 (-420) + BTTS: Yes (-134) + Hugo Ekitike to Score or Assist (-125)
Over 1.5 goals is supported by consistent multi-goal trends in both teams’ recent fixtures. Liverpool’s matches have frequently crossed that threshold due to their aggressive pressing structure. Their high defensive line also contributes to the factor. It creates both scoring and conceding opportunities.
Sunderland’s home games have similarly produced open sequences, particularly when facing top-six opposition. Both teams’ have the ability to generate scoring phases, so the BTTS: Yes pick seems probable. The final leg focuses on Hugo Ekitike’s involvement.
Although Ekitike has scored only once in his last six league appearances, his shot volume and xG participation is strong amongst his teammates. With Szoboszlai suspended, creative responsibility shifts further toward Liverpool’s front four. This increases Ekitike’s likelihood of direct contribution.
Over 1.5 goals remains a low-risk anchor given both clubs’ defensive metrics. BTTS aligns with Liverpool’s away concession rate, their defensive frailties, and Sunderland’s home output. Upgrading Ekitike to an anytime scorer increases payout while remaining justifiable through his central role in Liverpool’s attack and xG accumulation.
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Over 2.5: -140 / Under 2.5: +100 Over 3.5: +180 / Under 3.5: -250
Over 2.5: -130 / Under 2.5: +106 Over 3.5: +205 / Under 3.5: -250
BTTS
Yes: -140 / No: -102
Yes: -138 / No: +108
Asian Handicap
Sunderland +1.25: -208 Liverpool -1.25: +160 / -1.50: +195
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Draw No Bet
Sunderland: +210 Liverpool: -300
Sunderland: +250 Liverpool: -320
Double Chance
Sunderland or Draw: +100 Liverpool or Draw: -475
Sunderland or Draw: +105 Liverpool or Draw: -500
Trends to Know for Sunderland vs Liverpool
Reverse Fixture: The 1-1 draw at Anfield in December demonstrated Sunderland’s capacity to disrupt Liverpool’s possession structure.
Home Dominance: Sunderland are unbeaten in 12 Premier League home matches this season, collecting 72.2% of their total points at the Stadium of Light.
Away Struggles: Liverpool have won just two of their last 10 league away games and conceded 21 times in 12 road fixtures.
Late-Game Issues: The Reds have allowed four 90th-minute winners this season, indicating defensive fragility under pressure.
Head-to-Head Context: Sunderland are winless in 11 straight league meetings with Liverpool, though they have won three of their last five home matches against reigning champions historically.
European Stakes: Only three points separate ninth-placed Sunderland from sixth-placed Liverpool, amplifying competitive intensity.
Latest Injuries & Lineup News for Sunderland vs Liverpool
In soccer, injuries and rotations can drastically alter how a match plays out, especially when it comes to BTTS, totals, and goalscorer markets. Navigating through a few key injuries in this clash, both coaches will look to lineup their strongest XI. Here are the players who are either doubtful or are set to miss out:
Team
Player
Status
Notes
Sunderland
Granit Xhaka
Out
Ankle
Sunderland
Jocelin Ta Bi
Out
Ankle
Sunderland
Bertrand Traore
Out
Knee
Liverpool
Alexander Isak
Out
Leg
Liverpool
Jeremie Frimpong
Out
Thigh
Liverpool
Conor Bradley
Out
Knee
Liverpool
Giovanni Leoni
Out
Knee
Liverpool
Joe Gomez
Out
Hip
Liverpool
Dominik Szoboszlai
Out
Suspension
Reminder: Always check confirmed lineups 60–75 minutes before kickoff, especially for goalscorer and BTTS markets.
How to watch – quick Q&A
What time is Sunderland vs Liverpool?
Sunderland vs Liverpool kicks off at 3:15 PM ET on Wednesday, February 11, 2026 (8:15 PM local UK time).
Where is the match being played?
The match will be played at the Stadium of Light in Sunderland, England.
How can I watch on TV / stream?
Broadcast rights vary by territory. In the US, the Premier League can be telecast on Peacock and Universo. The match will be telecast on TNT Sports in the UK. The match will also be available to stream on these broadcasters’ official websites.
Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.
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