Paris Saint-Germain will host Monaco on Wednesday, February 25, 2026, at the Parc des Princes in the second leg of their Champions League playoff tie. PSG are holding a 3-2 advantage from the first meeting in the Principality. They recovered from a two-goal deficit to seize control of the aggregate in that clash.
They showed their mettle, their attacking strength, and both teams’ defensive vulnerabilities were exposed in that in that comeback. With a Round of 16 place on the line and PSG seeking a 14th consecutive appearance at that stage, this domestic rivalry carries carries a lot of stakes. Both bragging rights and progression are on the line.
You can find more of our soccer predictions on our main picks hub. Here’s how we’re betting PSG vs Monaco tonight, including our Best Bet, a Same-Game Parlay, and key trends to know.
PSG vs Monaco Match Details
Competition: Champions League
Date & kickoff: Wednesday, February 25, 2026 – 3:00 PM ET / 8:00 PM GT
Venue: Parc des Princes, Paris, France
Expected XIs: PSG 4-3-3 vs Monaco 4-2-3-1
Best Bet for PSG vs Monaco
Our best bet for PSG vs Monaco is Both Teams to Score: Yes at -145 (BetMGM) / -166 (FanDuel).
The first leg’s 3-2 outcome showed the offensive quality on both sides. Monaco surged ahead through a Folarin Balogun brace, exploiting gaps before PSG responded with sustained pressure and sharper final-third movements.
That match produced five goals from dynamic chance creation patterns rather than isolated defensive errors. PSG have scored in eight of their last nine home matches across all competitions. This includes consecutive wins in Paris by an aggregate of 8-0 scoreline.
However, they have conceded in three of their last five games in Europe. Meanwhile, Monaco have found the net in five of their last six competitive matches. They also showed resilience in a recent 3-2 comeback against Lens in the league.
Defensively, Monaco have conceded 12 goals across four Champions League away fixtures this season. Yet, they remain capable of generating high-quality chances on the counter through Balogun and Ansu Fati. So, the chances of both teams scoring in this clash is high.
PSG vs Monaco Prediction
Our pick: PSG to Win at -350 (BetMGM) / -330 (FanDuel)
PSG are unbeaten in eight of their last nine competitive home matches. They also have not lost to Monaco in Paris in nearly a decade. In Champions League knockout play, they have won four straight matches and three of their previous four second-leg ties.
Monaco’s European away record is concerning. They have lost nine of their last 13 Champions League matches on the road. Monaco have also conceded heavily against elite opposition this season. They demonstrated fight in Ligue 1 recently.
However, their defensive absences including Mohammed Salisu and Aleksandr Golovin limit structural stability. PSG’s attacking depth remains decisive. Desire Doue’s brace in the first leg inspires confidence especially in the absence of Ousmane Dembele. Considering these factors and that PSG will play at home, the Parisians should win.
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Same-Game Parlay (Bet Builder) for PSG vs Monaco
Bet $100 to Win $135.30 (FanDuel) Total Goals Over 2.5 (-300) + BTTS: Yes (-166) + Desire Doue to Score or Assist (-210)
Over 2.5 goals reflects Monaco’s need to score at least once to revive qualification hopes. Whereas, PSG’s high-tempo possession game regularly produces multiple high-xG sequences at home. Desire Doue’s inclusion is performance-driven. He netted twice in the opening leg and consistently attacks through the mid cutting in from the wings.
His combination play with Hakimi and PSG’s midfield triangle generates overloads against retreating defensive lines. Monaco’s injury concerns in central defense further amplify the probability of Doue influencing the scoreline, whether through direct scoring or final-pass involvement.
Over 2.5 goals has hit in four of PSG’s last six competitive matches. Monaco have also found the net in five of their last six across all competitions. Doue’s attacking form includes multiple shots on target and high involvement inside the box. In the absence of Ousmane Dembele, he could become the key player to help the Parisians win and progress.
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Over 2.5: -300 / Under 2.5: +210 Over 3.5: -120 / Under 3.5: -115
Over 2.5: -310 / Under 2.5: +240 Over 3.5: -118 / Under 3.5: -104
BTTS
Yes: -145 / No: +100
Yes: -148 / No: +116
Asian Handicap
PSG -1.25: -200 / -1.50: -150 Monaco +1.25: +155
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Draw No Bet
PSG: -1100 Monaco: +575
PSG: -1200 Monaco: +720
Double Chance
PSG or Draw: -1400 Monaco or Draw: +260
PSG or Draw: -1500 Monaco or Draw: +280
Trends to Know for PSG vs Monaco
Head-to-Head: PSG are unbeaten in their last five meetings with Monaco at the Parc des Princes.
First Leg: PSG overcame a two-goal deficit to win 3-2 in Monaco, marking their first comeback win from 2-0 down in a Champions League knockout tie this century.
Home Strength: PSG have won their last two home fixtures by a combined 8-0 margin.
Monaco Away Record: Monaco have conceded 12 goals in four Champions League away matches this season.
Knockout Momentum: PSG have won four consecutive Champions League knockout matches entering this clash.
Latest Injuries & Lineup News for PSG vs Monaco
In soccer, injuries and rotations can drastically alter how a match plays out, especially when it comes to BTTS, totals, and goalscorer markets. Navigating through a few key injuries in this clash, both coaches will look to lineup their strongest XI. Here are the players who are either doubtful or are set to miss out:
Team
Player
Status
Notes
PSG
Ousmane Dembele
Out
Calf
PSG
Senny Mayulu
Out
Calf
PSG
Fabian Ruiz
Out
Knee
PSG
Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha
Out
Hamstring
Monaco
Paul Pogba
Out
Knee
Monaco
Mohammed Salisu
Out
Knee
Monaco
Takumi Minamino
Out
Knee
Monaco
Lukas Hradecky
Out
Knee
Monaco
Eric Dier
Doubtful
Hamstring
Monaco
Christian Mawissa
Doubtful
Hamstring
Monaco
Kassoum Ouattara
Out
Calf
Monaco
Maghnes Akliouche
Doubtful
Hip
Monaco
Krepin Diatta
Doubtful
Knock
Monaco
Aleksandr Golovin
Out
Suspension
Reminder: Always check confirmed lineups 60–75 minutes before kickoff, especially for goalscorer and BTTS markets.
How to watch – quick Q&A
What time is PSG vs Monaco?
PSG vs Monaco kicks off at 3:00 PM ET on Wednesday, February 25, 2026 (8:00 PM local UK time).
Where is the match being played?
The match will be played at the Parc des Princes in Paris, France.
How can I watch on TV / stream?
Broadcast rights vary by territory. In the US, the Champions League can be telecast on Paramount+. The match will be telecast on TNT Sports 2 in the UK. The match will also be available to stream on these broadcasters’ official websites.
Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.
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