Djokovic going for 101st title, Musetti hunting down ATP Finals qualification.
The top two seeds will face off in the summit clash at Athens, as Novak Djokovic and Lorenzo Musetti lock horns to lift the trophy at the 2025 Hellenic Championship final. While the Serbian has dominated the rivalry so far, his Italian counterpart is chasing a spot in the Nitto ATP Finals next week. With massive implications and a lot at stake, who will showcase their superior mentality? With the help of BetMGM, we look to take you through the stats and odds for this contest.
World No. 5 Novak Djokovic is through to yet another career singles final, and his first on Greek soil. The 38-year-old hasn’t dropped a set all week, and will compete for his 101st title on Saturday. Djokovic defeated Yannick Hanfmann in the semifinal, and improved his record to 30-0 after winning the opening set in 2025. The Serbian icon has already reached the semis at all four majors, won the championship in Geneva, and reached the Miami Open final this year.
Lorenzo Musetti is battling Canadian Felix Auger-Aliassime for the final spot at the Nitto ATP Finals in Turin. An Olympic bronze medalist in his own right, he came through a tense 6-0 5-7 7-5 win against Sebastian Korda to enter this fixture. Musetti is yet to complete a championship run in the ongoing season – he reached finals in Monte Carlo and Chengdu. The 24-year-old currently has an impressive record of 44-19, which justifies his ranking of No. 9 in the world.
Djokovic has an 8-1 head-to-head record against Musetti. His only loss came at Monte Carlo in 2023. Most recently, the 24-time Grand Slam champion thrashed the Italian at this year’s Miami Masters.
| Event | Round | Winner | Score |
| 2025 Miami | Round of 16 | Novak Djokovic | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2024 Paris Olympics | Semifinal | Novak Djokovic | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2024 Wimbledon | Semifinal | Novak Djokovic | 6-4 7-6(2) 6-4 |
| 2024 Roland Garros | Round of 32 | Novak Djokovic | 7-5 6-7(6) 2-6 6-3 6-0 |
| 2024 Monte Carlo | Round of 16 | Novak Djokovic | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2023 Monte Carlo | Round of 16 | Lorenzo Musetti | 4-6 7-5 6-4 |
| 2022 Paris | Quarterfinal | Novak Djokovic | 6-0 6-3 |
| 2022 Dubai | Round of 32 | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2021 Roland Garros | Round of 16 | Novak Djokovic | 6-7(7) 6-7(2) 6-1 6-0 4-0 RET. |
| Novak Djokovic | Category | Lorenzo Musetti |
| 5 | Current Ranking | 9 |
| 1162-233 | Career W-L Record | 176-130 |
| 38-11 | YTD W-L Record | 44-19 |
| 100 | Career Titles | 2 |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 0 |
| 24 | Grand Slams | 0 |
If Musetti is to stand a chance against Djokovic, he will have to produce his best attacking tennis. The Italian tends to get passive against the top players, and falls far behind the baseline. The former World No. 1 has an innate ability to hit winners from any position in the court, including his deceptive drop shots. Moreover, Musetti will have to be fearless on his own second serve. Ahead of this match, we believe Djokovic’s fast-paced game style and tendency to turn defence into attack will give him the win.
Prediction: Novak Djokovic in straight sets.
Djokovic is the favorite (1/2) and Musetti is the underdog (13/8) for the ATP Hellenic Championship 2025 final. According to the implied probability on the money line, the Serbian has a 74% chance of grabbing the trophy. Given below is the full list of favorable odds (as per BetMGM):
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
(Image Credits: Susan Mullane, Imagn Images)
