Real Madrid begin a new chapter under Xabi Alonso as they face Al-Hilal in their Club World Cup opener at Hard Rock Stadium. Following a trophy-light 2024–25 season, club legend Alonso replaced Carlo Ancelotti very recently. He will aim to revive Los Blancos, who aim for a sixth Club World Cup title.
Meanwhile, Al-Hilal, now led by former Inter Milan boss Simone Inzaghi, hope to surprise the Spanish giants after topping the Saudi Pro League scoring charts. Though underdogs, Al-Hilal will take confidence from their three-goal performance against Madrid in the 2022 Club World Cup final.
👀 The stage is set! pic.twitter.com/ghJb7clT5M
— Real Madrid C.F. 🇬🇧🇺🇸 (@realmadriden) June 18, 2025
Real Madrid are overwhelming favorites against Al Hilal. They’re boasting a far stronger squad under new boss Xabi Alonso, with firepower from Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Jr., and Rodrygo. Meanwhile, Al Hilal, led by Simone Inzaghi, also have quality attackers like Mitrovic and could find the net. Both sides are capable of scoring and with Madrid’s attacking depth, a high-scoring affair seems likely. Despite having some risk, Over 4.5 goals at +240 offers attractive value in a potentially goal-packed showdown.
Pick: Over 28.5 Shots at +118
Pick: Over 11.5 Shots on Target at +155
Real Madrid’s dynamic attack frequently registers high shot volumes. As per FootyStats, Mbappe averaged about 3.9 attempts per match with over 50% on target. Al Hilal also pose threats, particularly through set-pieces and quick transitions. Combining Madrid’s barrage with Al Hilal’s counterplay, the total shot count is likely to exceed 28.5, and on-target shots should surpass 11.5, offering solid odds on both markets.
Pick: Under 9.5 Corners at +130
Historical data shows that with a flurry of Real Madrid attacks, they force a lot of corners. Meanwhile Al Hilal tend to generate only a few. Madrid’s build-up play is fluid and possession-based and sometimes reliant on wing crosses. Hence, a lot of corner of corner opportunities can be expected. Given this trend, Under 9.5 corners at +130 is a realistic and value-driven bet, reflecting a cleaner flow of play with a moderate number of set-piece interruptions.
Also Read: Real Madrid vs Al-Hilal Preview, Odds, and Predictions
Both teams favour disciplined defending. Real Madrid maintained a low card count last season, and Al Hilal’s defense under Inzaghi is certainly expected to be structured and composed. Though there may be occasional tactical fouls, neither side is known for recklessness. With experienced backlines and intelligent midfielders, this match is less unlikely to turn into a card-heavy affair. Thus making Under 3.5 cards at +105 a sensible wagering option.
Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.
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