Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever WNBA Prediction- Spread & Other Bets- 08/07/2025

On Sunday, August 07, the Phoenix Mercury (18-11) will host the Indiana Fever (17-13) in a WNBA regular-season match-up. The Mercury has slipped to the fourth spot while the Fever has improved to the fifth rank.

The Mercury comes into this game after an 82-68 win against the Connecticut Sun. Satou Sabally led with 23 points while Alyssa Thomas collected a triple-double.

On the other hand, the Fever lost to the LA Sparks 91-100 despite a 34-point explosion by Kelsey Mitchell. They let their opponents shoot 56.1%, breaking their five-game winning streak.

Can the on-and-off Mercury overcome Fever in the crucial battle? Check the predictions related to player props, total, and spread here.

Where to Watch Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever

Time: 10:00 PM (ET)
Venue: Footprint Center, Phoenix.
Where to watch: Catch the action on WNBA League Pass.

Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Lineups, News, Form

Indiana Fever

The Fever is 8-7 on the road.
Aliyah Boston has pinned down at least 9 rebounds in seven straight games.
Aari McDonald has dished out at least 6 assists in each of her last three games.

Fever Expected Starting Lineup

PG: Aari McDonalds | SG: Kelsey Mitchell | SG/SF: Sophie Cunningham | PF: Natasha Howard | C: Aliyah Boston

Key bench players: SG: Lexie Hull, SG: Sydney Colson, PF: Chloe Bibby.

Injuries/Updates: Caitlin Clark remains OUT, without a timetable to return.

Phoenix Mercury

The Mercury is 10-4 at home.
Kahleah Copper has scored 19 or more in three of the last four games.
Monique Akoa Makani has dished out 4 or more assists in three of the last six games.

Mercury Expected Starting Lineup

PG: Monique Akoa Makani | SG: Kahleah Copper | SF: Sami Whitcomb | SF/PF: Alyssa Thomas | PF/C: Satou Sabally

Key bench players: PF: Natasha Mack, SF: DeWanna Bonner, SG: Lexi Held, SF: Kathryn Westbeld

Injuries/Updates: No injuries reported thus far.

Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Total Over/Under Prediction- WNBA Best Bets

The Mercury’s offense has been iffy. They lack consistent scorers outside of Alyssa Thomas and Kahleah Copper. Sabally hasn’t been the same after recovering from injury, but may be getting in the groove. On the other hand, Fever has done well, scoring-wise.

They have scored 88 or more in four of the last five games. Defensively, both teams are solid. But interestingly, their last battle accounted for 208 points, each team scoring 100+. However, I see a low-scorer this time around.

Total: Under 172.5 for -105 at BetMGM

Here is an overview of my selections

Picks	BetMGM Odds
Total U 172.5	-105
Spread- Mercury -3.5	-110
Kelsey Mitchell O 19.5 Points	-105
Money Line- Mercury	-175

Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Player Props Predictions- WNBA Betting Picks

Alyssa Thomas O 9.5 Rebounds: The Phoenix point forward is enjoying another enthralling rebounding season. She has grabbed 8.4 RPG, scooping 10 or more in six straight match-ups.

Kelsey Mitchell O 19.5 Points: Mitchell has been a bit on-and-off scoring-wise, but her 34-point output in the last game means she is back in business. She is averaging 20 PPG for the season, and I expect to hit the mark.

Natasha Howard O 10.5 Points: The Fever forward has been impressive, scoring 17 or more in two straight. I believe she will score at least 11 here.

Main pick: Kelsey Mitchell O 19.5 points for -105 at BetMGM

Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Spread Prediction

The Mercury will be the favorites here, but the Fever can’t be underestimated. They defeated the Mercury by 6 points in the last game in their finest offensive showing. The Mercury is among the most experienced teams but needs to do better against +500. Teams like Indiana.

I see Phoenix figuring out their issues and posting a big win here.

Spread/Money Line Pick: Spread: Mercury -3.5 for -110 at BetMGM

Photo Credit: Grace Hollins-Imagn Images

Shubham Singh

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Hi, I am Shubham. I am currently an NBA Predictions Writer on The Playoffs. I enjoy this job because it helps keep me in the loop about the game I love while fulfilling the pleasure I derive from stats. I got into NBA writing through social media interactions in the mid-2010s as I shared my takes on young talents such as D’Angelo Russell. I hope you enjoy reading my pieces as much as Dennis Rodman loved rebounding the basketball!