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Joao Fonseca vs. Miomir Kecmanovic Preview, Prediction and Betting Odds for US Open 2025 Round-1

Sankalp Harikrishnan

Round-1 action on Grandstand.

One of the most talked about South American talents in recent times, Joao Fonseca is here for the long haul. Set to make his US Open main draw debut on Grandstand Court, the Brazilian prodigy takes on Miomir Kecmanovic of Serbia in Round-1 of the 2025 US Open on Monday. Which youngster will advance to the next stage and keep their dream alive and kicking? Stay in touch with Playoffs News and BetMGM to know everything about this year’s event at Flushing Meadows.

Joao Fonseca vs Miomir Kecmanovic Match Preview

Set for their first meeting on the ATP Tour, both Fonseca and Kecmanovic are bidding to win their second title of the season. Ranked #45 and #42 respectively, they are two of the most potent unseeded talents in the men’s draw. Having announced himself by winning the 2024 Next Gen ATP Finals, Joao Fonseca started 2025 by winning the Argentina Open in February. The 19-year-old also excelled on the Challenger Tour, before reaching the Roland Garros Round of 32.

Kecmanovic and Fonseca also reached the Third Round of the Wimbledon Championships. The Serbian started 2025 by reaching the semis in Adelaide. He then pulled off a magnificent double in Delray Beach – winning the singles and doubles trophies. Since then, the 25-year-old is yet to string a consistent set of outings. While Fonseca has a 9-5 hard court record (80% success rate in service games), Kecmanovic is not far behind with his 14-10 statistic (80% success rate in service games).

Joao Fonseca vs Miomir Kecmanovic Career Comparison

Joao FonsecaCategoryMiomir Kecmanovic
45Current Ranking42
28-21Career W-L Record164-169
17-13YTD W-L Record19-21
1Career Titles2
1YTD Titles1
0Grand Slams0

Joao Fonseca vs Miomir Kecmanovic US Open 2025 Prediction

While Fonseca has a great ball-striking ability, the criticism of his game remains that it is too uni-dimensional. When the pressure is applied back on him, he tends to run out of answers and the unforced errors begin creeping in. At the Cincinnati Open, the teenager managed to maintain a first serve percentage of just under 70%. While Kecmanovic has a strong forehand, Fonseca can dismantle his game by making him move front and back, and staying strong on serve.

Prediction: Joao Fonseca in five sets.

Joao Fonseca vs Miomir Kecmanovic US Open 2025 Betting Odds

Fonseca (3/5 odds) is a slight favourite over Kecmanovic, who will start the match as the underdog on Monday. According to the implied probability on the money line, the Brazilian has a 60% chance of advancing to the next stage of the tournament. Here are the odds for the match result and set-wise betting (as per BetMGM):

  • Joao Fonseca Win: 3/5
  • Miomir Kecmanovic Win: 27/20
  • Total Games >39.5: 9/10
  • Total Games By Fonseca >20.5: 17/20
  • Total Games By Kecmanovic >19.5: 22/25
  • Fonseca -2.5 (Game Handicap): 5/6
  • Kecmanovic +2.5 (Game Handicap): 10/11
  • Fonseca to Win 3-1: 10/3
  • Total Number of Tiebreaks >0.5: 16/25

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: Aaron Doster, Imagn Images)

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.

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