Jasmine Paolini vs. Belinda Bencic Prediction, Odds and Best Bets (United Cup 2026, January 4)

Paolini v. Bencic Best Odds, Game & Set Handicap, Predictions & TV Schedule.

World No. 8 Jasmine Paolini will battle World No. 11 Belinda Bencic as Italy takes on Switzerland in the 2026 United Cup on Sunday. As two veteran nations in team competitions fight it out for supremacy, the women’s singles action is set to take center stage. Paolini and Bencic will meet for the fifth time in their careers, and for the first time since their thrilling duel in Ningbo.

Jasmine Paolini arrives in Rome with the Olympic flame ahead of the 2026 Winter Games.

2024 Olympic Gold medalist in the house. 🥇

🇮🇹❤️ pic.twitter.com/8vCyzAQr9o
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) December 5, 2025

A two-time Grand Slam finalist, Paolini won the Italian Open in 2025. She also won four doubles trophies, and competed at the WTA Finals in both categories. Despite having a record of 46-21 in the previous campaign, Bencic has proven to be someone who has troubled the Italian over the years. The 28-year-old Swiss sensation has been ranked as high as No. 4 in the world, and will be desperate to inch closer to that ranking.

A thrilling start for Team Switzerland 🇨🇭

Belinda Bencic secures her singles win 6-2 6-4 pic.twitter.com/z9roS737Jw
— United Cup (@UnitedCupTennis) January 3, 2026

According to the tennis betting odds, Jasmine Paolini (-141) is the favorite to overpower the underdog Belinda Bencic (+114) in this clash (via BetMGM). Here’s how we are betting on the Jasmine Paolini vs Belinda Bencic encounter at the 2026 United Cup, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.

Tournament & Round: United Cup 2026, Round Robin Stage
Surface: Outdoor Hard Court
Format: Mixed Gender, Best of Three Sets
Date & Start Time: January 4, Not Before 17:00 Local
Court: RAC Arena, Perth
Best Bet: Jasmine Paolini -1.5 Games @ -121 as per BetMGM

BetMGM

All in one gambling website

Reputable gambling name

Multiple betting features including live streaming

$1,500

Welcome offer

Get up to $1,500 Back in Bonus Bets

Click to copy code

COPIED

TPOVIP

Claim now

21+. AZ/CO/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA/MD/MA/MI/NJ/OH/PA/TN/ VA/WV/WY only. Offer not available in DC/MS/NV/NY/PR. New customers only. Qualifying deposit (min $10) and first real money wager required. If qualifying bet settles as a loss, user is refunded 100% in non-withdrawable bonus bets up to $1,500. Full T&Cs can be found on betmgm.com.

Jasmine Paolini vs Belinda Bencic Betting Odds

Given below are the latest odds for Jasmine Paolini vs Belinda Bencic from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.

FanDuel

High total bonus ceiling

Daily second-chance bet protection

No promo code required

$150

Welcome offer

Bet $5 & Get $150 in Bonus Bets

Click to reveal code

COPIED

F A N D U V I P

Claim now

New customers only. Must be 21+ in most jurisdictions, but 18+ in DC, KY, and WY. Offer is valid only in eligible regulated states/jurisdictions and not available in AR; void where prohibited. First online real-money wager only; cashed-out or bonus-funded bets are excluded.

Market	BetMGM	FanDuel
Moneyline	Paolini (-141), Bencic (+114)	Paolini (-146), Bencic (+120)
Game Handicap	Paolini -1.5 (-121), Bencic +1.5 (-107)	Paolini -1.5 (-122), Bencic +1.5 (-110)
Total Games	>21.5 (-114), <21.5 (-112)	>21.5 (-126), <21.5 (-106)
Set Betting	Paolini 2-0 (+155)	Paolini 2-1 (+250)

Jasmine Paolini vs Belinda Bencic Prediction & Picks

Our Pick: Jasmine Paolini -1.5 Games @ -121

A vast majority of the pre-match odds markets are predicting a narrow win for Paolini against Bencic. Considering their games styles and the most recent match-up in this rivalry, there is a chance for this contest to go the distance. When they locked horns at the 2025 Ningbo Open, Paolini won 5-7 7-5 6-3.

When it comes to our personal prediction, we sense an upset on the cards. Belinda Bencic normally starts the season strong, and is a two-time Hopman Cup champion. She won a title and reached two pre-quarterfinals in her opening three tournaments in 2025. Additionally, the Swiss starlet won her first match on Saturday to give Switzerland an early advantage in their group.

Bencic won two titles last year, and rose to her best ranking in over two years. Having announced herself with a maiden Wimbledon semifinal appearance, the World No. 8 went on to win the Japan Open. In 2025, she served more aces and held a better record in service games won (76%) and return games won (45%) when compared with Paolini.

Jasmine Paolini Recent Form

WTA Finals: Group Stage
Ningbo Open: Semifinal
Wuhan Open: Semifinal
China Open: Quarterfinal
BJK Cup: Winner

Jasmine Paolini is the first Italian woman to win both the singles & doubles title in Rome since Raffaella Reggi in 1985.

Forever etched in the history books.

🇮🇹❤️ pic.twitter.com/EEGZexizSj
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) May 18, 2025

Belinda Bencic Recent Form

Hong Kong Open: Quarterfinal
Japan Open: Winner
Ningbo Open: Quarterfinal
Wuhan Open: Round of 16
China Open: Round of 16

Jasmine Paolini vs Belinda Bencic Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Jasmine Paolini and Belinda Bencic is currently 2-2. It is a rivalry that began in 2018 with Bencic cruising through the opening two fixtures. However, Paolini evened proceedings by getting the better of her Swiss counterpart on two separate occasions in 2025.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025 Ningbo	Quarterfinal	Jasmine Paolini	5-7 7-5 6-3
2025 United Cup	Group Stage	Jasmine Paolini	6-1 6-1
2022 BJK Cup	Group Stage	Belinda Bencic	7-5 6-3
2018 Las Vegas	Round of 32	Belinda Bencic	6-3 6-3

How to Watch Emma Raducanu vs Naomi Osaka at the United Cup 2026?

The 2026 United Cup can be streamed on a variety of platforms including Tennis Channel, TSN, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, SuperSport and TyC Sports – depending on where you are watching from.

Date	January 4, 2026
Time	Not Before 17:00 Local
Tournament	United Cup 2026 Round Robin Stage
Surface	Outdoor Hard Court
Court	RAC Arena, Perth
TV/Streaming	Tennis Channel, TSN, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, SuperSport and TyC Sports

(Image Credits: Mike Frey, Imagn Images)

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.