Sinner aims to extend dominance as Cerundolo seeks an upset in Paris
Second seed Jannik Sinner is set to clash with the 17th seed, Francisco Cerundolo, in the third round of the Paris Masters 2025. The Italian received a first-round bye before easing past Zizou Bergs in straight sets. Meanwhile, Cerundolo opened his campaign with a straight-set win over qualifier Damir Dzumhur, followed by a gritty three-set battle against Miomir Kecmanovic. Sinner has enjoyed yet another outstanding year. The Italian held the world No. 1 ranking for most of the season before Carlos Alcaraz overtook him after the US Open.
With four titles to his name in Melbourne, Wimbledon, Beijing, and most recently Vienna, Sinner has remained remarkably consistent with finals runs in the US Open, Cincinnati, Rome, and Roland Garros. He also faced a few hurdles, including a second-round exit in Halle and retirements in Cincinnati and Shanghai, not to mention a three-month suspension earlier this year due to a doping violation. Statistically, Sinner has been among the most efficient performers on tour, winning 79% of first-serve points, 34% of return points, and converting 45% of his 479 break points while firing 342 aces.
World #2 Jannik Sinner wins a 22nd consecutive match on indoor hardcourts, defeats Zizou Bergs 6-4, 6-2 to reach the last 16 in Paris.
— José Morgado (@josemorgado) October 29, 2025
Faces Francisco Cerundolo tomorrow. pic.twitter.com/7tox12DI0O
Cerundolo, on the other hand, has put together a solid yet uneven season. The Argentine reached a career-high ranking of world No. 18 in May and currently sits at No. 21. Although he hasn’t captured a title this year, he made a runner-up finish at the Argentina Open, falling to Joao Fonseca in straight sets. He also reached semifinals in Chile, Munich, Madrid, and Nordea, along with quarterfinals in Rio, Indian Wells, and Miami. However, he struggled for consistency elsewhere. Statistically, he has produced 210 aces, winning 69% of first-serve points, 33% of return points, and converting 43% of 449 break points.
Sweet 16 🙌@FranCerundolo takes out Kecmanovic 7-5 1-6 7-6 to reach the third round at #RolexParisMasters for the third consecutive year. pic.twitter.com/s7mZ6Tn432
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) October 29, 2025
Jannik Sinner holds a 3-2 lead in his head-to-head against Francisco Cerundolo. Their first meeting came at the 2022 Miami Open, where Sinner was forced to retire due to foot blisters, allowing the Argentine to advance. The Italian bounced back later that year, winning their Davis Cup clash in three sets before backing it up with another victory in Vienna. In 2023 in Rome, Cerundolo staged a comeback win to even the score, but Sinner reclaimed the edge in their 2025 Rome encounter.
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Rome | Round of 16 | Jannik Sinner | 7-6(2), 6-3 |
| 2023 | Rome | Round of 16 | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-7(3), 6-2, 6-2 |
| 2022 | Vienna | Round of 16 | Jannik Sinner | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 2022 | ITA vs ARG Finals Group A RR | Round Robin | Jannik Sinner | 7-5, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 2022 | Miami | Quarterfinal | Francisco Cerundolo | 4-1 Ret |
| Jannik Sinner | Category | Francisco Cerundolo |
| 2 | Current Ranking | 21 |
| 311-86 | Career W-L | 138-112 |
| 48-6 | YTD W-L | 36-23 |
| 22 | Career Titles | 3 |
| 4 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 4 | YTD Titles | 0 |
Cerundolo’s fighting spirit and varied topspin could trouble Sinner. However, Sinner’s precision, dominance, indoor court confidence, and overall season performance clearly indicate the Italian’s win.
Jannik Sinner has now won 22 consecutive matches on indoor hard courts.
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) October 29, 2025
A streak that speaks for itself.
🇮🇹🦊 pic.twitter.com/DM0Dq0tYjP
Prediction: Jannik Sinner in straight sets
Jannik Sinner (-4000) enters as the overwhelming favorite, and rightly so given his form and surface advantage. Francisco Cerundolo (+1400) will look to counter with his heavy forehand, but the gap in consistency and serve quality makes Sinner the clear pick in straight sets.
Here are the betting odds according to FanDuel:
Jannik Sinner: -4000
Francisco Cerundolo: +1400
Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via FanDuel):
Set 1 Winner Sinner: -950
Set 1 Winner Cerundolo: +600
(According to FanDuel: FanDuel offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use FanDuel to ace your betting game in all sports!)
Mandatory Image Credit: Aaron Doster-Imagn Images
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mma I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.
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