Aug 27, 2025; Flushing, NY, USA; Jelena Ostapenko of Latvia in action against Taylor Townsend of the United States in the second round of the women’s singles at the US Open at Billie Jean King National Tennis Center.

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Jelena Ostapenko vs. Marina Stakusic Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for WTA Guadalajara Open 2025 Round of 16

Second career meeting between the two players.

Weeks after her US Open 2025 controversy, Jelena Ostapenko returns for pre-quarterfinals action at the 2025 Guadalajara Open. She will take on Canadian starlet Marina Stakusic in one of the marquee clashes on Wednesday. Interestingly enough, the Latvian lost to the same opponent at the same stage in last year’s event on Mexican soil. Will Stakusic be able to make history repeat itself? Let’s find out with the aid of some accurate betting odds from BetMGM.

Jelena Ostapenko vs Marina Stakusic Match Preview

After losing in Round-2 of the US Open 2025, Jelena Ostapenko was in the heart of controversy after a disagreement with American southpaw Taylor Townsend. She will aim to make her racquet do the talking on Wednesday, as the 28-year-old looks to build on her 18-17 record this year. Ostapenko picked up a solitary title in Stuttgart – beating World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka in the final. Currently ranked No. 24 in the world, the former Roland Garros champion is one of the favorites to emerge triumphant in Guadalajara this week.

Eyes on the prize, and now it’s hers 😆@JelenaOstapenk8 defeats the World No.1 to win her first Stuttgart singles title, 6-4, 6-1!#PorscheTennis pic.twitter.com/9FeBYIvbuE
— wta (@WTA) April 21, 2025

Marina Stakusic has won three matches so far, including a couple of nervy victories in the qualifying draw. She beat Polina Kudermetova in a tense three-setter on Tuesday to set up this blockbuster duel. Yet to break into the WTA Top-100, the 20-year-old Canadian is already a Billie Jean King Cup champion for her country. Having made her Grand Slam main draw debut at Wimbledon 2024, Stakusic is now three wins away from hitting the century mark in all competitions. She has converted 52% break points and won 37% return games in 2025.

A comeback for the ages 😮‍💨

Marina Stakusic digs deep to move past Kudermetova 3-6, 7-5, 6-4 to reach round two in Guadalajara.#GDLOpenAKRONxSantander pic.twitter.com/XjnPIXk8wZ
— wta (@WTA) September 9, 2025

Jelena Ostapenko vs Marina Stakusic Head to Head Record

Marina Stakusic has a 1-0 record in the head-to-head against Jelena Ostapenko. They faced each other at the Guadalajara Open 2024.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2024 Guadalajara	Round of 16	Marina Stakusic	6-3 5-7 7-6(0)

Jelena Ostapenko vs Marina Stakusic Career Comparison

Jelena Ostapenko	Category	Marina Stakusic
24	Current Ranking	155
389-244	Career W-L Record	97-76
18-17	YTD W-L Record	10-17
9	Career Titles	0
1	YTD Titles	0
1	Grand Slams	0

Jelena Ostapenko vs Marina Stakusic WTA Guadalajara Open 2025 Prediction

Due to her inconsistencies, it is hard to predict which version of Ostapenko we will get. The Latvian’s go for broke mentality means that she can either produce the most flawless performance, or have an error-prone evening. However, Ostapenko will be keen on making a statement after her recent US Open exit. Moreover, she will want to take revenge for her loss against Stakusic last year. Provided the former World No. 5 can execute her attacking game plan, victory is more or less guaranteed.

Prediction: Jelena Ostapenko in straight sets.

Jelena Ostapenko vs Marina Stakusic WTA Guadalajara Open 2025 Betting Odds

Ostapenko has been given very favourable odds to defeat Stakusic in the Guadalajara Open 2025 Round of 16. According to the pre-match probability on the money line, the Latvian has a 75% chance of beating her Canadian counterpart. Given below are the most likely outcomes in the betting market (as per BetMGM):

Jelena Ostapenko Win: 1/4
Marina Stakusic Win: 14/5

Total Games >20.5: 23/25
Total Sets <2.5: 21/50
Ostapenko to Win 2-0: 4/6
Ostapenko -1.5 (Set Handicap): 8/11
Total Games in Set-1 >9.5: 6/5

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: Mike Frey, Imagn Images)

Betting

Guadalajara Open

Jelena Ostapenko

Marina Stakusic

Taylor Townsend

Tennis

US Open

WTA

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.