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Karen Khachanov vs Nuno Borges Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for Wimbledon 2025 Round 3

Devavrat Kulkarni

Khachanov and Borges are meeting for only the second time

Wimbledon 2025 continues with the first day of round 3 action, and the number 17 seed Karen Khachanov will play against Nuno Borges in the final match of the day on the No. 3 court. The pair has met only once before, but that was more than three years ago. 

For Borges, this is already his best result at Wimbledon, and with a win today, he will tie his career-best at the majors if he makes it to the fourth round. As for Khachanov, the Russian is striving to better his quarterfinal finish from 2021. 

Karen Khachanov vs Nuno Borges Preview

Khachanov entered Wimbledon 2025 with a 4-2 record on grass this year. Since then, he earned a relatively easy straight sets win over Mackenzie McDonald in the first round, but was taken all the way to five sets in his second round win over Shintaro Mochizuki. 

In that 3-hour 40-minute match against Mochizuki, Khachanov came up second-best in almost every major stat, yet managed to win the big points as he battled back from a 2 sets to 1 deficit. The 50-odd unforced errors are something he will need to cut back on.

Portuguese star Nuno Borges entered 3 tournaments prior to Wimbledon, where he finished with a 3-3 record. However, he has played well thus far at the All England Club, dispatching the 16th seed Francisco Cerundolo and Billy Harris in the first and second rounds respectively. 

Karen Khachanov vs Nuno Borges Head-to-Head Record

The only match the duo has played until now came in 2022 on the clay courts of Roland Garros. Khachanov pulled out a four-set win in what was otherwise a close match. 

YearEventRoundWinnerScore
2022Roland GarrosRound of 128Karen Khachanov6-3, 2-6, 6-4, 6-4

Karen Khachanov vs Nuno Borges Comparison

Karen KhachanovCategoryNuno Borges
20Ranking37
299-216Career W-L60-68
18-15YTD W-L20-18
7Career Titles1
0Grand Slams0
0YTD Titles 0

Karen Khachanov vs Nuno Borges Wimbledon 2025 Prediction

The Portuguese is currently enjoying some of the best grass-court tennis of his career. But his game is more focused on play from the baseline with limited variety at the net. This should play into the hands of the Russian, who is one of the better movers on the court. 

Khachanov hasn’t gotten off to the best start, but his big serve has the ability to trouble Borges. He will have to play better and reduce his unforced errors, which were a big factor in the last match. 

Match Prediction: Khachanov wins in four sets

Karen Khachanov vs. Nuno Borges Wimbledon 2025 Betting Odds

As per BetMGM, Khachanov is the favorite with a 67% chance of winning this match. The money line for this match also shows the Russian as the favorite to win by a big margin. (Sourced from BetMGM). 

As for the number of games and sets, the betting odds by BetMGM reflect that Khachanov is favored to win the match in four sets. 

BetKaren KhachanovNuno Borges
Match Odds21/5037/20

The over-under for the number of sets and games in this match is as follows: 

  • Total Sets – Over 3.5: 12/25
  • Total Sets – Under 4.5: 1/3
  • Total Games won by Borges – Over 19.5: 10/11
  • Total Games – Over 40.5: 10/11
  • Total Games – Under 40.5: 17/20
  • Borges to lose in straight sets: 12/5
  • Total Tiebreaks – Under 0.5: 9/5

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals, and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

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I am a content writer for the NFL team, and joined The Playoffs after working with Sportskeeda and NFL Analysis as an NFL writer. After starting my professional career as a French-to-English translator, working as a content writer is a new adventure for me. I started out in the sports media field for two main reasons: my love for sports in general, especially the NFL, NBA, and Tennis, as well as my passion for writing. The best part of this job is that I get to write a variety of pieces with the freedom to explore content from various angles. It also enables me to stay up to date with the sporting world, which otherwise can be difficult to do in the day-to-day grind. In a world full of chaos, sports unite and entertain like nothing else!

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