Aug 30, 2025; Flushing, NY, USA; Iga Swiatek (POL) after beating Anna Kalinskaya (UKR) (not pictured) on day seven of the 2025 U.S. Open tennis tournament at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center.

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Iga Swiatek vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for US Open 2025 Round of 16

Winner to face Anisimova or Haddad Maia in the QFs.

World No. 2 Iga Swiatek will be tested by the wrath of Russian powerhouse Ekaterina Alexandrova in Round-4 of the 2025 US Open on Monday. After a couple of battling victories in her last two encounters, the Pole will be looking for smooth sailing into the last eight. However, Alexandrova will not make it easy by any means. Despite Aryna Sabalenka set to retain the No. 1 ranking after the event, can Swiatek continue to close the gap? Let’s take a look, with the help of our very own BetMGM.

Iga Swiatek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Match Preview

Ever since her grass court renaissance, Iga Swiatek has been the talk of the town. In spite of reaching the quarterfinals or better in her first seven competitions this year, the 24-year-old was unable to make a run to the trophy. After losing 0-6 in the deciding set of her Roland Garros semifinal vs Sabalenka, something changed. The Pole entered the grass court season with newfound confidence – making the final in Bad Homburg before dominating the playing field at Wimbledon. Another championship run in Cincinnati meant that Swiatek came into the US Open with a 49-12 record.

5-1 down? No problem for Iga Swiatek! 👏

The World No. 1 came back from a precarious position to win 7-6(2), 6-4 in the third round 💪🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/LbG6dqfIZF
— TNT Sports (@tntsports) August 31, 2025

Possibly one of the best players to have never reached a Grand Slam quarterfinal, Ekaterina Alexandrova will have another opportunity on Monday. A former Fed Cup winner, she is currently ranked at a career-high No. 12 in the world. After a disappointing outing at Melbourne Park, Alexandrova won the Linz Open to get her season off the mark. She proceeded to reach semifinals in Doha, Charleston, Stuttgart and ‘s-Hertogenbosch. Prior to the US Open, the 30-year-old veteran finished as the runner-up at the Monterrey Open. The 13th seed is yet to drop more than five games in any of her matches thus far.

Ekaterina Alexandrova drops just one game en route to a breakthrough US Open Round of 16! pic.twitter.com/CfXTpB1ird
— US Open Tennis (@usopen) August 30, 2025

Iga Swiatek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Head to Head Record

Iga Swiatek leads the head-to-head against Ekaterina Alexandrova by 4-2.

Swiatek won the most recent encounter vs Alexandrova at the 2025 Bad Homburg Open. While two out of the six meetings between them have gone to three sets, Swiatek has emerged victorious on both occasions. This is set to be their first duel at the Grand Slam level.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025 Bad Homburg	Quarterfinal	Iga Swiatek	6-4 7-6(5)
2024 Miami	Round of 16	Ekaterina Alexandrova	6-4 6-2
2024 Doha	Round of 16	Iga Swiatek	6-1 6-4
2023 Madrid	Round of 16	Iga Swiatek	6-4 6-7(3) 6-3
2022 Ostrava	Semifinal	Iga Swiatek	7-6(5) 2-6 6-4
2021 Melbourne 500	Round of 16	Ekaterina Alexandrova	6-4 6-2

Iga Swiatek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Career Comparison

Iga Swiatek	Category	Ekaterina Alexandrova
2	Current Ranking	12
394-87	Career W-L Record	457-281
52-12	YTD W-L Record	38-18
24	Career Titles	5
2	YTD Titles	1
6	Grand Slams	0

Iga Swiatek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova US Open 2025 Prediction

Alexandrova has a baseline-heavy style of play, characterized by her flat groundstrokes. She enjoys taking the ball on the up, and fires winners down the line. The key for Swiatek will be to generate angles that make it uncomfortable for her Russian counterpart to strike winners from. She will need to vary the bounce and placement so that Alexandrova remains on the run at all times. Although the 30-year-old won their previous hard court battle, a day session on Armstrong brings more turbulent conditions.

Prediction: Iga Swiatek in three sets.

Iga Swiatek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova US Open 2025 Betting Odds

Swiatek is the favourite and Alexandrova is the minnow, ahead of the US Open 2025 Round of 16. Here are the odds for the match result, as well as in-match specifics (as per BetMGM):

Iga Swiatek Win: 2/7
Ekaterina Alexandrova Win: 13/5

Total Games <20.5: 19/20
Total Sets <2.5: 4/9
Alexandrova +1.5 (Set Handicap): 19/20
Swiatek -4.5 (Game Handicap): 22/25
Swiatek to Win 2-0: 10/13
Total Games in Set-1 <9.5: 4/6
Swiatek to Win Set-2 By 6-2: 4/1

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: Robert Deutsch, Imagn Images)

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Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.