Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings WNBA Prediction- Spread & Other Bets- 07/07/2025

On Monday, July 7, the Phoenix Mercury (12-6) will host the Dallas Wings (6-13) in a WNBA regular-season matchup. The Mercury are in the third position whereas the Wings have improved to the 11th rank.

This will be the second straight meeting between the two. The Wings came on top during the first meet with a 98-89 scoreline. Rookie Aziaha James’ 28-point effort helped the Wings survive a 33-point outburst by Kahleah Copper.

Can the veterans of Mercury avenge their loss against the youth movement? Check the predictions related to player props, total, and spread here.

Where to Watch Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings

Time: 10:00 PM (ET)
Venue: Footprint Center (Phoenix, Arizona)
Where to watch: This game can be viewed on the WNBA League Pass.

Here is an overview of my selections

Picks	BetMGM Odds
Total O 164.5	-115
Projected Spread- Mercury -6.5	-105
Alyssa Thomas O 10.5 Assists	-110
Money Line- Mercury	-250

Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Total Over/Under Prediction- WNBA Best Bets

The last game produced 187 points. The Mercury has now scored 80+ in six straight games, crossing the 88-point mark thrice. On the other hand, the Wings have cracked 80 or so fewer times. But they have scored 86 or more in four of the last six games.

Defensively, both teams have been in similar terrain but the Mercury are better overall. The latest battle between the two suggests another high-scorer. So, I will opt for “over” here.

Total: Over 164.5 for -105 at BetMGM

Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Player Props Predictions- WNBA Betting Picks

Alyssa Thomas O 10.5 assists: Thomas has unsurprisingly been the most productive playmaker this season. She has averaged 9.4 assists per game, dealing 10 or more helpers in six of the last nine games. I expect her to be in similar terrain.

Paige Bueckers U 18.5 points: Bueckers is averaging an amazing 18.7 PPG as the rookie. She has put up 20 or more in five of the last six games. I see the Mercury holding her below her season average here.

Sami Whitcomb O 3.5 threes: Whitcomb has knocked 2.1 triples per game this season. Her five-game streak of 3+ triples was broken in the last game (1-7). I see her getting back in the groove here.

Main pick: Alyssa Tomhas O 10.5 assists for -110 at BetMGM

Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Spread Prediction

The Wings turned the tables on the Mercury in the last game. The most exciting part was that it was the rookie trio who got the job done. The Mercury has seen their tendencies, though. They will be prepared for a big-time reply here. I see their defense dialing it in the second half. I see them shutting down Paige Bueckers here and taking away the three-ball from the Wings. The Mercury is likely to cover the spread here.

Spread/Money Line Pick: Projected Spread: Mercury -6.5 for -105 at BetMGM

Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Lineups, News, Stats

Phoenix Mercury

Kahleah Copper had scored fewer than 17 points in all games before her 33-point outing.
Satou Sabally has scored 20 or more in 10 of the 18 appearances.
The Mercury is 7-3 at home.

Mercury Expected Starting Lineup

SG: Monique Akoa Makani | SG: Kahleah Copper | SF: Alyssa Thomas | SF: Kathryn Westbeld | PF/C: Satou Sabally

Key bench players: SF: Sami Whitcomb, C: Kalani Brown, SG: Kitija Laksa, PF: Natasha Mack.

Injuries/Updates: Lexi Held continues to be OUT.

Dallas Wings

Rookie Aziaha James is averaging 16 PPG in the last six games.
The Wings have won four of their last six games with Paige Bueckers.
Li Yueru is tallying 7.4 points and 7 rebounds per game with Wings (two double-doubles)

Wings Expected Starting Lineup

PG: Paige Bueckers | SG: Aziaha James | SG: JJ Quirnleys | PF/C: Luisa Geiseldor | C: Li Yueru

Key bench players: PF: Myisha Hines-Allen, C: Teaira McCowan, SF: Liatu King

Injuries/Updates: DiJonai Carrington, Arike Ogunbowale, and Maddy Siegrist are likely going to be OUT. Tyasha Harris is OUT FOR THE SEASON.

Photo Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

Shubham Singh

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Hi, I am Shubham. I am currently an NBA Predictions Writer on The Playoffs. I enjoy this job because it helps keep me in the loop about the game I love while fulfilling the pleasure I derive from stats. I got into NBA writing through social media interactions in the mid-2010s as I shared my takes on young talents such as D’Angelo Russell. I hope you enjoy reading my pieces as much as Dennis Rodman loved rebounding the basketball!