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Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Prediction, Odds and Best Bets (ATP Dubai Tennis Championships 2026, Round of 16, February 25)

Sankalp Harikrishnan

Round of 16 action ft. last year’s runner-up in Dubai.

Top seed Felix Auger-Aliassime is looking to reach his third final of the month at this week’s 2026 Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships. The Canadian sensation has a tough Round of 16 fixture against French powerhouse Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard on Wednesday. Having come through three challenging battles since the qualifying draw, the 6’7” youngster will be looking to cause the upset of the tournament in the Middle East. The winner of this match could potentially face the likes of Denis Shapovalov or Arthur Fils in the last eight stage.

At the age of 25, Felix Auger-Aliassime has seemingly found a winning formula on tour. The two-time Grand Slam semifinalist has started his season with a 10-3 record, including a title in Montpellier and runner-up finish in Rotterdam. Currently ranked No. 8 in the world, FAA beat Zhizhen Zhang in Round-1. Meanwhile, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard is a former Top-30 player who has fallen to No. 58 in the world at present. The 22-year-old has two career singles titles and a Wimbledon pre-quarterfinal appearance to his name. He also broke the record for the fastest serve (153 mph) at SW19 in 2025.

According to the tennis betting odds on BetMGM, Felix Auger-Aliassime (-455) is the favorite in this match-up and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (+330) is the underdog for Wednesday’s Round of 16 contest. Here’s how we are betting on this pre-quarterfinal battle between Auger-Aliassime and Mpetshi Perricard at the ATP Dubai Tennis Championships 2026, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.

  • Tournament & Round: ATP Dubai Tennis Championships 2026, Round of 16
  • Surface: Outdoor Hard Court
  • Format: Men’s Singles, Best of Three Sets
  • Date & Start Time: February 25, 
  • Court: Centre Court, Aviation Club Tennis Centre
  • Best Bet: Total Games >23.5 @ -103 as per BetMGM

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Betting Odds

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Given below are the latest odds for Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.

MarketBetMGMFanDuel
MoneylineAuger-Aliassime (-455), Mpetshi Perricard (+330)Auger-Aliassime (-550), Mpetshi Perricard (+390)
Game HandicapAuger-Aliassime -3.5 (+110), Mpetshi Perricard +3.5 (-143)
Total Games>23.5 (-103), <23.5 (-129)
Set BettingAuger-Aliassime 2-0 (-148)

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Predictions & Picks

Our Pick: Total Games Over 23.5 at -103 Odds.

The average ace count in this match is likely to be above the 20 mark. Mpetshi Perricard has won 87% service games this year, striking 180+ aces along the way. Moreover, Auger-Aliassime’s attacking return stance gives him a chance to draw a short reply and create easy putaways. However, he will struggle in groundstroke exchanges as the No. 1 seed is supremely compact on both wings.

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Although we are anticipating a win for Auger-Aliassime, at least one set is likely to go up to 7-5 or 7-6. This is why we are sensing the total games to go over the 23.5 mark, at -103 odds. Moreover, the set-score props and match result is providing negative yields and very obvious outcomes on the pre-match market.

Felix Auger-Aliassime Recent Form

  • ATP Rotterdam Open 2026: Final
  • Open Occitanie 2026: Winner
  • Australian Open 2026: Round of 128
  • United Cup 2026: Round Robin (1-1)

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Recent Form

  • Qatar Open 2026: Round of 32
  • Rotterdam Open 2026: Round of 32
  • Open Occitanie 2026: Round of 32
  • Australian Open 2026: Round of 128
  • ASB Classic Auckland 2026: Quarterfinal

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Head to Head Record

Auger-Aliassime leads the head-to-head against Mpetshi Perricard by 2-1. After the Frenchman took an early lead in the rivalry, FAA won two straight sets encounters in 2025. The Dubai Round of 16 is set to be their first meeting on an outdoor hard court.

EventRoundWinnerScore
2025 StuttgartRound of 16Auger-Aliassime6-4 6-4
2025 HamburgRound of 16Auger-Aliassime6-2 6-4
2024 BaselRound of 16Mpetshi Perricard6-1 7-6(6)

How to Watch Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard at the ATP Dubai Tennis Championships 2026?

The ATP Dubai Tennis Championships 2026 can be streamed live on various platforms and channels, depending on which part of the world you are watching from. This includes Tennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN.

DateFebruary 25, 2026
Time
TournamentATP Dubai Tennis Championships, R16
SurfaceOutdoor Hard Court
CourtCentre Court, Aviation Club Tennis Centre
TV/StreamingTennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN.

(Image Credits: Susan Mullane, Imagn Images)

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.

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