Italy vs Germany Odds, Team News, & Predictions – 03/20/2025

Luciano Spalletti’s Italy will welcome Julian Nagelsmann’s Germany at the San Siro Stadium in Milan for the first leg of the UEFA Nations League quarter-final on Thursday, March 20.

The storied rivalry between two of the biggest nations in world football will be renewed at the San Siro Stadium in mid-week and later at Signal Iduna Park on the weekend as the two-legged fixture will decide the host nation for the semi-final and final matches of the ongoing Nations League campaign.

Know more about the odds, moneyline, picks, and predictions for the crucial UEFA Nations League quarter-final between Italy and Germany here.

Where to watch Italy vs Germany

Here is when and where to watch the clash between Italy and Germany.

Date: 03/20

Time: 03:45 pm ET

Location: San Siro Stadium, Milan

Where to watch: The match can be watched on Fox Sports and FOX Soccer Plus in the USA

Italy vs Germany Preview

The last major fixture between the two sides was played out in the 2022-23 UEFA Nations League group stage where Hansi Flick’s Germany defeated Roberto Mancini’s Italy 5-2 courtesy of a second-half brace from Timo Werner along with first-half goals from Joshua Kimmich, Ilkay Gundogan, and a 51st-minute strike from Thomas Muller.

Italy

Spalletti’s men had the perfect start to their Nations League campaign as they defeated France on Matchday 1 and were on course to top the group after Matchday 5 but a 3-1 defeat to Les Blues on Matchday 6 confined Gli Azzurri to the second spot on goal difference.

Federico Dimarco has been missing in action since the first weekend of March and should be fully fit when Inter’s run-in for the title resumes but Spalletti will have to do without the left wing-back for the quarter-finals with Destiny Udogie expected to fill in for him in the starting XI.

Germany

Germany is unbeaten in the ongoing Nations League campaign and haven’t lost a match since their defeat to Spain in UEFA European Championships 2024. The Die Mannschaft collected 14 points to finish top of Group A3 which includes two huge wins, i.e. 5-0 against Hungary and 7-0 against Bosnia and Herzegovina apart from two more wins and two draws.

Goalkeepers Marc Andre Ter Stegen and Manuel Neuer along with attacking midfielders Florian Wirtz and Kai Havertz are not available forcing Nagelsmann’s hand who will have to look for alternatives within his squad to fill the gaps in the starting XI.

Italy vs Germany Under/Over Predictions

The Playoffs aim to facilitate the safest bets for the game. Have a look at the predictions for the game below.

Germany Total goals Over 1.5 @ +155 (MGM Bet): Germany scored the most number of goals and had the joint-best defensive record in League A, so it would be a challenge for Italy to tackle Nagelsmann’s tactical nous and flexibility as Kimmich would keep shifting between defense and midfield as per the demand of the situation.

Italy vs Germany Player Picks

Mateo Retegui (To Score a Goal @ +255 as per MGM Bet): The leading goalscorer in the 2024-25 Serie A season, Mateo Retegui has scored 22 goals in 27 league matches apart from contributing 4 assists. Moise Kean would be serving as the backup for the in-form Retegui as the Fiorentina striker has also scored 15 goals in the ongoing Serie A campaign.

Deniz Undav (To Score a Goal @ +240 as per MGM Bet): In Bundesliga, Deniz Undav has experienced a trough this season as the VfB Stuttgart striker has scored only 7 goals in 20 league appearances but the 28-year old remains the joint second-highest scorer in League A during the ongoing Nations League campaign.

Italy vs Germany Match Prediction

Despite missing a plethora of stars, Germany looks much stronger on paper and Nagelsmann has made the Die Mannschaft a well-drilled unit since his arrival which will certainly boost Germans’ chances of heading back to their nation with a first-leg lead.

Our Final Prediction: A 2-1 win for Die Mannschaft is the most likely outcome from the battle of two of the top sides in Europe.

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Mohak Arora

A stand-up comedian and a sports journalist with speciality in writing prediction pieces and features on football, cricket, and badminton. Over the last few years, I have contributed pieces to iGaming giants like Parimatch, 1X News, and Melbet.