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Paolini v. Bencic Best Odds, Game & Set Handicap, Predictions & TV Schedule.
World No. 8 Jasmine Paolini will battle World No. 11 Belinda Bencic as Italy takes on Switzerland in the 2026 United Cup on Sunday. As two veteran nations in team competitions fight it out for supremacy, the women’s singles action is set to take center stage. Paolini and Bencic will meet for the fifth time in their careers, and for the first time since their thrilling duel in Ningbo.
A two-time Grand Slam finalist, Paolini won the Italian Open in 2025. She also won four doubles trophies, and competed at the WTA Finals in both categories. Despite having a record of 46-21 in the previous campaign, Bencic has proven to be someone who has troubled the Italian over the years. The 28-year-old Swiss sensation has been ranked as high as No. 4 in the world, and will be desperate to inch closer to that ranking.
According to the tennis betting odds, Jasmine Paolini (-141) is the favorite to overpower the underdog Belinda Bencic (+114) in this clash (via BetMGM). Here’s how we are betting on the Jasmine Paolini vs Belinda Bencic encounter at the 2026 United Cup, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.
Given below are the latest odds for Jasmine Paolini vs Belinda Bencic from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.
| Market | BetMGM | FanDuel |
| Moneyline | Paolini (-141), Bencic (+114) | Paolini (-146), Bencic (+120) |
| Game Handicap | Paolini -1.5 (-121), Bencic +1.5 (-107) | Paolini -1.5 (-122), Bencic +1.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | >21.5 (-114), <21.5 (-112) | >21.5 (-126), <21.5 (-106) |
| Set Betting | Paolini 2-0 (+155) | Paolini 2-1 (+250) |
Our Pick: Jasmine Paolini -1.5 Games @ -121
A vast majority of the pre-match odds markets are predicting a narrow win for Paolini against Bencic. Considering their games styles and the most recent match-up in this rivalry, there is a chance for this contest to go the distance. When they locked horns at the 2025 Ningbo Open, Paolini won 5-7 7-5 6-3.
When it comes to our personal prediction, we sense an upset on the cards. Belinda Bencic normally starts the season strong, and is a two-time Hopman Cup champion. She won a title and reached two pre-quarterfinals in her opening three tournaments in 2025. Additionally, the Swiss starlet won her first match on Saturday to give Switzerland an early advantage in their group.
Bencic won two titles last year, and rose to her best ranking in over two years. Having announced herself with a maiden Wimbledon semifinal appearance, the World No. 8 went on to win the Japan Open. In 2025, she served more aces and held a better record in service games won (76%) and return games won (45%) when compared with Paolini.
The head-to-head record between Jasmine Paolini and Belinda Bencic is currently 2-2. It is a rivalry that began in 2018 with Bencic cruising through the opening two fixtures. However, Paolini evened proceedings by getting the better of her Swiss counterpart on two separate occasions in 2025.
| Event | Round | Winner | Score |
| 2025 Ningbo | Quarterfinal | Jasmine Paolini | 5-7 7-5 6-3 |
| 2025 United Cup | Group Stage | Jasmine Paolini | 6-1 6-1 |
| 2022 BJK Cup | Group Stage | Belinda Bencic | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2018 Las Vegas | Round of 32 | Belinda Bencic | 6-3 6-3 |
The 2026 United Cup can be streamed on a variety of platforms including Tennis Channel, TSN, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, SuperSport and TyC Sports – depending on where you are watching from.
| Date | January 4, 2026 |
| Time | Not Before 17:00 Local |
| Tournament | United Cup 2026 Round Robin Stage |
| Surface | Outdoor Hard Court |
| Court | RAC Arena, Perth |
| TV/Streaming | Tennis Channel, TSN, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, SuperSport and TyC Sports |
(Image Credits: Mike Frey, Imagn Images)
