On Tuesday, 01/07, the Minnesota Lynx (14-2) will host the Indiana Fever (8-8) in a WNBA regular-season matchup. The Lynx are sitting on top of the standings while the Fever have slipped to the eighth position.
Can the inconsistent Fever lift the Commissioner’s Cup against the best team in the league? Go through the predictions related to player props, total, and spread here.
Lynx: Playing like a champion
The Lynx comes into this game after a rousing 102-63 win against the Connecticut Sun as WNBA frontrunner Napheesa Collier had an explosive 23-point, 9-rebound performance. McBride hit 5 triples while Courtney Williams and Natisha Hiedeman both dished out seven assists each.
It was Lynx’s second win in a row, and they have been victorious in five of the last six games. They have resumed their winning ways from the 2024 campaign and are desperate to become champions after a finals appearance last year.
The window is opening, considering the struggles of defending champs, the NY Liberty. The team plays with the slowest pace, which is because of a deliberate passing game. They rank #1 in assists with around 24 APG per game while shooting the best three-point percentage (9.3 makes on 36.9% FG).
Lynx Expected Starting Lineup
PG: Courtney Williams | SG: Kayla McBride | SF: Bridget Carleton | PF: Napheesa Collier | C: Alanna Smith
Key bench players: PG: Natisha Hiedeman, SF: Marlie Kliundilkova, SF: Diamond Miller, PF: Jessica Shepard
Injuries/Updates: Karlie Samuelson’s status is “UNCLEAR”.
Indiana Fever: Neither here nor there
The Fever enters the match after an impressive 94-86 win against the Dallas Wings without their superstar, Caitlin Clark. Kelsey Mitchell pumped 32 points, whereas Aliyah Boston continued her red-hot form with 21 points.
Meanwhile, Natasha Howard contributed a double-double (15 points, 13 rebounds), whereas Aari McDonald’s 15-point piece was a huge difference maker too. Indiana shot a brilliant 59.3% FG, focusing on two-pointers more than threes(6-14).
Indiana’s incredible depth hasn’t converted into wins, tho. They are yet to win more than two in a row and are 2-3 in the last five games. Clark has been terrific overall, but her returns have been slim lately due to multiple injuries.
The Fever’s roster is equipped to win much more, but now Clark will have to be even more assertive after her recovery.
Fever Expected Starting Lineup
PG: Caitlin Clark | SG: Kelsey Mitchell | SG: Lexie Hull | PF: Natasha Howard | C: Aliyah Boston
Key bench players: SG/SF: Sydney Colson, SF: Sophie Cunningham, SG: Aari McDonald
Injuries/Updates: Caitlin Clark’s status is UNCLEAR. Damiris Dantas is OUT due to FIBA AmeriCup commitments.
Both Lynx and Fever are high-scoring squads who like to score in the late 80s and even early 90s. Defensively, the Lynx are head-and-shoulders above Indiana, usually restricting opponents to below 80. Meanwhile, Indiana allows 80+ more often.
But I feel both teams will be battling hard for the Commissioner Cup trophy, which can make for a defensive-oriented battle. Therefore, I will opt for “Under” here.
Total: Under 166.5 for -105 at BetMGM
Napheesa Collier Over 22.5 points: Collier is averaging a league-leading 24.4 PPG on an excellent 52.5% FG. She has scored 23 or more in six of the last seven games, so I have little doubt about her clearing the “over” here.
Caitlin Clark Under 19.5 points: Clark has averaged 18.2 PPG for the season. Before her groin injury, she scored 19 or fewer points in three straight games, shooting just 1/23 from three in that period. She will come after a decent break, but I expect the tight Lynx defense to hold her “under” the mark here.
Alanna Smith to pull down over 5.5 rebounds: The Lynx Center has pulled down 5.5 RPG this season, collecting 5+ rebounds in three of the last four games. I expect her to clear at least 6 boards here.
Main pick: Napheesa Collier Over 22.5 points at BetMGM
The Lynx will enter as favorites here. Minnesota is 7-0 at home and in terrific rhythm on both ends of the floor. They are more experienced in a playoff-like setting, too.
Meanwhile, the Fever has been rather vulnerable and would surely need Clark to counter the loaded shooting game of Minnesota. I expect the Lynx to take care of business whether CC plays or not, and JUST about clear the spread.
Spread/Money Line Pick: Spread: Lynx -5.5 for -115 at BetMGM
Photo Credit: Steven Bisig-Imagn Images
nba Hi, I am Shubham. I am currently an NBA Predictions Writer on The Playoffs. I enjoy this job because it helps keep me in the loop about the game I love while fulfilling the pleasure I derive from stats. I got into NBA writing through social media interactions in the mid-2010s as I shared my takes on young talents such as D’Angelo Russell. I hope you enjoy reading my pieces as much as Dennis Rodman loved rebounding the basketball!
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