Winner to face Gauff or Anisimova in the final.
No. 5 seed Jessica Pegula is set to contest a blockbuster semifinal against No. 26 seed Linda Noskova at the 2025 WTA China Open. The two starlets have encountered one another twice this year, and this battle will determine who advances to the summit clash on Sunday. The winner of this match will take on either Coco Gauff or Amanda Anisimova in the final. But who is the favorite and who is the underdog? Look no further, as BetMGM will provide you with the best bets.
Jessica Pegula started the tournament with a comfortable straight sets win over Ajla Tomljanovic in Round-2. Since then, the 31-year-old American has endured a hat-trick of three set thrillers to reach this stage. Pegula is a constant name in the world’s Top-10, and has been ranked as high as No. 3 in the world. In 2025 alone, she has captured three titles (Austin, Charleston, Bad Homburg) and two runner-up trophies (Adelaide, Miami). The former US Open finalist has garnered a record of 46-17 in the ongoing campaign.
Linda Noskova is aiming to secure a maiden entry into the WTA Top-20 this week. Although the 20-year-old had to face only one seeded player so far (def. Zheng Qinwen), she has produced an immaculate level of tennis. Noskova’s two semifinal appearances in Abu Dhabi and Bad Homburg were followed by a sensational run to the summit clash at her home event in Prague. The World No. 27 has stitched up a win-loss ratio of 33-22 in 2025 so far.
The head-to-head record between Jessica Pegula and Linda Noskova is 1-1. Both encounters took place in the first half of the 2025 season.
| Event | Round | Winner | Score |
| 2025 Bad Homburg | Semifinal | Jessica Pegula | 6-7(2) 7-5 6-1 |
| 2025 Dubai | Round of 16 | Linda Noskova | 6-3 7-6(8) |
| Jessica Pegula | Category | Linda Noskova |
| 7 | Current Ranking | 27 |
| 480-265 | Career W-L Record | 179-95 |
| 46-17 | YTD W-L Record | 33-22 |
| 9 | Career Titles | 1 |
| 3 | YTD Titles | 0 |
| 0 | Grand Slams | 0 |
Pegula looks in fine touch this week, and seems to be getting better with every passing match. The 31-year-old has navigated some challenges on her own service games, and finds a rhythm as the match goes on. There will be plenty of cross-court baseline exchanges against someone like Noskova, which the American thrives on. The Czech starlet surprisingly won a higher percentage of second serve points as opposed to first serve points in her quarterfinal. However, expect Pegula to play with a more attacking mindset in order to book her spot in Sunday’s final.
Prediction: Jessica Pegula in three sets.
Pegula has the edge over Noskova in the China Open 2025 semifinals. Her odds of 8/15 are comfortably ahead of the Czech youngster, whose odds of 6/4 make her a slight underdog. According to the money line, Pegula has a 70% chance of advancing to the final. Here are the odds (as per BetMGM):
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(Image Credits: Mike Frey, Imagn Images)