Sinner’s Shanghai Quest Meets Griekspoor’s Challenge in Third Round
Second seed Jannik Sinner faces 27th seed Tallon Griekspoor in the third round of the Shanghai Masters 2025. Both players received first-round byes. Griekspoor opened with a three-set win over Jenson Brooksby, while Sinner eased past Daniel Altmaier in straight sets. Sinner enters Shanghai in commanding form, fresh off his Beijing title run, where he swept past Learner Tien.
The Italian’s 2025 campaign has been marked by his gripping rivalry with Carlos Alcaraz. Four of Sinner’s few losses have come against the Spaniard in Rome, Roland Garros, Cincinnati, and the US Open. Yet, the world No. 2 has more than held his ground, clinching titles in Melbourne and Wimbledon with statement wins over Alexander Zverev and Alcaraz. Despite serving a three-month suspension earlier in the year for a doping violation, Sinner’s stats underline his dominance with 297 aces, 79% of first-serve points won, 34% on return, and a sharp 46% break-point conversion from 434 chances.
Griekspoor has endured an up-and-down year, showing glimpses of form but struggling for consistency. The Dutchman made a semifinal in Dubai, won the Mallorca title (over Corentin Moutet), and reached the final in Marrakech but has since suffered a run of early exits, including Beijing. His other highlights include a semifinal run in Challenger Bordeaux and quarterfinal runs in Indian Wells, Munich, and Nordea. Statistically, he’s fired 385 aces, winning 74% of first-serve points, 25% on return, and converting 35% of 261 break-point chances.
Jannik Sinner leads Tallon Griekspoor 6-0 in their head-to-head, a one-sided rivalry that began in Rotterdam in 2023 when the Italian won in straight sets. Their most recent meeting came at last year’s Davis Cup, ending with the same result. Across six encounters, Sinner has dropped just two sets, both in 2024, at Miami and Halle, though he still managed to pull through in three sets each time.
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Davis Cup Finals | Final | Jannik Sinner | 7-6(2), 6-2 |
| 2024 | Halle | Round of 32 | Jannik Sinner | 6-7(8), 6-3, 6-2 |
| 2024 | Miami | Round of 32 | Jannik Sinner | 5-7, 7-5, 6-1 |
| 2024 | Rotterdam | Semifinal | Jannik Sinner | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 2023 | Davis Cup Finals | Quarterfinal | Jannik Sinner | 7-6(3), 6-1 |
| 2023 | Rotterdam | Semifinal | Jannik Sinner | 7-5, 7-6(5) |
| Jannik Sinner | Category | Tallon Griekspoor |
| 2 | Current Ranking | 31 |
| 305-85 | Career W-L | 119-114 |
| 42-5 | YTD W-L | 26-20 |
| 21 | Career Titles | 3 |
| 4 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 3 | YTD Titles | 1 |
Griekspoor’s power and first-serve accuracy could test Sinner early, but sustaining that level over three sets seems unlikely. Sinner’s rhythm, depth, and confidence from recent titles should see him pull through, extending his dominant run in Shanghai.
Prediction: Jannik Sinner in straight sets
With Jannik Sinner heavily favored at -4000, oddsmakers see little room for an upset. Given his current form and spotless record against Griekspoor (+1900), the Italian is expected to cruise into the next round in straight sets.
Here are the betting odds according to FanDuel:
Jannik Sinner: -4000
Tallon Griekspoor: +1900
Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via FanDuel):
Set 1 Winner Sinner: -1100
Set 1 Winner Griekspoor: +640
Total Games 19.5 Over: -122
Total Games 19.5 Under: -110
Total Sets 2.5 Over: +370
Total Sets 2.5 Under: -600
(According to FanDuel: FanDuel offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use FanDuel to ace your betting game in all sports!)
Mandatory Image Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images
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