Jessica Pegula vs. Emma Raducanu Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for WTA China Open 2025 Round-3

Can Raducanu outhit the American No. 5 seed in Beijing?

No. 5 seed Jessica Pegula faces former US Open champion Emma Raducanu in a blockbuster 2025 China Open Round of 32 encounter on Monday. Both players came through their first match with relative ease, and advanced without dropping a set. While Pegula has the advantage in terms of past record, the British young gun has all the weapons to pull off an upset. The winner of this match will take on either Marta Kostyuk or Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the pre-quarterfinal stage. Today, we will give you the match preview and predictions before BetMGM offers the best odds.

Jessica Pegula vs Emma Raducanu Match Preview

Despite reaching the final four at the 2025 US Open, failing to defend her runner-up points meant that Jessica Pegula slipped to No. 7 in the WTA Rankings. The 31-year-old American has won three trophies this year – at Austin, Charleston and Bad Homburg. Pegula was also the finalist in Adelaide and Miami, which boosted her 2025 success ratio to 72%. The former World No. 3 also played a crucial role in guiding Team USA to the runner-up spot at the Billie Jean King Cup. Seeded fifth in Beijing this week, Pegula beat Ajla Tomljanovic 6-0 6-3 in the Round of 64.

#2025ChinaOpen women’s singles R2
No.5 seed and former US Open finalist Jessica Pegula defeated three-time Grand Slam quarterfinalist Ajla Tomljanovic 6-0, 6-3 to reach the next round pic.twitter.com/d8tjZlg153
— China Open (@ChinaOpen) September 27, 2025

On the other hand, Emma Raducanu served 5 aces and won 71% points on first serve during her opening victory vs Cristina Bucsa of Spain. While the 22-year-old is yet to win a title since her triumph at Flushing Meadows four years ago, her progress in the second half of 2025 has been glaring. A semifinal at the Citi DC Open, two quarterfinals in Miami and Queen’s Club, and four Round of 16 appearances happen to be the highlights of Raducanu’s campaign. The Briton is 28-19 this year – including wins over the likes of Amanda Anisimova and Naomi Osaka.

Tested but never toppled 💥
Emma Raducanu fights past Cristina Bucsa 6-3 6-3 to reach the China Open last 32 🇬🇧🔥 pic.twitter.com/zFQsGa9Juf
— TNT Sports (@tntsports) September 27, 2025

Jessica Pegula vs Emma Raducanu Head to Head Record

Pegula leads the head-to-head against Raducanu by 2-1.

Interestingly, Pegula has won the two encounters which took place on American soil so far. Raducanu returned the favor by winning the solitary match-up in Great Britain. Their most recent duel was at the 2025 Miami Open, where Pegula needed three sets to overcome Raducanu. The 2025 China Open will be the first neutral venue to host this rivalry, and the third hard court meeting between the two starlets.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025 Miami	Quarterfinal	Jessica Pegula	6-4 6-7(3) 6-2
2024 Eastbourne	Round of 16	Emma Raducanu	4-6 7-6(6) 7-5
2022 Cincinnati	Round of 16	Jessica Pegula	7-5 6-4

Jessica Pegula vs Emma Raducanu Career Comparison

Jessica Pegula	Category	Emma Raducanu
7	Current Ranking	32
477-265	Career W-L Record	147-81
43-17	YTD W-L Record	28-19
9	Career Titles	1
3	YTD Titles	0
0	Grand Slams	1

Jessica Pegula vs Emma Raducanu WTA China Open 2025 Prediction

BetMGM

All in one gambling website

Reputable gambling name

Multiple betting features including live streaming

$1,500

Welcome offer

Get up to $1,500 Back in Bonus Bets

Click to copy code

COPIED

TPOVIP

Claim now

21+. AZ/CO/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA/MD/MA/MI/NJ/OH/PA/TN/ VA/WV/WY only. Offer not available in DC/MS/NV/NY/PR. New customers only. Qualifying deposit (min $10) and first real money wager required. If qualifying bet settles as a loss, user is refunded 100% in non-withdrawable bonus bets up to $1,500. Full T&Cs can be found on betmgm.com.

Both players enjoy trading blows from the baseline, and rely on hitting through the line. While Raducanu’s cross-court winners make her a terrifying contender to deal with, Pegula has a knack of painting the edges with her down the line groundstrokes. The 22-year-old finds herself in a potentially vulnerable spot due to her exploitable second serve, but has the ability to make up for it. She will be keen on drawing level in the head-to-head, and the bouncy conditions in China could present her the best chance to do so.

Prediction: Emma Raducanu in three sets.

Jessica Pegula vs Emma Raducanu WTA China Open 2025 Betting Odds

Jessica Pegula leads her head-to-head with Emma Raducanu 2-1 and has never lost to her on a hardcourt 🫢

Stream their fourth ever meeting live or catch the replay on our Tennis Channel App 📲 #2025ChinaOpen pic.twitter.com/KGm9am9gkU
— Tennis Channel (@TennisChannel) September 27, 2025

Pegula (3/5) has a very slight edge in the pre-match betting market, making her the favorite against underdog Raducanu (13/10) ahead of the 2025 China Open match-up. According to the implied probability on the money line, Pegula has a 67% chance of advancing to the next round. Here are all the odds you need to know about (as per BetMGM):

Jessica Pegula Win: 3/5
Emma Raducanu Win: 13/10

Total Games >21.5: 17/20
Total Sets <2.5: 11/20
Raducanu +2.5 (Game Handicap): 10/11
Pegula -1.5 (Set Handicap): 29/20
Total Number of Tiebreaks <0.5: 2/7
Set-1 to Pegula (Yes): 13/20
Total Games in Set-1 >9.5: Evens

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: Geoff Burke, Imagn Images)

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.