Qarabag FK are set to host Chelsea at the Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium on Wednesday in a crucial Champions League group stage meeting. Chelsea travel in search of a third straight win to strengthen their bid for a knockout-round spot. Meanwhile Qarabag aim to build on promising early form.
Qarabag have already shown their mettle in European competition this season. They’ve scored in all three group matches and collected wins over Benfica and Copenhagen. Whereas, Chelsea responded from an opening defeat with back-to-back home wins and hope to assert their class in Azerbaijan.
Our travelling squad for Qarabag (A) has been confirmed. ✅
— Chelsea FC (@ChelseaFC) November 4, 2025
| Bets | Status | Moneyline |
| Total Goals | Under 3.5 | +120 |
| Total Shots | Over 24.5 | -143 |
| Total Shots on Target | Over 8.5 | -192 |
| Total Corners | Under 8.5 | Evens |
| Total Cards | Under 3.5 | +120 |
| Qarabag Goalkeeper Saves | Over 4.5 | +140 |
| Chelsea Goalkeeper Saves | Over 2.5 | +115 |
The Azerbaijani club will again be missing forward Ramil Sheydayev. He is not listed in their Champions League squad. Attacking midfielder Joni Montiel will also remain sidelined due to eligibility rules. Meanwhile, key contributors such as Abdellah Zoubir and Leandro Andrade are expected to start. Zoubir is fresh from a goal and assist performance in domestic action. Andrade is also leading the scoring charts for the club this season.
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Chelsea are still without several first-team players. Cole Palmer and Benoît Badiashile remain unavailable. The same can be said by Dario Essugo and Levi Colwill. Additionally, winger Pedro Neto sits out this trip to Baku due to a minor issue managed by coach Enzo Maresca. Consequently, rotation is anticipated as Chelsea balance European duties with their busy schedule.
This fixture looks set to evolve into a high-scoring encounter. Chelsea have shown attacking potency lately, including a dominant 5-1 European win in recent weeks. Meanwhile Qarabag have scored in all three of their group stage games so far.
Although Qarabag still possess defensive vulnerabilities. They’ve conceded heavily in past matches. They still remain dangerous when going forward. With Chelsea likely to break early and press for goals, the over 3.5 line at +120 offers good value.
New signing Joao Pedro has already made an impact for Chelsea this season. He scored the winner in a recent domestic match. His return to full availability after suspension further boosts his chances of being on the scoresheet. Chelsea are expected to dominate possession and create numerous chances. So, Joao Pedro offers a strong value at +105 to score anytime.
Midfield engine Enzo Fernandez has featured prominently in Chelsea’s build-up play and goal-creating sequences. Given Chelsea’s offensive mindset and Qarabag’s propensity to concede in transition, Fernandez is positioned to influence the match decisively. The odds of -115 for him to either score or assist reflect his importance and are well justified.
| Picks | Moneyline |
| Enzo Fernandez to score first | +650 |
| Marc Guiu to score anytime | +110 |
| Estevao to assist anytime | +170 |
| Joao Pedro to either score or assist | -175 |
| Kevin Medina to see a card | +140 |
| Bahlul Mustafazada to foul at least once | -238 |
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Chelsea are travelling to Baku as clear favourites. They’re backed by superior squad depth, recent attacking form, and a favourable head-to-head history against Qarabag. They’ve scored ten goals without reply in prior clashes. Meanwhile, Qarabag have been scoring. But they’ve remained exposed at the back.
Qarabag have never beaten an English club in an European competition. Given Chelsea’s momentum and the likely imbalance, a comprehensive away win by 4-0 looks probable.
The Qarabag FK vs Chelsea Champions League clash is on November 5, 2025, at the Tofig Bahramov Republican Stadium, Baku, Azerbaijan.
Chelsea are favorites to win with a moneyline at -275, to draw at +425 and for Qarabag to win at +650.
Joao Pedro to score anytime: +120
Estevao to assist anytime: +220
Enzo Fernandez to either score or assist: -102
soccer Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.
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