Eighth-seed Lorenzo Musetti will take on Benjamin Bonzi in his first match at the 2025 Cincinnati Masters. Musetti faced the second-round exit in National Bank Open and Bonzi kicked off his campaign in Cincinnati after beating Matteo Arnaldi in opening round. With BetMGM providing the most accurate betting odds for this Round of 64 clash at the 2025 Cincinnati Open, find out all the predictions ahead of this crucial match-up. Can Bonzi get another big win like Wimbledon and upset the swashbuckling Italian?
Despite an early exit in his first attempt in North American hard-court swing, Musetti had a career-best season. He surged to his career-high rankings last month. Injuries hurt his campaign in the ongoing season but still, he had deep run in the big events. He reached the Monte Carlo final where he lost to Carlos Alcaraz in three sets. He had a semifinal run in Madrid, Rome, and Roland Garros.
Lorenzo Musetti reaching the 2025 Roland-Garros semifinals ensures this incredible stat is still alive:
— Bastien Fachan (@BastienFachan) June 3, 2025
Someone with a one-handed backhand has reached the semifinals of a Grand Slam every single year since tennis began! pic.twitter.com/7YFliGgKRB
Benjamin Bonzi made headlines last month when he made an upset victory over Daniil Medvedev in first-round of the Wimbledon. However, the Frenchman couldn’t survive in the second round. Bonzi faced first-round elimination in last two hard-court events but ended the streak in Cincinnati when he got his first victory in North American swing. The 29-year-old was extremely aggressive to blast 53 winners. Benjamin has a terrible 16-19 record this season, including 10-9 on hard.
Brilliant Bonzi 🙌
— Wimbledon (@Wimbledon) June 30, 2025
Benjamin Bonzi defeats Daniil Medvedev 7-6 (2), 3-6, 7-6 (3), 6-2 to claim his second win against a top 10 player #Wimbledon pic.twitter.com/fs6UA3Ou7b
Lorenzo Musetti holds the 1-0 advantage over Benjamin Bonzi on the ATP tour. Apart from the ATP, Musetti takes the 2-1 edge over the French ace. Their only big meeting came in the 2024 Australian Open where the Italian ace won 7-6(3), 7-6(4), 4-6, 6-2 in the 1st round.
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Australian Open | Round of 128 | Lorenzo Musetti | 7-6(3), 7-6(4) 4-6, 6-2 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | Category | Benjamin Bonzi |
| 10 | Current Ranking | 34 |
| 157–121 | Career W-L | 53–74 |
| 25-11 | YTD W-L | 15-20 |
| 2 | Career Titles | 0 |
| 0 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 0 | YTD Titles | 0 |
Musetti’s heavy topspin forehand and backhand will counter Bonzi but hard court will test him. The Frenchman serves above 65% and his first-serve percentage will give him a slight edge. Bonzi also had few top-10 victories which can push him to counter Musetti.
Prediction: Musetti to win in three sets.
With odds favoring Musetti at 1/3 against Michelsen’s 5/2, the Italian enters as the clear favorite, backed by superior in-season run and improved game performance.
Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:
Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM):
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images
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wnba A native of Jaipur, Rajasthan, journalist, and a complete soccer and basketball fan, he found the huge interest with basketball by watching videos of Allen Iverson and Tony Parker, but fell head over heels in love with the sport during the Warriors’ championship era (2015-2018). A sports game addict since his late PS1, he’s also passionate about the Eagles, Inter Miami and the Fever. He’s fortunate to have seen all his favorite teams win championships. He also has a special love for cricket and football (soccer), where he is a fan of Royal Challengers Bangalore and Barcelona.
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