Napoli host AS Roma at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on Saturday, February 14, 2026, in a pivotal Serie A Derby del Sole with top-four implications. Napoli, reigning champions, are unbeaten in 22 consecutive home league matches and currently sit third, while Roma trail closely and could draw level on points with a victory.
Antonio Conte’s side are fresh off a Coppa Italia exit on penalties, whereas Roma arrive buoyed by improved league form and the division’s stingiest defence. The stakes are immediate: Champions League qualification positioning and psychological momentum in the season’s decisive phase.
You can find more of our soccer predictions on our main picks hub. Here’s how we’re betting Napoli vs Roma tonight, including our Best Bet, a Same-Game Parlay, and key trends to know.
Napoli vs Roma Match Details
Competition: Serie A
Date & kickoff: Sunday, February 15, 2026 – 2:45 PM ET / 7:45 PM GT
Venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples, Italy
Expected XIs: Napoli 3-4-2-1 vs Roma 3-4-2-1
Best Bet for Napoli vs Roma
Our best bet for Napoli vs Roma is Both Teams to Score: Yes at +120 (BetMGM) / +124 (FanDuel).
Napoli have registered goals in each of their last six Serie A matches, producing multiple goals in four of those fixtures. Even in last week’s tense 2-1 win at Genoa, they demonstrated resilience, overturning an early deficit and generating decisive attacking sequences late on.
Across their last 10 league matches, Napoli have averaged over 1.6 goals per game while conceding in five of those contests. Roma, meanwhile, boast the league’s best defensive record with only 14 goals conceded in 24 matches. However, that discipline has shown cracks against elite opposition.
They have taken just one point from five clashes with current top-five sides and scored only twice in those encounters. Napoli side are unbeaten in 22 home Serie A matches. Its the longest such run since the late 1980s. So, the probability of Roma conceding is significant.
Offensively, Roma remain efficient. Donyell Malen’s brace against Cagliari underscored their transitional threat, and Paulo Dybala’s potential return enhances creativity between the lines. Napoli’s back line will be without Juan Jesus due to suspension, and midfield absences, like Kevin De Bruyne, Frank Anguissa, Billy Gilmour, limit structural balance.
Napoli vs Roma Prediction
Our pick: Napoli to Win at +155 (BetMGM) / +155 (FanDuel)
Napoli have collected 10 points from six matches against current top-five teams, demonstrating their capacity to elevate performance against direct rivals. Roma, conversely, have struggled in high-leverage fixtures. Home-field advantage is decisive.
Napoli’s 22-match unbeaten home league streak represents structural dominance. Against Genoa, despite conceding momentum shifts and losing McTominay temporarily to injury, they regained control and converted a late penalty. Rasmus Højlund’s brace ended his early-2026 drought and provided renewed attacking momentum.
Roma’s away profile introduces caution. While defensively compact, they have scored sparingly against upper-tier opponents and rely heavily on organized shape rather than sustained pressure. Napoli defeated Roma earlier this season in the reverse fixture, and the historical trend supports the hosts. Roma have only one league win in the last 12 meetings and none in Naples since 2017.
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Same-Game Parlay (Bet Builder) for Napoli vs Roma
Bet $100 to Win $365.10 (FanDuel) Total Goals Over 1.5 (+124) + BTTS: Yes (-172) + Rasmus Hojlund to Score or Assist (+230)
Over 1.5 goals is a modest threshold given both sides’ recent scoring patterns; Napoli have exceeded that line in five of their last six league matches, while Roma’s attacking contributions have improved with Malen’s integration. BTTS reinforces the likelihood of reciprocal scoring.
Particularly considering Napoli’s defensive absences and Roma’s creative reinforcements. Roma’s clean-sheet record is impressive overall but less so against elite attacking units. Including Hojlund to score or assist leverages individual form.
The Danish forward’s movement between centre-backs and ability to attack second-phase balls suit Conte’s vertical system. Against Genoa, he demonstrated composure under pressure by converting twice, indicating restored confidence. With Lukaku still regaining full match sharpness, Højlund remains the primary focal point.
Two attacking units with defined scoring outlets and defensive variables support Over 1.5. BTTS addresses Roma’s capacity to exploit Napoli’s suspension-affected back line. Adding Højlund maintains correlation with Napoli’s offensive projection without requiring a specific final scoreline.
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Over 2.5: +170 / Under 2.5: -250 Over 3.5: +450 / Under 3.5: -750
Over 2.5: +186 / Under 2.5: -235 Over 3.5: +520 / Under 3.5: -800
BTTS
Yes: +120 / No: -175
Yes: +124 / No: -158
Asian Handicap
Napoli +0.25: -200 Roma -0.25: +160 / -0.50: +205
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Draw No Bet
Napoli: -150 Roma: +105
Napoli: -145 Roma: +115
Double Chance
Napoli or Draw: -295 Roma or Draw: -200
Napoli or Draw: -300 Roma or Draw: -210
Trends to Know for Napoli vs Roma
Home Fortress: Napoli are unbeaten in 22 consecutive Serie A home matches.
Top-Five Contrast: Napoli have taken 10 points from six games against current top-five sides; Roma have secured just one point from five such fixtures.
Defensive Benchmark: Roma have conceded only 14 goals in 24 league matches, the fewest in Serie A.
Head-to-Head Edge: Roma have one league win in their last 12 meetings with Napoli and none in Naples since 2017.
Cup Hangover Factor: Napoli’s midweek penalty shootout exit may sharpen league focus, while Roma’s recent schedule congestion has tested squad depth.
Latest Injuries & Lineup News for Napoli vs Roma
In soccer, injuries and rotations can drastically alter how a match plays out, especially when it comes to BTTS, totals, and goalscorer markets. Navigating through a few key injuries in this clash, both coaches will look to lineup their strongest XI. Here are the players who are either doubtful or are set to miss out:
Team
Player
Status
Notes
Napoli
Kevin de Bruyne
Out
Thigh
Napoli
Frank Anguissa
Out
Back
Napoli
Billy Gilmour
Out
Groin
Napoli
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
Out
Knee
Napoli
David Neres
Out
Ankle
Napoli
Juan Jesus
Out
Suspension
Roma
Manu Kone
Out
Hamstring
Roma
Stephan El Shaarawy
Out
Achilles
Roma
Evan Ferguson
Out
Ankle
Roma
Artem Dovbyk
Out
Thigh
Reminder: Always check confirmed lineups 60–75 minutes before kickoff, especially for goalscorer and BTTS markets.
How to watch – quick Q&A
What time is Napoli vs Roma?
Napoli vs Roma kicks off at 2:45 PM ET on Sunday, February 15, 2026 (7:45 PM local UK time).
Where is the match being played?
The match will be played at the Estadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples, Italy.
How can I watch on TV / stream?
Broadcast rights vary by territory. In the US, the Serie A can be telecast on Paramount+. The match will be telecast on TNT Sports 1 in the UK. The match will also be available to stream on these broadcasters’ official websites.
Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.
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