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Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for Six Kings Slam 2025 Semifinals

Rudra Dubey

Sinner and Djokovic Set for Semifinal Clash at 2025 Six Kings Slam

Jannik Sinner is set to face Novak Djokovic in the semifinals of the Six Kings Slam 2025. The Serb received a bye, while Sinner advanced past Stefanos Tsitsipas in straight sets. Sinner has been among the season’s most dominant players, capturing titles in Melbourne, Wimbledon, and Beijing, defeating Alexander Zverev, Carlos Alcaraz, and Learner Tien, respectively. He also reached finals in Rome, Roland Garros, Cincinnati, and the US Open, all falling to Alcaraz, his season-defining rival. 

Having taken a three-month hiatus due to a doping violation, Sinner returned to post strong numbers with 310 aces, 79% of first-serve points won, 34% on return, and 45% conversion on 444 break points. His only recent setback was a second-round retirement in Shanghai due to extreme heat and humidity.

Djokovic, meanwhile, has focused on chasing a record 25th Grand Slam, which remains just out of reach. He reached the semifinals at all four majors and, most recently, Shanghai, where qualifier Valentin Vacherot ousted him in straight sets. In Shanghai, Djokovic also reached his 80th Masters 1000 semifinal and celebrated his 100th career title in Geneva. Across the season, he has hit 376 aces, won 77% of first-serve points, and converted 42% of 377 break points, proving that at 38, the star still shines brighter than anyone.

Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic Head-to-Head Record

Jannik Sinner leads Novak Djokovic 6-4 in their head-to-head, having dominated the last five meetings. Djokovic got the upper hand early in their rivalry, winning their first encounter in 2021 at Monte Carlo in straight sets, a feat he repeated twice more. Sinner finally struck back in the 2023 ATP Finals, taking a three-set victory in the round-robin stage, though Djokovic responded by winning the final. Since then, Sinner has held the edge, asserting control in each subsequent clash.

YearEventRoundWinnerScore
2025WimbledonSemifinalJannik Sinner6-3, 6-3, 6-4
2025Roland GarrosSemifinalJannik Sinner6-4, 7-5, 7-6(3)
2024ShanghaiFinalJannik Sinner7-6(4), 6-3
2024Australian OpenSemifinalJannik Sinner6-1, 6-2, 6-7(6), 6-3
2023Davis Cup FinalsSemifinalJannik Sinner6-2, 2-6, 7-5
2023Nitto ATP FinalsFinalNovak Djokovic6-3, 6-3
2023Nitto ATP FinalsRound RobinJannik Sinner7-5, 6-7(5), 7-6(2)
2023WimbledonSemifinalNovak Djokovic6-3, 6-4, 7-6(4)
2022WimbledonQuarterfinalNovak Djokovic5-7, 2-6, 6-3, 6-2, 6-2
2021Monte‑CarloRound of 32Novak Djokovic6-4, 6-2

Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic Comparison 

Jannik SinnerCategoryNovak Djokovic
2Current Ranking5
306-86Career W-L1159-233
43-6YTD W-L35-11
21Career Titles100
4Grand Slams25
3YTD Titles1

Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic Prediction

Jannik Sinner returned to his dominant best in the quarterfinal against Tsitsipas. The Italian will enjoy the challenge of facing Djokovic on another big stage, and seems to be in great shape. For the Serbian icon, changing direction and pace will be of utmost importance to prevent Sinner from getting into a rhythm on both wings. However, the impeccable early return on the rise from the World No. 2 will make it hard for Djokovic to control the rallies.

Prediction: Jannik Sinner in straight sets

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Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic Six Kings Slam 2025 Betting Odds

Sinner (1/9) starts as the favorite over Djokovic (11/2) in the Six Kings Slam 2025. According to the implied probability on the money line, the Italian has an 85% chance of beating his Serbian counterpart.

Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:

Jannik Sinner: 1/9

Novak Djokovic: 11/2

Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM): 

Total Sets Under 2.5: 8/25

Total Sets Over 2.5: 23/10

Total Games Under 20.5: 10/13

Total Games Over 20.5: Evens

Set 1 Winner Sinner: 1/5

Set 1 Winner Djokovic: 7/2

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Image Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images

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I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.

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