Credits: IMAGO / Every Second Media

Premier League Best Bet of the Day – Our Top Premier League 2025-26 Picks for Matchday 29

Credits: IMAGO / Every Second Media

The Premier League Matchday 29 begins midweek as soon as the previous matchweek ended. It will hold some matches that could dramatically reshape the Champions League qualification race. Liverpool, currently in fifth position in the league table, are sitting three points behind third-placed Manchester United and fourth-placed Aston Villa.

Hence, every result from the matches these three teams will play, will have some significance in the top four race. Wolves will host Liverpool at Molineux with survival pride at stake. Villa Park stages a pivotal Aston Villa-Chelsea meeting. And since Chelsea are in sixth place, three points behind Liverpool, this clash will be a special one. Meanwhile, Newcastle will welcome Manchester United amid contrasting forms.

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— Premier League (@premierleague) March 2, 2026

For more analysis across England and Europe, visit our main soccer predictions and Premier League betting tips hub, but for now, scroll on for today’s best bets.

Our Premier League Best Picks of Matchday 29

Match	Market & Pick	Odds & Book
Wolves vs Liverpool	Liverpool to Win	-210 via Fanduel
Aston Villa vs Chelsea	BTTS: Yes	-185 via BetMGM
Newcastle United vs Manchester United	Bruno Fernandes to Score or Assist	-105 via FanDuel

Odds from FanDuel and BetMGM, accurate as of Tuesday morning ET. Premier League lines can move quickly on matchday, so always check the latest prices before betting.

Best Bet #1 – Wolves vs Liverpool: The Reds to Win

Market	Pick	Odds & Book
Match Result	Liverpool to Win	-210 via Fanduel

Tuesday’s clash at Molineux will see bottom-placed Wolverhampton Wanderers face a Liverpool side coming in with four straight wins in all competitions. Wolves defeated Aston Villa 2-0 in their latest match last weekend. But they have collected only 13 league points. Across their last 10 Premier League matches, Wolves have produced fewer than 1.0 xG in six games.

They even failed to score, which expresses their attacking issues. Defensively, they have conceded 10 goals in their last eight league games, even while keeping three clean sheets as they showed serious inconsistency. Liverpool are coming into the match on the back of a 5-2 win over West Ham. Arne Slot’s side continue to average over 2.0 goals per match across their last nine outings.

They have scored at least twice in six of those games and remain potent on set pieces. They’ve recently established a league record with seven consecutive non-penalty goals from dead-ball situations. Liverpool have lost just once in their last 10 games on the road, winning six of them. Head-to-head momentum also favors the Reds, who have won six consecutive games against Wolves, including three straight 2-1 wins.

Best Bet #2 – Aston Villa vs Chelsea: BTTS: Yes

Market	Pick	Odds & Book
Both Teams to Score	Yes	-185 at BetMGM

Wednesday’s meeting at Villa Park will see two sides separated by six points in the race for Champions League qualification. Aston Villa have endured inconsistency lately. They’ve won only once in their last five league matches. Yet they defeated Chelsea 2-0 at Stamford Bridge in the reverse fixture in December.

Villa are averaging over 1.6 goals per home match this season. But they have also conceded in four of their last five league games. Hence, their defensive vulnerabilities are clear amid midfield absences such as Boubacar Kamara and the continued recovery of Youri Tielemans.

Meanwhile, Chelsea have scored in nine of their last 10 league fixtures. But they’ve kept only two clean sheets in that span. They conceded twice from set pieces in their recent 2-1 defeat to Arsenal. They’ve also allowed multiple big chances in three straight matches.

Despite that, Chelsea are maintaining a high possession numbers and are averaging over 1.7 xG per match during Liam Rosenior’s tenure. Both teams are exhibiting offensive output paired with defensive leakage. Hence, it’s expected that both teams will find the back for the net in this game.

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Best Bet #3 – Newcastle United vs Manchester United: Bruno Fernandes to Score or Assist

Market	Pick	Odds & Book
Score or Assist	Bruno Fernandes	-105 at FanDuel

At St James’ Park, Newcastle United will host Manchester United with contrasting forms. Newcastle have lost five of their last six Premier League matches. They’ve also conceded eight goals across their last three home games. They’re missing key players at the back, including Bruno Guimaraes and Lewis Miley which has disrupted midfield shielding.

Whereas, Man United have collected 19 points from a possible 21 since mid-January under new boss Michael Carrick. Central to that surge is Bruno Fernandes, who has recorded seven league goals and 13 assists this season. He has been directly involved in over 40% of Man United’s league goals this campaign.

Over his last eight appearances in all competitions, he has averaged over three key passes per match. Fernandes is also the Red Devils’ primary set-piece taker. Newcastle have shown defensive instability at home which includes three consecutive league defeats on Tyneside. So, Fernandes’ chances as a dual-threat profile, increases highly.

Premier League Best Bets for Matchday 29 Recap – March 3-5, 2026

Best Bet #1: Wolves vs Liverpool – Liverpool to Win (-210 at FanDuel)
Best Bet #2: Aston Villa vs Chelsea – BTTS: Yes (-185 at BetMGM)
Best Bet #3: Newcastle United vs Manchester United – Bruno Fernandes to Score or Assist (-105 at FanDuel)

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Moumita Dutta

soccer

Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.