Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Stanislas Wawrinka Prediction, Odds and Best Bets (Open Occitanie 2026, Round of 16, February 5)

Canadian top seed opens his account against the veteran.

Top seed Felix Auger-Aliassime has suffered a rusty start to the new season, and will be looking to get back on track at the ATP Open Occitanie 2026 in Montpellier. After receiving a bye in the Round of 32, the Canadian sees himself contesting a heated pre-quarterfinal encounter against Swiss legend Stan Wawrinka on Thursday. At the age of 40, Stan the Man is still revolutionizing how we look at age in the sport of tennis. Will the three-time Grand Slam champion cause an upset of epic proportions on French soil?

Felix Auger-Aliassime defeats Alex De Minaur and advances to his first Major semifinal since 2021 US Open ‼️ pic.twitter.com/FofrEis6CD
— ESPN (@espn) September 3, 2025

Auger-Aliassime and Wawrinka will stand across the net for the very first time in Montpellier. The 25-year-old is the current World No. 8 on the ATP circuit, and finished 2025 with a semifinal at the US Open and his maiden entry into the Top-5. He has eight singles championships including three ATP-500 titles. When it comes to attaining success in the golden era of men’s tennis, Wawrinka stands tall among the best. A former World No. 3 himself, the Swiss icon is also an Olympic gold medalist in men’s doubles as well as a Davis Cup champion. Standing at No. 113 in the world at present, Wawrinka has 586 wins and 381 losses throughout his career.

Stan in straights 😎

The 40-year-old defeats Hamad Medjedovic 7-6 6-4 to set up a second round tie with Felix Auger-Aliassime 🍿#OpenOccitanie26 pic.twitter.com/3dDcg7HuzJ
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) February 4, 2026

According to the tennis betting odds, Felix Auger-Aliassime (-335) is the favorite to win this clash as per BetMGM. Stan Wawrinka (+255) will start as the underdog on the BetMGM moneyline. Here’s how we are betting on this Round of 16 encounter at the ATP Open Occitanie 2026, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.

Tournament & Round: ATP Open Occitanie 2026, Round of 16
Surface: Indoor Hard Court
Format: Men’s Singles, Best of Three Sets
Date & Start Time: February 5, Not Before 18:30 Local
Court: Court Patrice Dominguez, Montpellier
Best Bet: Total Number of Tiebreaks >0.5 @ +102 as per BetMGM

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stan Wawrinka Betting Odds

Given below are the latest odds for Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stan Wawrinka from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.

Market	BetMGM	FanDuel
Moneyline	Auger-Aliassime (-335), Wawrinka (+255)	Auger-Aliassime (-320), Wawrinka (+245)
Game Handicap	Auger-Aliassime -3.5 (-114), Wawrinka +3.5 (-112)	Auger-Aliassime -3.5 (-108), Wawrinka +3.5 (-126)
Total Games	>22.5 (-112), <22.5 (-114)	>22.5 (-122), <22.5 (-110)
Set Betting	Auger-Aliassime 2-0 (-121)	Auger-Aliassime 2-0 (-110)

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stan Wawrinka Predictions & Picks

Our Pick: Total Number of Tiebreaks Over 0.5 at +102 Odds

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With the markets showing numerous fluctuations in the moneyline and handicaps, it would be a risk not worth betting on. Auger-Aliassime is the clear favorite to advance to the quarterfinals, but the scoreline remains unclear. The two-time US Open semifinalist has a phenomenal record on hard courts, winning over 85% service games on the surface. Wawrinka is not far behind with a 2026 success rate of 88% on his own service games. He has also served 83 aces in just one month of tennis.

In addition to their strong serves, both players like to adopt an attacking stance while returning. This will make it increasingly hard for them to earn breaks, which is why we are predicting at least one tiebreaker on Thursday. Auger-Aliassime is still returning to full match fitness and Wawrinka played out a confident encounter on Wednesday. The player props and unit plays points towards this being a tight affair in Montpellier.

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Felix Auger-Aliassime Recent Form

Australian Open 2026: Round of 128
United Cup 2026: Round Robin
Nitto ATP Finals 2025: Semifinal
Paris Masters 2025: Final
Swiss Indoors Basel 2025: Quarterfinal

Stan Wawrinka Recent Form

Australian Open 2026: Round of 32
United Cup 2026: 1-4 (Finalist)
Hellenic Championship 2025: Round of 16
Swiss Indoors Basel 2025: Round of 16
Shanghai Masters 2025: Round of 128

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stan Wawrinka Head to Head Record

The head-to-head record between Stan Wawrinka and Felix Auger-Aliassime is unavailable (0-0) at the moment. Stay tuned for further updates.

How to Watch Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stan Wawrinka at the Open Occitanie 2026?

The Open Occitanie 2026 can be streamed live on various platforms and channels, depending on which part of the world you are watching from. This includes Tennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN.

MOST tour level wins after turning 40 since 1990:

Karlovic, 9
Wawrinka, 8
Connors, 8
— José Morgado (@josemorgado) February 4, 2026

Date	February 5, 2026
Time	Not Before 18:30 Local
Tournament	Open Occitanie, Round of 16
Surface	Indoor Hard Court
Court	Court Patrice Dominguez, Montpellier
TV/Streaming	Tennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN.

(Image Credits: Mike Frey, Imagn Images)

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.