Serie A’s Sunday night spotlight falls on the Stadio Olimpico on January 25, 2026, as Roma host AC Milan. The clash has direct implications for both the Scudetto race and Champions League qualification. Roma arrive in renewed form after a difficult winter spell, stringing together three straight league wins without conceding.
Whereas, Milan travel south unbeaten in 20 Serie A matches and firmly entrenched in the title hunt. Both sides are sitting among the Italy’s top four spots, contrasting tactical profiles, and recent history leaning toward Milan. This fixture blends urgency, quality, and fine betting margins in one of the weekend’s marquee encounters.
Massimiliano Allegri previews tomorrow's clash in Rome:
You can find more of our soccer predictions on our main picks hub. Here’s how we’re betting Roma vs AC Milan tonight, including our Best Bet, a Same-Game Parlay, and key trends to know.
Roma vs AC Milan Match Details
Competition: Serie A
Date & kickoff: Sunday, January 25, 2026 – 2:45 PM ET / 7:45 PM GT
Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Italy
Expected XIs: Roma 4-2-3-1 vs AC Milan 4-2-3-1
Best Bet for Roma vs AC Milan
Our best bet for Roma vs AC Milan is BTTS: Yes at -185 (BetMGM) / -200 (FanDuel).
The Both Teams to Score market is well supported by recent performance data, tactical matchups, and player availability. Roma’s resurgence has been built on defensive solidity. But their underlying numbers suggest they are not impenetrable. Across their last 10 Serie A matches, Roma have averaged approximately 1.45 expected xGA.
They managed it even while keeping clean sheets in three straight league wins. Their press under Gian Piero Gasperini is aggressive. It can leave space behind the wing-backs against elite wide attackers. Offensively, Roma have scored in eight of their last 10 league games. They’ve generated around 1.60 xG per match in that span.
Paulo Dybala remains the creative hub, averaging over 2.5 key passes per 90 minutes. While new signing Donyell Malen adds direct running and vertical threat. They’re already registering multiple shots on target per 90 minutes since arriving. Milan, meanwhile, have found the net in nine of their last 10 Serie A matches.
They’re also averaging roughly 1.70 xG across those fixtures. While they are structurally disciplined under Max Allegri, they have kept just three clean sheets in their last nine league games. With Rafael Leao, Christian Pulisic, and Matías Soule all capable of decisive moments, Milan carry consistent attacking output even in tighter matches.
Roma vs AC Milan Prediction
Our pick: AC Milan to Win at +165 (BetMGM) / +175 (FanDuel)
Roma’s odds are largely driven by Milan’s remarkable unbeaten run, but situational and performance-based factors make the home side an appealing value play. Roma have won seven of their last nine home matches across all competitions. They conceded just six goals in that stretch.
At the Olimpico, their Serie A home record this season shows an average of 1.85 points per game. That is compared to just under 1.40 away, highlighting a clear venue-dependent uplift. Over their last 10 league matches, Roma’s xG differential sits narrowly positive, around +0.20 per match.
However, that number improves significantly at home, where they limit opponents to fewer than 10 shots per game on average. Their recent 2-0 Europa League win over Stuttgart also suggests effective squad rotation and maintained intensity despite fixture congestion. Milan’s away form, while solid, has been less dominant.
In their last 10 Serie A away matches, they have drawn four times. They also posted an xG below 1.30 in half of those games. Injuries and selection questions in central defense and midfield reduce their margin for error. Especially in a hostile environment. Roma have also shown the ability to rise in high-leverage home fixtures, beating Milan 3-1 at the Olimpico last May.
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Same-Game Parlay (Bet Builder) for Roma vs AC Milan
Bet $100 to Win $1,318.50 (FanDuel) Total Goals Under 2.5 (-158) + Both Teams to Score: Yes (-110) + Matias Soule to Score or Assist (+155)
This parlay reflects the likely texture of a high-stakes Serie A clash. It should be controlled, tactical, and decided by moments rather than volume. Under 2.5 goals has landed in six of Roma’s last eight league matches and seven of Milan’s previous nine.
Both sides are ranking among the top four in shots conceded per game. Pairing that with BTTS captures the expectation that each team converts at least one key opportunity, even if overall chances are limited. Matias Soule’s inclusion adds upside at an attractive price.
The Argentine averages over 0.45 xG+xA per 90 in Serie A and has been particularly effective when Milan play on the counter. He uses his ball-carrying and left-footed delivery from the right flank. Against Roma’s advanced wing-backs, Soule’s ability to exploit transitional space makes him a strong candidate to score or provide the final pass.
This builder leans into the tactical balance expected between two disciplined sides. Roma’s recent clean sheets have come alongside modest attacking volumes. Whereas, Milan’s unbeaten run has featured several narrow-scoreline matches. Under 2.5 goals aligns with both teams’ defensive structures, BTTS reflects their individual quality in decisive moments. And Soule’s involvement is supported by his consistent creative output.
Over 2.5: +110 / Under 2.5: -155 Over 3.5: +270 / Under 3.5: -425
Over 2.5: +116 / Under 2.5: -142 Over 3.5: +310 / Under 3.5: -420
BTTS
Yes: -125 / No: -115
Yes: -118 / No: -108
Asian Handicap
Roma +0.75: -333 AC Milan -0.75: +240 / -1.00: +380
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Draw No Bet
Roma: -125 AC Milan: -110
Roma: -125 AC Milan: +100
Double Chance
Roma or Draw: -250 AC Milan or Draw: -225
Roma or Draw: -260 AC Milan or Draw: -220
Trends to Know for Roma vs AC Milan
Head-to-Head: Milan have won nine of the last 16 Serie A meetings, including the reverse fixture earlier this season.
Recent Rome Meeting: Roma beat Milan 3-1 at the Olimpico last May, exploiting wide areas and set pieces.
Home Form: Roma have won seven of their last nine home games in all competitions, conceding fewer than one goal per match on average.
Milan Consistency: Milan are unbeaten in 20 Serie A matches, the longest active run in the league.
Goals Trend: Under 2.5 goals has landed in the majority of recent matches for both teams, reflecting controlled tempos and strong defensive organization.
How to watch – quick Q&A
What time is Roma vs AC Milan?
Roma vs AC Milan kicks off at 2:45 PM ET on Saturday, January 25, 2026 (7:45 PM local UK time).
Where is the match being played?
The match will be played at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome, Italy.
How can I watch on TV / stream?
Broadcast rights vary by territory. In the US, the Serie A can be telecast on Paramount+. The match will be telecast on TNT Sports 1 and DAZN UK in the UK. The match will also be available to stream on these broadcasters’ official websites.
Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.
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