Aug 29, 2024; Flushing, NY, USA; Naomi Osaka (JPN) hits to Karolina Muchova (CZE) on day four of the 2024 U.S. Open tennis tournament at USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center.

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Naomi Osaka vs. Greet Minnen Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for US Open 2025 Round-1

Winner to face Baptiste or Siniakova in Round-2.

Aug 29, 2024; Flushing, NY, USA; Naomi Osaka (JPN) hits to Karolina Muchova (CZE) on day four of the 2024 U.S. Open tennis tournament at USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center.

Two-time former champion Naomi Osaka marks her return at the 2025 US Open with a Round-1 tussle against Greet Minnen of Belgium on Tuesday. The Japanese veteran will be playing her first match since reaching the final of the 2025 National Bank Open in Montreal. Will she be able to make a comfortable progression in New York? Keep reading as we give you the statistics and details about this rivalry. Later, BetMGM will help you with the best odds for the encounter.

Naomi Osaka vs Greet Minnen Match Preview

A four-time Grand Slam champion and two-time winner of this competition, Naomi Osaka knows what it takes to capture the biggest titles. The 27-year-old stated before the tournament that she is “feeling really good”, and will be gunning for her maiden trophy since the beginning of 2025. Osaka reached the final in Auckland to start the campaign, before making Round-3 in Melbourne Park. After winning the WTA-125 in Saint-Malo, her next big performance came at the Canadian Open. The former World No. 1 is 12-5 on hard courts this year, and 27-12 overall.

Kim Clijsters says she's predicting Naomi Osaka to end the slam-winning mother drought and win the 2025 US Open 👀pic.twitter.com/6jJQ1cfQDj
— Christian's Court (@christianscourt) August 25, 2025

Greet Minnen is yet to win a tour-level main draw encounter since June, where she stunned Danielle Collins at the Libema Open. Although she has a mightily impressive break point conversion rate of 52% on hard courts, her 12-9 win-loss record does not scream success. Interestingly, the Belgian’s best Grand Slam runs have come at the US Open – where she has reached the Round of 32 twice. A former Top-60 player, the 28-year-old is currently ranked No. 106 in the world. Minnen reached the semis in Austin earlier this year, before winning the WTA-125 championship in Birmingham.

Naomi Osaka vs Greet Minnen Head to Head Record

Naomi Osaka leads the head-to-head against Greet Minnen by 1-0.

Osaka and Minnen locked horns in the opening round of the Madrid Masters in 2024. The Japanese No. 1 produced a fine display to beat Minnen in straight sets. As a result, Tuesday’s Round of 128 meeting is set to be their first duel on hard courts, and first at the Grand Slam level.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2024 Madrid	Round of 128	Naomi Osaka	6-1 6-4

Naomi Osaka vs Greet Minnen Career Comparison

Naomi Osaka	Category	Greet Minnen
24	Current Ranking	106
314-178	Career W-L Record	377-221
27-12	YTD W-L Record	25-15
7	Career Titles	0
0	YTD Titles	0
4	Grand Slams	0

Naomi Osaka vs Greet Minnen US Open 2025 Prediction

From a stylistic point of view, the courts in New York play into Osaka’s hands. They are on the faster side, there is even bounce for players to trust and hit through the line, and conditions are fairly warm. The Japanese starlet can bank on the fact that her powerful groundstrokes can carry her over the line against someone like Minnen. While the Belgian has the ability to test Osaka with some prompt changes of direction and drop shots, she is currently out of form.

Prediction: Naomi Osaka in straight sets.

Naomi Osaka vs Greet Minnen US Open 2025 Betting Odds

Osaka is the strong betting favourite ahead of this US Open 2025 encounter vs Minnen. The Belgian is unlikely to win a set, if the early odds are to be trusted. According to the pre-match money line, Osaka has a 90% chance of beating her opponent in the opening round. Here are the odds for the match result (as per BetMGM):

Naomi Osaka Win: 1/10
Greet Minnen Win: 6/1

Total Sets <2.5: 3/10
Osaka -1.5 (Set Handicap): 2/5
Minnen +5.5 (Game Handicap): 10/11
Osaka to Win 2-0: 4/11
Total Games in Set-1 <9.5: 11/20

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: Robert Deutsch, Imagn Images)

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Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.