$1,500
Norway stand just one win away from ending nearly three decades of World Cup absence as they prepare to host Estonia in Oslo on Thursday. Sitting comfortably atop Group I with a perfect record of six wins from six, Stale Solbakken’s side could confirm their place at the 2026 World Cup with victory – provided they match or better Italy’s result elsewhere.
The Norwegians have been in dominant form throughout the qualifiers, collecting 18 points and scoring 29 goals while conceding just three. Their campaign began in emphatic fashion with a 3-0 triumph over Italy back in June and has since featured heavy victories, including an 11-1 demolition of Moldova and a 5-0 thrashing of Israel. The only recent blemish on their record came in last month’s 1-1 friendly draw against New Zealand, which briefly halted their nine-match winning run across all competitions.
| Bets | Moneyline | Moneyline |
| Full Time Result | Norway: -5000, Estonia: +3500 | Draw: +1900 |
| Draw No Bet | Norway: NA | Estonia: +4000 |
| Total Goals | Over 4.5: -110 | Under 4.5: -130 |
| Norway to Win and Both Teams to Score | Yes: +225 | No: -285 |
| Estonia to Win and Both Teams to Score | Yes: +6000 | No: +2800 |
(Odds via BetMGM)
At the heart of Norway’s success has been Erling Haaland, who has already scored 12 goals in qualifying. The Manchester City striker has spearheaded a free-flowing Norway attack superbly. With home advantage and a +26 goal difference cushion over second-placed Italy, Norway will be confident of sealing their long-awaited World Cup return.
For Estonia, Thursday’s clash marks the end of a disappointing campaign. Jurgen Henn’s side have managed just one win in seven games and currently sit fourth in the group. Their only points came against bottom-placed Moldova, while defeats to Italy and Israel have showed their struggles against stronger opposition.
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While Norway have been dominant in their World Cup qualifying campaign, recent trends suggest this clash may not be as high-scoring as some of their earlier fixtures. Stale Solbakken’s side played out a 1-1 draw with New Zealand in their last game. Meanwhile, Estonia have also adopted a defensive approach in recent months, managing draws in two of their last three matches (1-1 vs Moldova, 0-0 vs Andorra). With both teams’ recent results pointing toward more measured contests, the Under 4.5 Goals market offers good value here.
There’s more value backing Erling Haaland to score first rather than the anytime line (-700). Haaland is Norway’s focal point and primary penalty-taker. He’s in frightening form: 12 goals in World Cup qualifiers for Norway and14 in 11 league games for his club Man City. With Norway heavy favourites and most attacks likely to to go through Haaland, the +120 on him breaking the deadlock looks the smarter price.
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When these two nations last met in Tallinn earlier this year, Norway edged a narrow 1-0 victory thanks to a second-half strike from Haaland despite dominating possession and chances. Estonia will hope to frustrate the hosts again, though keeping Norway’s prolific attack quiet in Oslo will be a monumental task. With the Ullevaal Stadium expected to be packed for a historic night, Norway’s golden generation are likely to cruise to a comfortable victory here.
Final Prediction: Norway 3-0 Estonia
Bettors can explore a variety of betting options on BetMGM, including full-time results, over/under goals, and player props for this clash.
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