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Lorenzo Musetti vs. Lorenzo Sonego Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for ATP Paris Masters 2025 Round-2

Sankalp Harikrishnan

High stakes Round of 32 encounter as Musetti eyes Turin.

Chants of ‘Viva Italia’ will take over the French capital on Wednesday, as Lorenzo Musetti and Lorenzo Sonego prepare to battle it out at the 2025 Paris Masters. The two powerhouse Italians will lock horns in the Round of 32, with the winner set to face Grigor Dimitrov or Daniil Medvedev in the pre-quarterfinal stage. Today, we will give you the preview and predictions for this match. Finally, BetMGM will take you through their best betting odds.

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Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego Match Preview

Both Musetti and Sonego have failed to pick up a title in 2025. The World No. 8 had a terrific campaign during the clay court swing – reaching the final in Monte Carlo and three consecutive semifinals in Madrid, Rome and Paris. Since then, he won just one match up until the US Open. Meanwhile, Sonego began on an impressive note with quarterfinal finishes at the Australian Open as well as the Open 13. He failed to make a noteworthy impact ever since.

In the recent tournaments, Musetti earned a runner-up trophy in Chengdu. The 23-year-old has won 83% service games this year, and saved 61% break points along the way. He is currently competing for a spot in the Nitto ATP Finals in Turin. On the other hand, Sonego’s quarterfinal showing in Stockholm induced newfound energy and momentum to his below average season. Currently ranked No. 45 in the world, he has a win-loss record of 21-27 so far.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego Head to Head Record

Lorenzo Musetti leads the head-to-head against Lorenzo Sonego by 1-0. They faced each other at the 2024 Vienna Open.

EventRoundWinnerScore
2024 ViennaRound of 32Lorenzo Musetti6-3 6-2

Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego Career Comparison

Lorenzo MusettiCategoryLorenzo Sonego
8Current Ranking45
173-129Career W-L Record163-182
41-18YTD W-L Record21-27
2Career Titles4
0YTD Titles0
0Grand Slams0

Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego ATP Paris Masters 2025 Prediction

In Round-1, Lorenzo Sonego hit the ground running with a dismissive performance against Sebastian Korda. Provided the 30-year-old maintains a similar level, he has what it takes to upset the No. 7 seed. Sonego has the ability to cause chaos and take time away from his opponents. Unless Musetti can vary the pace and spin to prevent getting suffocated on the Parisian courts, he could suffer an early exit.

Prediction: Lorenzo Sonego in three sets.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego ATP Paris Masters 2025 Betting Odds

Musetti (1/3) leads underdog Sonego (9/4) in the pre-match betting market at the 2025 Paris Masters. According to the implied probability on the money line, the Olympic bronze medalist has a 70% chance of advancing to the next round. Given below is the list of all the important odds to know about before placing your bets (as per BetMGM):

  • Lorenzo Musetti Win: 1/3
  • Lorenzo Sonego Win: 9/4
  • Total Games >22.5: 22/25
  • Total Games <22.5: 17/20
  • Musetti -3.5 (Game Handicap): 10/11
  • Sonego -1.5 (Set Handicap): 5/1
  • Musetti to Win 2-0: 17/20
  • Total Sets <2.5: 1/2
  • Set-1 to Musetti (Yes): 21/50
  • Total Games in Set-1 <9.5: 6/5

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: Susan Mullane, Imagn Images)

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.

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