Aug 24, 2025; Flushing, NY, USA; Jasmine Paolini (ITA) celebrates after defeating Destanee Aiava (AUS) (not pictured) on day one of the 2025 U.S. Open tennis tournament at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

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Jasmine Paolini vs. Marketa Vondrousova Head-to-Head, Preview, Predictions and Betting Odds for 2025 US Open Round 3

Jasmine Paolini celebrates second-round win in 2025 US Open.

World No. 8 Jasmine Paolini will be facing World No. 60 Marketa Vondrousova in the third round of the 2025 US Open. Paolini is coming off a Cincinnati Open runner-up run and has built a lot of momentum in the initial two rounds of the event. Paolini has been quite consistent this year, as can be seen from her 33/14 record. However, she started the year ranked World No. 4 and has since then fallen to No. 8. That is not a good sign.

Marketa Vondrousova hasn’t had a year to remember. The Czech player has been limited to round 64 or round of 32 appearances in the Grand Slams. But despite her struggles and a 14/8 record, Vondrousova remains a formidable opponent, and that’s partly why she might even be a slight favorite in this match. So what can we expect from this match? Here’s a detailed analysis based on the great odds from BetMGM.

Jasmine Paolini vs. Marketa Vondrousova Head to Head

Marketa Vondrousova leads Jasmine Paolini 1-0 in their matchups.

The two faced each other in the Beil qualifier round 3. Vondrousova had an easy two-set, 7-5, 6-2 win. However, it’s been 8 years since that match, and both have grown since then. All in all, this is a brand new matchup and the result could go anywhere.

Year	Event	Round	Winner	Score
2017	Beil	Qualifying Round 3	Marketa Vondrousova	7-5, 6-2

Jasmine Paolini vs. Marketa Vondrousova Career Comparison

Jasmine Paolini	Category	Marketa Vondrousova
8	Current Rank	60
33/14	YTD W/L	14/8
1	YTD Titles	1
419/84	Career W/L	290/129
3	Career Titles	3

Jasmine Paolini vs. Marketa Vondrousova Match Prediction

Jasmine Paolini wasn’t doing well before her Cincinnati Open run. So one cannot call that run a turnaround yet. The US Open will show whether Paolini is back to her best or whether that run was just a flash in the pan. Similarly, Vondrousova hasn’t been consistent throughout the year (a common point for both) so this match could become extremely close. Still due to Paolini’s more recent win, she holds slight edge in this match.

Match Prediction – Jasmine Paolini in 3 Sets.

Italian photographer Ray Giubilo with a one-in-a-million shot of Jasmine Paolini at the US Open 👻

(via raygiubilo/IG) pic.twitter.com/XnjdjpnRK4
— Bastien Fachan (@BastienFachan) August 26, 2025

Jasmine Paolini vs. Marketa Vondrousova 2025 US Open Betting Odds

The odds are nearly equal heading into this match per the data given by BetMGM.

Jasmine Paolini win – 91/100
Marketa Vondrousova win – 87/100

Total Sets 2 – 53/100
Total Sets 3 – 27/20
Total Games >21.5 – 4/5
Total Games <21.5 – 87/100
Set 1 Winner Paolini – 87/100
Set 1 Winner Vondrousova – 17/20

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals, and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

Jasmine Paolini

Marketa Vondrousova

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Sanskar Dubey

A passionate sports fan since childhood, it was always my dream to cover the peak of human potential. Baseball, Tennis, and Football (or Soccer) have been closest to my heart. From Rafael Nadal’s never-say-die attitude to Roger Federer’s beautiful backhand, I’ve seen it all. Prior to the Playoffs, I’ve worked in EssentiallySports and Pro Football and Sports Network.