The New Orleans Saints finished the 2025 season with a 6-11 record, marking a slight improvement from the previous year’s 5-12 mark but still reflecting ongoing struggles in a rebuilding phase.
QB instability defined their campaign in 2025-26 as Spencer Rattle won the starting job out of camp and started the first eight games (1-7 record), completing 174-of-257 passes for 1,586 yards, 8 TDs, and 5 INTs before being benched midseason.
Rookie Tyler Shough took over starting in Week 9, going 5-4 in his starts, posting 2,256 yards, 10 TDs, and 5 INTs while sparking a late-season push with clutch play. Despite modest progress, core issues still persist for the Saints going forward into the 2026-27 NFL season.
New Orleans Saints Total Wins Over/Under Odds for 2026-27 Regular Season
The Saints finished their season with a 6-11 record, finishing dead last in their division, the NFC South, but showing slight improvement and more promise under their rookie QB. The NFC South as whole, was one of the more weaker divisions in the NFL last season, with the Buccaneers struggling with injuries, Panthers improving back lacking depth, and the Falcons whose QB Michael Penix Jr. was out for the majority of the season.
With no definitive powerhouses in the NFC South, DraftKings lists the Saints’ 2026 win total at 7.5 games, with even odds, reflecting neutral expectations for improvement in their rebuilding phase.
Listed below is the table that shows the Over/Under for the Saints’ total wins in the upcoming regular season.
New Orleans Saints 2026-27 Regular Season Wins
Odds
Over 7.5
-110
Under 7.5
-110
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The New Orleans Saints finished the 2025-26 season at 6-11, dead last in the NFC South, though not the league’s absolute worst. Rookie QB Tyler Shough took over starting in Week 9 after Spencer Rattler’s early struggles, posing a 5-4 record in his starts and showing promising developments with efficient play and clutch moments. Standouts like rookie CB Kool-Aid McKinstry, DB Ugo Amadi, WR Chris Olave, QB Alvin Kamara, LB Demario Davis, and DE Cameron Jordan provided core talent for a team that’s currently rebuilding.
With the NFL’s second-easiest 2026 schedule (.434 SOS), the Saints are positioned for improvement in a wide-open, competitive NFC South lacking a dominant force, as the Bucs, Panthers, and Falcons were only slight ahead of the Saints with a 8-9 records. If they build on late-2025 momentum and stay healthy, they could contend for a playoff spot and challenge divisional rivals in the 2026-27 season.
Shough enters 2026-27 as the clear starting QB, poised for further strides in his second year. After disastrous post-Drew Brees eras and no playoff appearance since 2020, the Saints are slowly rising through young talent and favorable circumstances, offering hope for steady progress toward being relevant.
Let us take a look at the Saints opponents for the 2026-27 season;
Atlanta Falcons (*2)
Carolina Panthers (*2)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (*2)
Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
Arizona Cardinals
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
Las Vegas Raiders
Chicago Bears
Detroit Lions
New York Giants
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
As mentioned earlier, the Saints have the second easiest schedule in the league and that help them improve their record in the 2026-27 season. They are only facing four teams that made the 2025-26 postseason and have one of the easiest schedules, which should help them achieve more wins than last season.
That said, the Saints are not yet a playoff threat and are still trying to get back in the playoffs. While they have a favorable schedule, it all boils down to taking advantage of their matchups and adding right pieces to their roster in the offseason.
Early Prediction: Saints finish the 2026-27 regular season with a 8-9 record.
New Orleans Saints Major Injuries and Concerns Going Into 2026-27 NFL Season
Injuries
The New Orleans Saints faced a major injury problem during the 2025-26 season. According to RotoWire’s final analysis, they ranked 8th among the most injured NFL teams with 22 players suffering injuries that caused 224 man-games missed – an average of 10.18 man-games per injured player. This heavy attrition significantly disrupted roster continuity and depth throughout the year.
The constant shuffling due to injuries contributed to inconsistent performance, especially on both sides of the ball, and played a role in preventing the Saints from building sustained momentum despite their late-season improvement under rookie QB Tyler Shough.
Looking ahead to 2026-27, injury concerns appear moderate rather than major. Most 2025 injuries were short-to-medium term with no widespread reports of long-term or career-altering issues lingering into the offseason. By the time training camps opens in July 2026, the Saints are expected to be largely healthy, though they will need to improve depth and load management to avoid repeating last season’s attrition.
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Roster Concerns
The Saints enter the 2026-27 season with clear roster concerns at wide receiver, where they need a true high-end complement to Chris Olave and Devaughn Vele to add vertical threat and depth. Interior offensive line is another priority, with a high-end guard required for better protection and run blocking. The running back room also faces long-term planning issues, as Alvin Kamara (age 31) has just one year left and played on 11 games last season.
Defensively, cornerbacks hinges on whether Alontae Taylor returns; if not, another starter is needed. Pass rush requires at least one more edge option even if Cameron Jordan and Demario Davis re-sign short-term. Otherwise, the roster is in a solid spot and young talent and Tyler Shough established at QB.
New Orleans Saints NFL 2026-27 Draft Picks and How They Can Have an Impact on the Total Over/Under Wins Odds
The New Orleans Saints hold eight draft picks in 2026, including a premium No.8 overall selection, providing substantial capital to address key needs and boost competitiveness after a 6-11 finish. Their current 2026 win total sits at 7.5, reflecting cautious optimism for modest results with Tyler Shough at QB and a favorable schedule.
Selecting a high-impact prospect like top RB Jeremiyah Love or elite WRs like Jordyn Tyson or Carnell Tate at No.8 could immediately elevate the offense, pairing explosive talent with Chris Olave, injecting dynamism around Shough, and easing pressure on the run game/RB room. Additional picks in Rounds 2-6 allow them to add further depth at WR, OL, or defense, potentially pushing the team toward 8 or 9 wins and making the over 7.5 a strong value bet in a weak NFC South.
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