NFL Super Bowl LX Underdog Picks and ATS Best Bets

Super Bowl LX features a fresh clash between the New England Patriots and the Seattle Seahawks on February 8, 2026, at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara. The Patriots earned their spot as AFC champions with a gritty playoff push, while the Seahawks secured the NFC title through resilient performances in key elimination games.

This contest brings two storied franchises back to the biggest stage after years of rebuilding. Fans can expect a battle highlighting strong defenses, dynamic playmakers, and coaching strategies aimed at exploiting weaknesses, setting up an exciting showdown for the Lombardi Trophy.

With that said, it is now time to take a look at the top underdog picks and ATS best bets ahead of exciting Super Bowl LX matchup coming up.

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Our Top NFL Underdog ATS Picks for the 2025-26 Super Bowl LX

Here is a list of our top ATS underdog picks (Sourced via BetMGM).

New England Patriots (+4.5) vs Seattle Seahawks

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New England Patriots (+4.5) vs Seattle Seahawks

Line: Patriots +4.5 with (-105) odd at BetMGM

The Patriots stands out as a strong ATS pick for Super Bowl LX, given historical trends and matchup dynamics. Underdogs have covered the spread in the last five Super Bowls and won outright in the past three, with a 17-7 ATS record since 2001. At +4.5, New England fits the profile as underdogs for the first time since 2002, when they upset the Rams. Both teams entered the season as longshots, making this the most unlikely matchup in 50 years, yet sharp money is flowing toward the Patriots per betting splits.

The Seahawks are favored thanks to their potent offense, averaging 28.4 points per game in the playoffs, led by Sam Darnold and explosive playmakers like Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Kenneth Walker III. Their defense ranks second in EPA/play, stifling runs and creating turnovers, which could exploit New England’s inconsistent offense.

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However, the Patriots counter with an equally stout defense, allowing just 18 points per game this postseason and ranking top-five in rush defense. They’ve held opponents to 71.3 rushing yards per playoff game, potentially neutralizing Seattle’s balanced attack.

New England’s offense remains a question mark Seattle’s explosive unit, but Drake Maye’s mobility and Rhamondre Stevenson’s grinding style can control the clock in a low-scoring affair. Projections see a close contest, with underdogs thriving in similar spreads – favorites -3.5 to -7 cover only 46%. At plus-money value, +4.5 offers upside in a defensive battle.

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Eric Divakaran

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I cover the National Football League and things cannot get better than that. I always dreamed to play football or basketball professionally since I’m built like a Running Back. But now that I can’t, since I’m technically in the “Unc” age, I thought why not pick a career in sports industry? So here I am, doing what I love, and hoping that the Commanders win the Super Bowl. I give love to players when it’s due, but can be critical about their performances at the same time. Enough about me, now let my articles do all the talking.