Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images

Jannik Sinner vs. Denis Shapovalov Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for US Open 2025 Round of 32

Sinner is the obvious heavy favorite against Shapovalov in the third round of the 2025 US Open.

Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images

Top seed Jannik Sinner will face 27th seed Denis Shapovalov in the third round of the US Open 2025. Shapovalov opened with a straight-sets win over Marton Fucsovics and then edged wild card Valentine Royer in four sets, including two tiebreaks. Sinner, meanwhile, has looked ruthless, dispatching Vit Kopriva and Alexei Popyrin in straight sets.

The Italian’s season has been remarkable in spite of a three-month doping suspension. He’s lifted titles in Melbourne and Wimbledon and made finals in every event he’s entered. His only early stumble came in Halle against Alexander Bublik, while defeats in Rome, Roland Garros, and Cincinnati all came at the hands of Carlos Alcaraz. Cincinnati ended in Sinner’s retirement due to fatigue. Statistically, Sinner is operating at an elite level with 221 aces, 79% first-serve points won, 34% on return, and 43% break-point conversion across 322 opportunities.

R3 next. Forza 💪🏻 @usopen pic.twitter.com/kW1cf3IaAW
— Jannik Sinner (@janniksin) August 28, 2025

Shapovalov has endured an up-and-down season. He captured titles in Dallas and Mifel Tennis, taking out Casper Ruud and Tommy Paul in the former and cruising past Adam Walton and Aleksandar Kovacevic in the latter. A semifinal in Acapulco highlighted his firepower, but inconsistency has cost him, with early exits elsewhere, including a first-round loss to Luca Nardi in Cincinnati. His numbers remain solid with 245 aces, 72% first-serve points won, 31% on return, and 46% break-point conversion.

For the first time since 2022, Denis Shapovalov has booked his spot in the third round at the #USOpen 👏

Next up 👉 World No. 1 Jannik Sinner 🇮🇹@nationalbank pic.twitter.com/PB4awa7bGM
— Tennis Canada (@TennisCanada) August 28, 2025

Jannik Sinner vs. Denis Shapovalov Head-to-Head Record

Denis Shapovalov holds a 1-0 edge over Jannik Sinner in their head-to-head, a five-set marathon win at the 2021 Australian Open.

Year	Event	Round	Winner	Score
2021	Australian Open	Round of 128	Denis Shapovalov	3-6, 6-3, 6-2, 4-6, 6-4

Jannik Sinner vs. Denis Shapovalov Comparison

Jannik Sinner	Category	Denis Shapovalov
1	Current Ranking	29
294-84	Career W-L	226-188
31-4	YTD W-L	19-16
20	Career Titles	4
4	Grand Slams	0
2	YTD Titles	2

Jannik Sinner vs. Denis Shapovalov Prediction

With Sinner listed at 1/50 against Shapovalov’s 13/1, the top seed is a near-lock in the eyes of oddsmakers to advance.

Jannik Sinner makes Italian history! pic.twitter.com/9MTqOQOcXb
— US Open Tennis (@usopen) July 13, 2025

Prediction: Jannik Sinner in straight sets

Jannik Sinner vs. Denis Shapovalov US Open 2025 Betting Odds

Shapovalov’s five-set epic over Sinner at the 2021 Australian Open. If he rediscovers that fearless shot-making, he could at least test the Italian, though current form tilts heavily in Sinner’s favor.

Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:

Jannik Sinner: 1/50

Denis Shapovalov: 13/1

Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM):

Total Sets Under 3.5: 4/9

Total Sets Over 3.5: 33/20

Total Games Under 32.5: 11/20

Total Game Over 32.5: 7/5

Sinner Set 1 Winner: 1/8

Shapovalov Set 1 Winner: 19/4

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Image Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images

Denis Shapovalov

Jannik Sinner

US Open 2025

Rudra Dubey

nfl

mma

I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.