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Qarabag FK vs Chelsea Preview, Betting Odds and Predictions – 05/11/25

Moumita Dutta

Qarabag FK are set to host Chelsea at the Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium on Wednesday in a crucial Champions League group stage meeting. Chelsea travel in search of a third straight win to strengthen their bid for a knockout-round spot. Meanwhile Qarabag aim to build on promising early form. 

Qarabag have already shown their mettle in European competition this season. They’ve scored in all three group matches and collected wins over Benfica and Copenhagen. Whereas, Chelsea responded from an opening defeat with back-to-back home wins and hope to assert their class in Azerbaijan.

Qarabag FK vs Chelsea Best Bets

BetsStatusMoneyline
Total GoalsUnder 3.5+120
Total ShotsOver 24.5-143
Total Shots on TargetOver 8.5-192
Total CornersUnder 8.5Evens
Total CardsUnder 3.5+120
Qarabag Goalkeeper SavesOver 4.5+140
Chelsea Goalkeeper SavesOver 2.5+115

Qarabag FK vs Chelsea Preview

Qarabag FK

The Azerbaijani club will again be missing forward Ramil Sheydayev. He is not listed in their Champions League squad. Attacking midfielder Joni Montiel will also remain sidelined due to eligibility rules. Meanwhile, key contributors such as Abdellah Zoubir and Leandro Andrade are expected to start. Zoubir is fresh from a goal and assist performance in domestic action. Andrade is also leading the scoring charts for the club this season.

Also Read: Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund Preview, Betting Odds and Predictions – 05/11/25

Chelsea

Chelsea are still without several first-team players. Cole Palmer and Benoît Badiashile remain unavailable. The same can be said by Dario Essugo and Levi Colwill. Additionally, winger Pedro Neto sits out this trip to Baku due to a minor issue managed by coach Enzo Maresca. Consequently, rotation is anticipated as Chelsea balance European duties with their busy schedule.

Qarabag FK vs Chelsea Over/ Under Predictions

Total Goals Over 3.5 @ +120 as per BetMGM:

This fixture looks set to evolve into a high-scoring encounter. Chelsea have shown attacking potency lately, including a dominant 5-1 European win in recent weeks. Meanwhile Qarabag have scored in all three of their group stage games so far. 

Although Qarabag still possess defensive vulnerabilities. They’ve conceded heavily in past matches. They still remain dangerous when going forward. With Chelsea likely to break early and press for goals, the over 3.5 line at +120 offers good value.

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Qarabag FK vs Chelsea Player Picks

Joao Pedro to score anytime @ +105 as per FanDuel:

New signing Joao Pedro has already made an impact for Chelsea this season. He scored the winner in a recent domestic match. His return to full availability after suspension further boosts his chances of being on the scoresheet. Chelsea are expected to dominate possession and create numerous chances. So, Joao Pedro offers a strong value at +105 to score anytime.  

Enzo Fernandez to either score or assist anytime @ -115 as per FanDuel:

Midfield engine Enzo Fernandez has featured prominently in Chelsea’s build-up play and goal-creating sequences. Given Chelsea’s offensive mindset and Qarabag’s propensity to concede in transition, Fernandez is positioned to influence the match decisively. The odds of -115 for him to either score or assist reflect his importance and are well justified.

Qarabag FK vs Chelsea Predictions

PicksMoneyline
Enzo Fernandez to score first+650
Marc Guiu to score anytime+110
Estevao to assist anytime+170
Joao Pedro to either score or assist-175
Kevin Medina to see a card+140
Bahlul Mustafazada to foul at least once-238
Odds via Fanduel

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Chelsea are travelling to Baku as clear favourites. They’re backed by superior squad depth, recent attacking form, and a favourable head-to-head history against Qarabag. They’ve scored ten goals without reply in prior clashes. Meanwhile, Qarabag have been scoring. But they’ve remained exposed at the back. 

Final Prediction: Qarabag FK 0-4 Chelsea

Qarabag have never beaten an English club in an European competition. Given Chelsea’s momentum and the likely imbalance, a comprehensive away win by 4-0 looks probable.

When and where is the Qarabag FK vs Chelsea game?

The Qarabag FK vs Chelsea Champions League clash is on November 5, 2025, at the Tofig Bahramov Republican Stadium, Baku, Azerbaijan.

What are the BetMGM betting odds for the Qarabag FK vs Chelsea game?

Chelsea are favorites to win with a moneyline at -275, to draw at +425 and for Qarabag to win at +650.

Name some key player prop bets for the game from BetMGM

Joao Pedro to score anytime: +120
Estevao to assist anytime: +220
Enzo Fernandez to either score or assist: -102

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Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.

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