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Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins Predictions, Odds, and Best Bets for Week 15 MNF 2025-26 NFL Season

Eric Divakaran

The Pittsburgh Steelers host the Miami Dolphins for an exciting Monday Night Football matchup for Week 15. This Steelers vs Dolphins matchup features two teams on different paths, with the Steelers trying to hold on to the top spot and knock off the Ravens from the playoffs to secure themselves a playoff push, and the Dolphins more or less done for the season with only 1% chance to make the playoffs.

Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers need to do everything in power to beat the Dolphins who are surprisingly on a four-game win streak even with all the injuries to their roster. It’s an AFC North vs AFC East matchup telecasted live on 8:15 p.m. ET for MNF.

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Recommended Bets and Updated Odds

Recommended BetsFanDuelBetMGM
Tua Tagovailoa over 0.5 player interceptions -102-115
Aaron Rodgers over 31.5 passing attempts-113-120
Jaylen Warren over 13.5 rushing attempts-125-120

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Rationale and Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa has been turnover prone this season throwing at least one interception in 8 games this season. He’s tallied 14 total interceptions this season and is tied with his career-worst of 14, which he posted two seasons ago. The Steelers have totaled 11 interceptions this season and has thrived off of it, even though their pass defense is the worst in the league. He’s has thrown 4 picks in the last 5 games and the chances of him throwing another pick is quite high in this game.

Aaron Rodgers has 5 games over 31.5 pass attempts this season and is coming off a 34 attempts game against the Ravens last week in a win. While the Steelers’ offense has had its share of struggles, they rank 22nd on the list in passing offense compared to their rushing which stands at 29th. The Dolphins allow 207.5 yards a game and with the game being extremely important for the Steelers, expect Rodgers to go have a high volume of passes in this game.

Jaylen Warren over 13.5 attempts is a great bet as he’s had 6 of 12 games over this threshold. The Dolphins are one of the worst rush defense teams in the NFL and allow 142.6 yards per contest. While the Steelers do not have a run-heavy offense, the Dolphins’ significant hole in their rushing defense makes us believe that Steelers could use a run-heavy approach using Warren, potentially crossing 13.5 attempts.

Steelers vs Dolphins Prediction

We expect the Miami Dolphins to pull off an upset and get a win against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Dolphins have pulled off four straight wins in their last 4 and, including an impressive win against the Bills. They have found ways to win despite multiple injuries to their players. And looking at the Steelers’ 3-5 record in their last 8 games, we expect the Dolphins to win.

Prediction: Dolphins win 24-20 and pull off an upset

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Week 15 Steelers vs Dolphins Spread and Betting Odds

Looking at the spread and the moneyline, the Steelers are the slight favorites to win against the Dolphins, as per BetMGM.

TeamsSpreadTotal PointsMoneyline
Dolphins+3 (-105)41.5 (-110)+140
Steelers-3 (-115)41.5 (-110)-165

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Steelers vs Dolphins Best Bets

Here are over/under odds and best player bets for the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Miami Dolphins as per BetMGM.

Pittsburgh Steelers Over/Under Odds

Listed below are over/under odds for the Pittsburgh Steelers, as per BetMGM.

Over/Under BetsOverUnder
Jaylen Warren rushing attempts13.5 (-120)13.5 (-110)
DK Metcalf receptions made 4.5 (+100)4.5 (-135)
Aaron Rodgers passing TDs 1.5 (+100)1.5 (-135)

Pittsburgh Steelers Best Player Bets

Here are some of the best player bets for the Pittsburgh Steelers, as per BetMGM.

  • Jaylen Warren anytime TD scorer: -105
  • Aaron Rodgers under 1.5 passing TDs: -135
  • DK Metcalf under 4.5 receptions made: -135

Miami Dolphins Over/Under Odds

Listed below are over/under odds for the Miami Dolphins, as per BetMGM.

Over/Under BetsOverUnder
Jaylen Waddle receptions made4.5 (-150)4.5 (+115)
Tua Tagovailoa passing TDs 1.5 (+170)1.5 (-225)
Tua Tagovailoa pass completions19.5 (+100)19.5 (-135)

Miami Dolphins Best Player Bets

Here are some of the best player bets for the Miami Dolphins, as per BetMGM.

  • Tua Tagovailoa under 1.5 passing touchdowns: -225
  • De’Von Achane anytime TD scorer: -125
  • Tua Tagovailoa over 0.5 interceptions thrown: -115

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FAQs

Who is favored to win between the Steelers vs Dolphins?
The Steelers are 3-point favorites to win the matchup against Dolphins.

What is the over/under total for the game?
The over/under for total points is set at 41.5.

What is the predicted score for the Steelers vs Dolphins game?
We expect the Dolphins to take down the Steelers, and the Final score to be 24-20.

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I cover the National Football League and things cannot get better than that. I always dreamed to play football or basketball professionally since I’m built like a Running Back. But now that I can’t, since I’m technically in the “Unc” age, I thought why not pick a career in sports industry? So here I am, doing what I love, and hoping that the Commanders win the Super Bowl. I give love to players when it’s due, but can be critical about their performances at the same time. Enough about me, now let my articles do all the talking. 

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