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NFL Week 11 Picks, Spread, and Predictions – Lines, Spreads, and Betting Odds for Every Team Ahead of 2025-26 Season Week 11

Eric Divakaran

The NFL’s has certainly been a wild ride this season and last week in Week 10, we saw the unpredictability of the game strike again with many shocking results. For context, the Bears ended up beating the Giants, even though New York was up by double digits, with their QB1 Jaxson Dart now on a concussion protocol. The Patriots pulled off an impressive win against the Buccaneers, proving that they are legit. Or how about the huge upset that the Miami Dolphins pulled off against the Buffalo Bills, who were the overwhelming favorites to win the matchup.

One thing’s for certain, despite what the experts have to say, nobody can predict what will actually happen. With those games behind us, let’s shift our focus to the NFL’s Week 11 slate.

NFL Week 11 Team Picks

Here are some of the best picks ahead of the full slate of week 11 games, as per the odds on BetMGM.

  • New England Patriots win cover the spread (-13) against the New York Jets: -110
  • Baltimore Ravens win and cover the spread (-7.5) against the Cleveland Browns: -110
  • Green Bay Packers win and cover the spread (-7) against the New York Giants: -110
  • Buffalo Bills win against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -250

NFL Week 11 Spreads

Looking at the spreads for Week 11, the New England Patriots are the overwhelming favorites to beat the New York jets with a spread of -13. The Baltimore Ravens are also a huge favorite to beat the Cleveland Browns with a spread of -7.5. Then comes the Green Bay Packers, who are also the favorites to beat the New York Giants, with a spread of -7.

The Buffalo Bills are highly favored to beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with a spread of -5.5. And lastly the Houston Texans, who are also the favorites to beat the Tennessee Titans, with a spread of -7.

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Moneylines and Betting Odds for Week 11

The New England Patriots are the overwhelming favorites to win the matchup against the New York Jets with a moneyline of -800, while the Houston Texans are at -350 to beat the Tennessee Titans. And the Baltimore Ravens’ moneyline at -400 to beat the Cleveland Browns.

Let us take a look at the betting odds as per BetMGM for all Week 11 matchups, along with the predictions.

New England Patriots (8-2) vs New York Jets (2-7)

The Patriots host the Jets for Thursday Night Football for Week 11. Coming off their latest victory against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Patriots have proved that they are a legit Super Bowl contender and are a threat to knockoff any team in sight. Meanwhile, the Jets just won their second game of the season last week against the Browns, and are hoping to develop further momentum by pulling off a huge upset.

TeamSpreadTotal PointsMoneyline
Jets+13 (-110)43 (-110)+550
Patriots-13 (-110)43 (-110)-800
Prediction: Patriots win and cover the spread
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Miami Dolphins (3-7) vs Washington Commanders (3-7)

The Dolphins host the Commanders for this week. The Dolphins are coming off a very impressive win against the Buffalo Bills, who were considered a heavy favorites to beat them. The Dolphins may not be a playoff contending team, but they have the ability to pull off major upset at times. Meanwhile, the Commanders have now dropped five straight games and will once again play without Jayden Daniels. They are coming off a lopsided loss against the Lions and this season they have been a polar opposite team, compared to where they were last season.

TeamsSpreadTotal PointsMoneyline
Commanders +2.5 (-102)47.5 (-110)+130
Dolphins -2.5 (-118)47.5 (-110)-155
Prediction: Dolphins win and cover the spread

Tennessee Titans (1-8) vs Houston Texans (4-5)

The Titans host the Texans for Week 11. The Titans and their rookie QB Cam Ward are having a very difficult season, with only one win to show for going into Week 11. They have lost four straight games, and are winless at their home field. Meanwhile, the Texans are still below .500 and have been highly inconsistent this season, they are coming off a win against the Jaguars last week and are hoping to build momentum going forward.

TeamsSpreadTotal PointsMoneyline
Texans -6.5 (-118)37.5 (-110)-325
Titans+6.5 (-102)37.5 (-110)+260
Prediction: Texans win and cover the spread

Minnesota Vikings (4-5) vs Chicago Bears (6-3)

The Minnesota Vikings host the Bears for Week 11 matchup. The Vikings come into this matchup after losing against the Baltimore Ravens last week, but pulled off an impressive win against the Lions a week prior. They have been mediocre at best this season and are very inconsistent, not building much momentum. Meanwhile, the Bears are on a two-game winning streak currently and are surprisingly second in the NFC North behind the Lions and ahead of their divisional rivals Packers and Vikings.

TeamsSpreadTotal PointsMoneyline
Bears+3 (-110)48.5 (-110)+140
Vikings-3 (-110)48.5 (-110)-165
Prediction: Bears beat the Vikings and pull off an upset

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-4) vs Cincinnati Bengals (3-6)

The Pittsburgh Steelers host the Cincinnati Bengals for Week 11. The Steelers come into this matchup after losing to the Chargers last week, in a lopsided loss. They started their season strong, but now facing tough competition, they have dropped many games, with many questioning their legitimacy. Meanwhile, the Bengals have now lost two games in a row after a hot start with Joe Flacco. Fresh off a bye week, they will try to beat the Steelers, who they beat earlier this season.

TeamsSpreadTotal Points
Bengals+5.5 (-110)49.5 (-110)+195
Steelers-5.5 (-110)49.5 (-110)-235
Prediction: Steelers win the game

Atlanta Falcons (3-6) vs Carolina Panthers (5-5)

The Falcons host the Panthers for Week 11 matchup. The Falcons are now on a four-game losing streak and it has been sometime since they won their last contest. After a hot start to the season, Bijan Robinson has since slowed down, with Jonathan Taylor clearly outdueling him last game against the Colts. Meanwhile, the Carolina Panthers are at .500 for the season, losing their last matchup to the New Orleans Saints.

TeamsSpreadTotal PointsMoneyline
Panthers +3.5 (-110)42.5 (-110)+165
Falcons-3.5 (-110)42.5 (-110)-200
Prediction: Panthers win the game

Buffalo Bills (6-3) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-3)

The Buffalo Bills will host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for Week 11 matchup. The Bills come into this matchup after a very upsetting loss against the Miami Dolphins, They have been careless at times, dropping very winnable games showing holes and vulnerabilities against non-playoff contending teams. Meanwhile the Buccaneers come into Week 11 after a loss against the Patriots, being solid on the road but dropping two games at home. Injuries have affected them heavily this season and that continues to be the story. But they still lead the NFC South.

TeamsSpreadTotal PointsMoneyline
Buccaneers+5.5 (-110)48 (-110)+200
Bills-5.5 (-110)48 (-110)-250
Prediction: Bills win the game
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New York Giants (2-8) vs Green Bay Packers (5-3-1)

The Giants host the Packers for Week 11 matchup. The Packers come into this matchup after failing to beat the Eagles in their MNF contest, putting up only 7 points in a loss. The Packers are great defensively, but we believe that their QB Jordan Love has not taken the next step in his evolution as a passer. He can be inconsistent at times, and fails to show up in big games. Meanwhile, the Giants have suffered losses after losses this season, and we’re talking about their 2-8 record and injuries to majority of their players. Malik Nabers, Cam Skettebo, and now Jaxon Dart, along with the firing of Brian Daboll, something needs to change.

TeamsSpreadTotal PointsMoneyline
Packers-7 (-110)43.5 (-110)-350
Giants+7 (-110)43.5 (-110)+280
Prediction: Packers win the game

Jacksonville Jaguars (5-4) vs Los Angeles Chargers (7-3)

The Jaguars host the Chargers for Week 11. Jacksonville have been a middle of the pack team this season, winning 3 games at homes while losing 2 and winning two games on the road while losing two. Their latest loss comes after the Texans dismantled them 29-36. Meanwhile, the Chargers started their season hot, lost their momentum after losing two-straight, and now are one a roll again winning three straight. Biggest concern revolves around their offensive line as both Joe Alt and Rashawn Slater are out for the rest of the season.

TeamsSpreadTotal PointsMoneyline
Chargers -3 (-105)43.5 (-110)-150
Jaguars+3 (-115)43.5 (-110)+125
Prediction: Chargers win the game

Arizona Cardinals (3-6) vs San Francisco 49ers (6-4)

The Cardinals host the 49ers for Week 11 matchup. The Cardinals come into this matchup after a 1-6 record in this last 7 games. Nothing much to be said here, expect the Cardinals being very disappointing this season, dropping their last matchup against the Steelers. Meanwhile, the 49ers are now 3-4 in their last seven games, winning one and dropping another. Many questioned the 49ers’ wins this season, and they were spot-on, as they have lost almost every game against good or elite competition this season, with too many injuries to consider them a serious threat.

TeamsSpreadTotal PointsMoneyline
49ers-2.5 (-118)48.5 (-110)-150
Cardinals+2.5 (-102)48.5 (-110)+125
Prediction: 49ers win the game and cover the spread

Los Angeles Rams (7-2) vs Seattle Seahawks (7-2)

Both these teams are hot and rolling this season, with the Rams being on a 4-game winning streak and blowing out the 49ers in a revenge game last week. They are a Super Bowl contending team with Matthew Stafford being on top of his game at age 37. Meanwhile, the Seahawks have been equally impressive, not losing a single game on the road with 4-0 and they are also on a four-game winning streak. With two NFC Giants clashing, this will be one of the most entertaining games.

TeamsSpreadTotal PointsMoneyline
Seahawks +3 (-110)48.5 (-110)+140
Rams-3 (-110)48.5 (-110)-165
Prediction: Rams win the game and cover the spread
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Cleveland Browns (2-7) vs Baltimore Ravens (4-5)

The Brown have not won a single game on the road, with a 0-5 record, and despite changing their starting QB from Flacco to Dillon Gabriel, not giving Shedeur Sanders a chance yet. They are still the same team that they were last season, and nothing has changed at least for now. The Baltimore Ravens are slowly but surely starting to get back on track and are suddenly sitting at 2nd in AFC North, only behind the Steelers. The Ravens are predicted to get the top spot at AFC North by the end of the season, and we think that will happen as well. They have won three straight games, and their easy schedule favors them to get back on top.

TeamsSpreadTotal PointsMoneyline
Ravens-7.5 (-110)39.5 (-110)-400
Browns+7.5 (-110)39.5 (-110)+300
Prediction: Ravens win the game and cover the spread

Denver Broncos (8-2) vs Kansas City Chiefs (5-4)

The Denver Broncos will take on the Chiefs for Week 11 matchup. The Broncos have been dominant this season and are on a 7-game win streak currently, being a perfect 5-0 at home. Their defense has been outstanding this season and they are leading the AFC West ahead of the Chargers and the Chiefs. Meanwhile, the Chiefs, even after getting their receivers back, lost to the Bills previously and are coming fresh off a bye week. With playoff in the near horizon, the Chiefs have to pick it up or they may not be in the playoffs at all.

TeamsSpreadTotal PointsMoneyline
Chiefs -4 (-105)44.5 (-110)-200
Broncos+4 (-115)44.5 (-110)+165
Prediction: Broncos win the game and cover the spread

Philadelphia Eagles (7-2) vs Detroit Lions (6-3)

The Philadelphia Eagles will host the Detroit Lions in this exciting Sunday Night Football matchup. The Eagles are cruising through the regular season and have been solid this season, winning their last three matchups. They are coming off a terrific victory against the Packers, holding them to just 7 points and have a difficult schedule coming up. The Lions are coming off a dominant win against the Commanders, but the bigger question here is if they can win against elite super bowl contending teams. So far, the answer has been no, but we’ll see where they exactly stand using this game, going up against the defending champions.

TeamsSpreadTotal PointsMoneyline
Lions+2.5 (-105)46.5 (-110)+120
Eagles-2.5 (-115)46.5 (-110)-145
Prediction: Eagles win the game and cover the spread

Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) vs Dallas Cowboys (3-5-1)

The Raiders host the Cowboys for Week 11 Monday Night Football matchup. Nothing much to be said here. Both the teams have mightily struggled, with Geno Smith having a terrible season with 12 interceptions, throwing more picks than TDs. Their only two wins have come against the Patriots and the Titans, dropping every other game this season. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have also been very disappointing, winning three games but losing 5 games against teams below .500, with their defense being absolutely horrible.

TeamsSpreadTotal PointsMoneyline
Cowboys -3.5 (-102)50.5 (-110)-175
Raiders+3.5 (-118)50.5 (-110)+145
Prediction: Cowboys win the game and cover the spread
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I cover the National Football League and things cannot get better than that. I always dreamed to play football or basketball professionally since I’m built like a Running Back. But now that I can’t, since I’m technically in the “Unc” age, I thought why not pick a career in sports industry? So here I am, doing what I love, and hoping that the Commanders win the Super Bowl. I give love to players when it’s due, but can be critical about their performances at the same time. Enough about me, now let my articles do all the talking. 

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