Rome champion Paolini begins her Montreal campaign against Japan’s rising talent Aoi Ito.
Seventh seed Jasmine Paolini begins her 2025 National Bank Open campaign against Japanese qualifier Aoi Ito in the second round. The Italian received a first-round bye, while Ito battled past fellow qualifier Katie Volynets in a three-set opening-round clash. The 29-year-old Italian reached the semifinals in Miami and Stuttgart and had a strong clay swing, highlighted by her title run in Rome, where she defeated Coco Gauff, Peyton Stearns, and Diana Shnaider.
Paolini d. Peyton Stearns 7-5 6-1
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) May 15, 2025
Jasmine is a Rome Finalist
The way she’s fought all week in front of her home crowd has been nothing short of inspiring
Epic comeback in her last match
Epic comeback in the 1st set today
✅2nd WTA 1000 final
Surreal moment for her
🇮🇹❤️ pic.twitter.com/OwfLCUNGVf
She also picked up doubles titles in Rome and Roland Garros alongside Sara Errani. Despite an early exit at Wimbledon, Paolini found rhythm again with a semifinal run in Bad Homburg. Across 40 matches this year, she’s tallied 53 aces, won 61% of first-serve points, 45.9% of return points, and converted 49.7% of break-point chances.
Incredible what Jasmine Paolini is doing for Italian tennis
— Mario Boccardi (@boccardi_marioo) May 15, 2025
• WTA 1000 champion
• Olympic gold medalist
• Rome champion in doubles
• No. 4 career high
• Roland Garros runner-up
• Wimbledon runner-up
• Into the Rome singles final
• Billie Jean King Cup champion pic.twitter.com/FsYlQzBgPY
Ito, meanwhile, is still finding her footing on the main tour. The 21-year-old won her first WTA 125K title in Canberra earlier this year but has largely struggled to go deep in tournaments. In five main-draw matches, she’s hit just four aces, winning 51.9% of first serves and 40.4% on returns, and converting 50% of break points.
Welp!
— Tick Tock Tennis (@TickTockTennis) July 27, 2025
At the start of the year, I was kind of convinced that the Hsieh Su-Wei-esque game of Aoi Ito was going to be a menace on grasscourts this year.
It… wasn't.
But, the 21yo with the unorthodox game is getting it done on hardcourts, defeating Katie Volynets, 6-2, 2-6, 6-2 pic.twitter.com/yUlaxKAk5B
Jasmine Paolini and Aoi Ito do not have a head-to-head record.
| Jasmine Paolini | Category | Aoi Ito |
| 9 | Current Ranking | 110 |
| 412-282 | Career W-L | 169-88 |
| 28-12 | YTD W-L | 19-18 |
| 3 | Career Titles | 0 |
| 0 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 0 |
With Rome, Miami, and Stuttgart success under her belt, Paolini enters as the clear favorite. Ito showed grit in qualifying, but the seventh seed’s consistency and return game should prove too much to handle.
1 – Jasmine Paolini is the third player this Century to win her maiden clay court title in Rome after Jelena Dokic (2001) and Serena Williams (2002). Starting.#IBI25 | @InteBNLdItalia @WTA @WTA_insider pic.twitter.com/8odfytMSyF
— OptaAce (@OptaAce) May 17, 2025
Prediction: Jasmine Paolini in straight sets
Bookmakers strongly favor Paolini at 1/10, reflecting her recent form and top-10 caliber. Ito, listed at 13/2, faces a steep challenge against the experienced Italian.
Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:
Jasmine Paolini: 1/10
Aoi Ito: 13/2
Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM):
Total Games Over 21.5: 39/20
Total Games Under 21.5: 7/20
Total Sets Over 2.5: 11/4
Total Sets Under 2.5: 1/4
Paolini to win: Set 1 – 1/6
Ito to win: Set 1 – 4/1
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
Mandatory Image Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images
nfl
mma I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.
Read moreWe use cookies for ads and to improve your experience. By continuing on the site, you agree to our Privacy Policy. Read more about it