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Iga Swiatek vs. Jasmine Paolini Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for WTA Wuhan Open 2025 Quarterfinals

Rudra Dubey

Quarterfinal test as Swiatek looks to extend her perfect record over Paolini

Second seed Iga Swiatek will take on seventh seed Jasmine Paolini in the quarterfinals of the Wuhan Open 2025. Both players, being among the top eight seeds, received first-round byes. Swiatek has looked composed so far, easing past Marie Bouzkova and 13th seed Belinda Bencic in straight sets. Paolini began with a comeback win over wild card Yue Yuan and was on track for another before 10th seed Clara Tauson retired mid-match due to a right thigh issue.

Swiatek’s season has been nothing short of elite. The Pole captured titles at Wimbledon, Cincinnati, and Seoul, highlighted by her double-bagel win over Amanda Anisimova in the Wimbledon final. She also reached the Bad Homburg final, falling to Jessica Pegula, and made semifinal appearances in Melbourne, Dubai, Indian Wells, Madrid, and Roland Garros. Despite early exits in Rome, Montreal, and Beijing, her consistency remains unmatched. Across 73 matches, Swiatek has struck 222 aces, winning 69.3% of first-serve points and converting 51.3% of break points.

Paolini’s season has been a blend of breakthroughs and inconsistency. After a slow start, the Italian surged with semifinal runs in Miami and Stuttgart before capturing both singles and doubles titles in Rome. She added a Roland Garros doubles crown with Sara Errani, a final in Cincinnati, a semifinal in Bad Homburg, and a quarterfinal in Beijing. In 54 matches this year, Paolini has tallied 72 aces, winning 62% of first-serve points and converting 47.8% of break points.

Iga Swiatek vs. Jasmine Paolini Head-to-Head Record

Iga Swiatek holds a commanding 6-0 lead over Jasmine Paolini in their head-to-head. Their rivalry began at the 2018 Prague Open, and since then they have met five more times, with Swiatek winning each encounter. The Pole has dominated consistently, dropping a set only once, at the 2024 Billie Jean King Cup, before rallying to a comeback victory. In their most recent Cincinnati clash, Swiatek secured another straight-sets win.

YearEventRoundWinnerScore
2025CincinnatiFinalIga Swiatek7-5, 6-4
2025Bad HomburgSemifinalsIga Swiatek6-1, 6-3
2024BJK Cup FinalsSemifinalsIga Swiatek3-6, 6-4, 6-4
2024Roland GarrosFinalIga Swiatek6-2, 6-1
2022US OpenRound of 128Iga Swiatek6-3, 6-0
2018PragueRound of 16Iga Swiatek6-2, 6-1

Iga Swiatek vs. Jasmine Paolini Comparison 

Iga SwiatekCategoryJasmine Paolini
2Current Ranking8
401-89Career W-L424-286
59-14YTD W-L38-16
25Career Titles3
6Grand Slams0
3YTD Titles1

Iga Swiatek vs. Jasmine Paolini Prediction

Given her flawless 6-0 head-to-head record and superior form this season, Iga Swiatek enters as the overwhelming favorite. Paolini’s recent resurgence could challenge her early, but sustaining pressure against Swiatek’s rhythm and depth will be a major task.

Prediction: Iga Swiatek in straight sets

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Iga Swiatek vs. Jasmine Paolini Wuhan Open 2025 Betting Odds

Iga Swiatek is the clear favorite at -550, while Jasmine Paolini stands as the underdog at +400, reflecting the Pole’s dominance in both form and history against the Italian.

Here are the betting odds according to FanDuel:

Iga Swiatek: -550

Jasmine Paolini: +400

Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via FanDuel): 

Total Sets Under 2.5: -300

Total Sets Over 2.5: +200

Total Games Under 19.5: -118

Total Games Over 19.5: -118

Set 1 Winner Swiatek: -310

Set 1 Winner Paolini: +220

(According to FanDuel: FanDuel offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use FanDuel to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Image Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images

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I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.

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