Germany vs Italy Odds & Predictions – 03/23/2025

Germany is all set to host Italy in the second leg of the UEFA Nations League quarter-final at the Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund on Sunday, March 23.

Know more about the odds, moneyline, picks, and predictions for the crucial second leg of the UEFA Nations League quarter-final between Germany and Italy here.

Where to watch Germany vs Italy

Here is when and where to watch the clash between Germany and Italy.

Date: 03/23

Time: 03:45 pm ET

Location: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund

Where to watch: The match can be watched on fuboTV in the USA

Germany vs Italy Preview

Gli Azzurri started the two-legged tie at home on a perfect note as Sandro Tonali netted the first goal in the 9th minute courtesy of a slick team move and Moise Kean could have doubled the advantage at the half-hour mark but Oliver Baumann denied the former Juventus striker. Julian Nagelsmann made a couple of changes after the half-time break and the decision almost immediately delivered as substitute Tim Kleindienst headed a cross from skipper Joshua Kimmich in the back of the net.

Kean missed several opportunities to take the lead back for Italy and Kimmich made sure Italy would pay for it as the German skipper delivered another excellent cross which was headed in by Leon Goretzka to give Die Mannschaft a one-goal advantage ahead of the home leg.

Germany

The favorites to host the 2024-25 Nations League Finals, Germany turned things around after going behind early in the tie as Nagelsmann’s tactical astuteness and the killer instinct of German players powered them through a tough 90-minute period in Milan.

Long-term absentees Marc Andre Ter Stegen and Manuel Neuer will continue to miss crucial action for Die Mannschaft as Baumann is doing a good job in their absence between the sticks. Kai Havertz and Florian Wirtz are also missing due to respective injuries which would decrease the Germans’ output from open play as seen in the first leg in Milan.

Italy

The odds are stacked against Italy now as they trail ahead of the away leg without their main striker and would require a huge effort to qualify for the semi-final of the ongoing UEFA Nations League campaign.

The leading goalscorer in the 2024-25 Serie A season, Mateo Retegui missed the first leg in Milan and won’t be able to travel to Dortmund as well as he has picked up an injury in his right thigh. Luciano Spalletti hasn’t named a replacement yet and might call up Cagliari striker Roberto Piccoli who has scored only 7 goals in 29 Serie A matches so far in the ongoing league season.

Germany vs Italy Under/Over Predictions

The Playoffs aim to facilitate the safest bets for the game. Have a look at the predictions for the game below.

Total goals Over 2.5 @ -125 (MGM Bet): With quality midfielders on both sides, defenses of both teams will be carved open on a regular basis in Dortmund and the fans can expect loads of goals from both sides.

Germany vs Italy Player Picks

Jamal Musiala: Having scored 14 goals and 7 assists across the Bundesliga and the UEFA Champions League in the ongoing season, Jamal Musiala would be looking to improve on his numbers of 7 goals in 39 appearances for the national team.

Sandro Tonali: The Newcastle United midfielder was key to winning the EFL Cup for the Toons and the 24-year old would be hoping to turn the tie away from home for Spalletti’s men.

Germany vs Italy Match Prediction

The 2014 FIFA World Cup champions are in the driving seat with a 2-1 lead and the fierce support expected to back them in Dortmund on Sunday. Nagelsmann would be hoping to play the finals at the Allianz Arena in Munich.

Our Final Prediction: A 1-1 draw is the most likely outcome from the battle of two of the top sides in Europe.

ALSO READ: Spain favorites to win the 2024-25 Nations League: Odds for all teams to lift the trophy

Mohak Arora

A stand-up comedian and a sports journalist with speciality in writing prediction pieces and features on football, cricket, and badminton. Over the last few years, I have contributed pieces to iGaming giants like Parimatch, 1X News, and Melbet.