Real Madrid begin their 2025-26 La Liga campaign with a tricky away test at El Sadar against Osasuna on Tuesday night.
🔥 ¡COMIENZA LA LIGA! 🔥
— Real Madrid C.F. (@realmadrid) August 19, 2025
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Los Blancos finished second last season, four points behind champions Barcelona, while Osasuna secured a solid ninth-place finish. Xabi Alonso’s men arrive with pressure to make a strong statement, especially after bringing in high-profile reinforcements, including Trent Alexander-Arnold and Franco Mastantuono. Meanwhile, Osasuna will be determined to frustrate Real, though their quiet transfer window suggests they may struggle to keep up with Spain’s elite.
| Market | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Over/Under 0.5 Goals | -8000 | +1800 |
| Over/Under 1.5 Goals | -750 | +490 |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | -210 | +168 |
| Over/Under 3.5 Goals | +124 | -152 |
| Over/Under 4.5 Goals | +285 | -375 |
The markets strongly lean towards goals, with over 2.5 priced as a clear favorite. Real Madrid’s attacking strength, boosted by Kylian Mbappé, makes multiple goals highly likely, while Osasuna’s challenge will be containing the visitors.
Here are the number of team goals by both teams according to the BetMGM website
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Real Madrid to Score No Goals | +1200 |
| Real Madrid to Score Exactly 1 Goal | +380 |
| Real Madrid to Score Exactly 2 Goals | +250 |
| Real Madrid to Score Exactly 3 Goals | +290 |
| Real Madrid to Score 4 or More Goals | +220 |
| Osasuna to Score No Goals | -135 |
Real Madrid are heavily fancied to find the net, with odds supporting at least two or more goals from the visitors. On the other side, Osasuna not scoring is the most likely outcome, given their attacking limitations compared to Los Blancos’ defensive depth.
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| No First Half Goals | +210 |
| Exactly 1 First Half Goal | +135 |
| 2 or More First Half Goals | +165 |
The markets anticipate Real Madrid starting strong, with at least one goal before the break being favored. Considering their firepower, a quick breakthrough looks probable, though El Sadar has been a historically tough venue to break down.
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| No First Half Goals | -380 |
| Exactly 1 First Half Goal | +300 |
| 2 or More First Half Goals | +2200 |
Osasuna are expected to struggle early on, with the odds heavily backing them not to score before half-time. Their most realistic scenario is heading into the break goalless, relying on a defensive setup to frustrate Real Madrid.
Here are the correct half-time scores according to the FanDuel website:
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| 1-0 | +210 |
| 2-0 | +440 |
| 2-1 | +1600 |
| 3-0 | +1200 |
| 3-1 | +3500 |
| 3-2 | +10000 |
The markets indicate a controlled first half from Madrid, with 1-0 and 2-0 as the likeliest scorelines. As this is Real Madrid’s first game of the season, a cautious yet controlled performance is expected. Osasuna may sit deep and try to frustrate, but the visitors have too much attacking talent to be kept quiet. Over 2.5 goals looks like strong value given Madrid’s firepower, while backing Real Madrid to score two or more in the first half could also be worth considering. A half-time lead for Los Blancos seems probable, though Osasuna’s home resilience might prevent a total rout.
Real Madrid will be determined to open their La Liga campaign with a statement win, especially with Barcelona already three points ahead. Osasuna’s defensive resolve will be tested early, but Xabi Alonso’s side have the quality to secure a convincing result at El Sadar. A cagey start isn’t out of the question, but Madrid’s attacking depth should eventually prove decisive.
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