Jasmine Paolini vs. Anastasija Sevastova Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for WTA China Open 2025 Round – 2

Jasmine Paolini aims to extend her strong season against resurgent Anastasija Sevastova.

Sixth seed Jasmine Paolini begins her China Open campaign against Latvia’s Anastasija Sevastova in the second round. The Italian was handed a bye, while Sevastova opened with a straight-set win over Kimberly Birrell. Paolini comes into Beijing on the back of a Billie Jena King Cup win over Jessica Pegula in straight sets. Currently ranked world No. 8 in singles and No. 5 in doubles, the 29-year-old has emerged as a force in both formats.

✅She won the title in Rome (both singles and doubles)
✅She won another Billie Jean King Cup title

Italy can't thank Jasmine Paolini enough

Absolute LEGEND of Italian sports pic.twitter.com/Q8W1RJzTC4
— Mario Boccardi (@boccardi_marioo) September 21, 2025

Her season highlights include a breakthrough title run in Rome, where she swept past Coco Gauff, and a finals showing in Cincinnati before falling to Iga Swiatek. She’s also been a consistent presence in the latter stages at big events, with semifinal appearances in Miami, Stuttgart, and Bad Homburg. Alongside Sara Errani, Paolini has lifted titles in Doha, Rome, and Roland Garros, affirming their partnership as one of the most successful this season. Across 50 singles matches, she has struck 66 aces, winning 62.1% of first-serve points and converting 48.3% of break-point opportunities.

Beautifully played 😍

Anastasija Sevastova closes in on a straight sets victory over Birrell.#2025ChinaOpen pic.twitter.com/0mZJwbR5Rw
— wta (@WTA) September 24, 2025

Sevastova, meanwhile, is still rediscovering her rhythm after a 14-month layoff due to maternity leave and a torn ACL. Using a protected ranking, she returned to Madrid and has shown flashes of her old form, notably with a quarterfinal run in Rabat and a fourth-round showing in Montreal, where she stunned Jessica Pegula before falling to Naomi Osaka. In 17 matches, she’s fired 35 aces, winning 62% of first-serve points with a 42.4% break-point conversion rate.

Jasmine Paolini vs. Anastasija Sevastova Head-to-Head Record

Jasmine Paolini holds a 3-0 edge over Anastasija Sevastova. Their rivalry began in 2020 in Rome, with Paolini taking the first encounter in straight sets. In their next meeting at Cincinnati 2021, Sevastova retired mid-match due to an undisclosed reason. Most recently, they clashed at Wimbledon, where Paolini secured a hard-fought comeback victory.

Year	Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025	Wimbledon	Round of 128	Jasmine Paolini	2-6, 6-3, 6-2
2021	Cincinnati	Qualifying R1	Jasmine Paolini	6-1, 2-1 ret.
2020	Rome	Round of 64	Jasmine Paolini	6-2, 6-3

Jasmine Paolini vs. Anastasija Sevastova Comparison

Jasmine Paolini	Category	Anastasija Sevastova
8	Current Ranking	221
421-285	Career W-L	457-278
35-15	YTD W-L	9-10
3	Career Titles	4
0	Grand Slams	0
1	YTD Titles	0

Jasmine Paolini vs. Anastasija Sevastova Prediction

Given Paolini’s form across both singles and doubles this season, coupled with her consistency against top-tier opponents, the Italian is strongly favored to advance past Sevastova.

Jasmine Paolini gets it done!

The match that sealed the victory for her nation 🇮🇹

Italy defeat USA to retain the title of World Champions 🏆#BJKCup pic.twitter.com/Xz2nM8Izdr
— Billie Jean King Cup (@BJKCup) September 21, 2025

Prediction: Jasmine Paolini in straight sets

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Jasmine Paolini vs. Anastasija Sevastova WTA China Open 2025 Betting Odds

Jasmine Paolini enters as the -550 favorite, while Anastasija Sevastova sits at +400, underscoring the bookmakers’ confidence in the sixth seed.

Here are the betting odds according to FanDuel:

Jasmine Paolini: -550

Anastija Sevastova: +400

Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via FanDuel):

Set 1 Winner Paolini: -320

Set 1 Winner Sevastova: +225

Set 1 Winner Paolini: -420

Set 1 Winner Sevastova: +280

(According to FanDuel: FanDuel offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use FanDuel to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Image Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images

Rudra Dubey

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I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.