Pisa will welcome AC Milan on Friday, February 13, 2026, at the Arena Garibaldi for a Serie A clash. Second-placed Rossoneri will be facing a relegation-threatened side fighting to retain their top-flight status. Milan are eight points adrift of Inter in the second place with a game in hand. Whereas, Pisa are sitting six points from safety.
And they have managed just one league win this season. Pisa held Milan to a 2-2 draw in the return leg earlier this season in October. Pisa were close to secure a historic result in that match. Milan will be looking to balance their squad ahead of an upcoming Derby della Madonnina and another postponed fixture. Three points in this match are non-negotiable for the Scudetto race.
You can find more of our soccer predictions on our main picks hub. Here’s how we’re betting Pisa vs AC Milan tonight, including our Best Bet, a Same-Game Parlay, and key trends to know.
Pisa vs AC Milan Match Details
Competition: Serie A
Date & kickoff: Friday, February 13, 2026 – 2:45 PM ET / 7:45 PM GT
Venue: Arena Garibaldi Stadium, Pisa, Italy
Expected XIs: Pisa 3-4-1-2 vs AC Milan 4-2-3-1
Best Bet for Pisa vs AC Milan
Our best bet for Pisa vs AC Milan is Christopher Nkunku to Score or Assist at +130 (BetMGM) / -125 (FanDuel).
Operating between the lines or drifting into half-spaces, Christopher Nkunku has consistently generated high-value chances. He’s averaging over 0.40 xGI per 90 minutes in Serie A this term. He has the ability to combine in tight areas that complements Rafael Leao’s direct ball-carrying and Christian Pulisic’s movement in behind.
Milan have scored 15 goals across their last six league fixtures. They’ve created an average xG output above 1.9 per game in that stretch. Pisa, conversely, own one of the lowest home xG figures in the division. They have also conceded multiple big chances in seven of their last 10 matches.
Their defensive structure has struggled against vertical runners and secondary attackers arriving late into the box, precisely the zones Nkunku exploits. Christian Pulisic should be returning to fitness. So, Nkunku’s likelihood of any goal involvement increases in a match where Milan are projected to dominate possession and territory.
Pisa vs AC Milan Prediction
Our pick: AC Milan to Win at -175 (BetMGM) / -185 (FanDuel)
Since an opening-day setback, AC Milan have gone 22 consecutive Serie A matches unbeaten. It is the longest active streak among Europe’s top five leagues. During that run, the Rossoneri have averaged approximately 2.1 points per game. They’ve also maintained one of the league’s best xG differentials.
Pisa, by contrast, have drawn half of their league matches and secured just one win all season. Across their last 10 games, they have averaged under 1.0 xG per match. They have also failed to score in six of those fixtures. Even at home, they managed just one goal in their first 10 league games at the Arena Garibaldi before a slight uptick in recent weeks.
Head-to-head history further tilts toward the Rossoneri. Pisa are winless in 13 Serie A meetings against Milan. Although October’s 2-2 draw demonstrated Milan’s occasional defensive lapses. The visitors’ squad depth featuring Adrien Rabiot’s away productivity and Fullkrug’s penalty-box presence should overwhelm a side missing suspended midfielder Marius Marin and potentially first-choice goalkeeper Adrian Semper.
21+ and present in AZ/CO/CT/IA/IL/IN/KS/LA (permitted parishes only) /MA/MD/MI/NJ/NY/OH/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY. Minimum $10 first deposit required. Promotion Bonus will be credited to your account within 72 hours settlement of Qualifying Wager. First online real money wager only (minimum $5). Bonus issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets that expires in 14 days. Bonus bets and NFL Sunday Ticket code will be issued within 72 hours of bet placement. See full terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com.
Same-Game Parlay (Bet Builder) for Pisa vs AC Milan
Bet $100 to Win $359.16 (FanDuel) Total Goals Under 3.5 (-112) + BTTS: No (-118) + Christopher Nkunku to Score or Assist (-125)
This parlay aligns with Pisa’s low-scoring profile and Milan’s controlled approach away from home. Pisa have scored just three home goals all season. January signing Rafiu Durosinmi was involved in two of them. Their cumulative home xG ranks among the lowest in Serie A. They have also struggled to create high-quality central chances.
Milan’s defensive metrics remain solid. They’ve conceded fewer than 1.0 xGA per match across their last 10 league outings. While they have attacking depth, Allegri’s teams often prioritize structure once ahead, suppressing game state volatility.
Under 3.5 goals accommodates a professional 2-0 or 3-0 Milan win. Meanwhile BTTS: No reflects Pisa’s limited shot volume and absence of Marin’s midfield ball progression. Adding Nkunku for a goal involvement integrates Milan’s creative fulcrum into the game.
This bet builder anticipates a more open contest similar to October’s 2-2 draw. Pisa have recently shown marginal improvement in home scoring, netting in consecutive matches after a prolonged drought. Should Milan rotate slightly ahead of congested fixtures, defensive spacing could widen.
Over 2.5 and BTTS: Yes reflect a scenario where Milan’s attacking volume forces Pisa into transitional opportunities. Nkunku remains central to Milan’s chance creation, making his inclusion logical regardless of game flow. At +540, the odds compensate for the volatility required in this outcome.
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Over 2.5: +105 / Under 2.5: -145 Over 3.5: +275 / Under 3.5: -425
Over 2.5: +116 / Under 2.5: -142 Over 3.5: +300 / Under 3.5: -400
BTTS
Yes: +115 / No: -165
Yes: +118 / No: -150
Asian Handicap
Pisa +1.25: -167 AC Milan -1.25: +130 / -1.50: +165
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Draw No Bet
Pisa: +320 AC Milan: -525
Pisa: +400 AC Milan: -600
Double Chance
Pisa or Draw: +125 AC Milan or Draw: -750
Pisa or Draw: +135 AC Milan or Draw: -900
Trends to Know for Pisa vs AC Milan
Head-to-Head: Pisa have never defeated Milan in Serie A, managing three draws and 10 defeats across previous meetings.
Recent Meeting: The reverse fixture ended 2-2 at San Siro, with Pisa equalizing late and generating rare high-value chances in transition.
Milan Momentum: The Rossoneri are unbeaten in 22 straight league matches and have produced over 1.8 xG in seven of their last 10 Serie A games.
Pisa’s Struggles: The Tuscan side have drawn 50% of their matches and average below one expected goal per game, reflecting limited attacking efficiency.
Latest Injuries & Lineup News for Pisa vs AC Milan
In soccer, injuries and rotations can drastically alter how a match plays out, especially when it comes to BTTS, totals, and goalscorer markets. Navigating through a few key injuries in this clash, both coaches will look to lineup their strongest XI. Here are the players who are either doubtful or are set to miss out:
Team
Player
Status
Notes
AC Milan
Santiago Gimenez
Out
Ankle
Pisa
Raul Albiol
Out
Thigh
Pisa
Daniel Denoon
Out
Ankle
Pisa
Isak Vural
Out
Knee
Reminder: Always check confirmed lineups 60–75 minutes before kickoff, especially for goalscorer and BTTS markets.
How to watch – quick Q&A
What time is Pisa vs AC Milan?
Pisa vs AC Milan kicks off at 2:45 PM ET on Thursday, February 13, 2026 (7:45 PM local UK time).
Where is the match being played?
The match will be played at the Arena Garibaldi Stadium in Pisa, Italy.
How can I watch on TV / stream?
Broadcast rights vary by territory. In the US, the Serie A can be telecast on . The match will be telecast on DAZN in the UK. The match will also be available to stream on these broadcasters’ official websites.
Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.
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