10th career meeting between the former No. 1 and current No. 8 in Dubai.
No. 1 seed Felix Auger-Aliassime will battle No. 3 seed Daniil Medvedev in the 2026 Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships semifinal on Friday. The 25-year-old from Canada is defending runner-up points in the Middle Eastern event this week. On the other hand, Medvedev was the champion here in 2023, and knows these conditions better than most players. With both players leading the tournament outright winner odds, there is a solid chance of this being a potential final. Continue reading as we break down the stats and odds ahead of this thrilling encounter in Dubai.
Felix Auger-Aliassime is arguably one of the most in-form players right now, winning a title and finishing as the runner-up in his last two events. The World No. 8 has a win-loss record of 12-3 in 2026 and 277-174 overall. His scalps include Zhang, Mpetshi Perricard and Lehecka. Daniil Medvedev is a former World No. 1 who won the US Open in 2021. The 30-year-old Russian started his season with a championship run in Brisbane, but fell short at the Australian Open. With 22 career titles, the World No. 11 has bucketloads of experience to beat the young gun.
68 – Since 2017, when Daniil Medvedev reached his first semi-final at ATP-level in Chennai, only Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic have managed more semi-finals in such events than Medvedev (68 – including ATP-NextGen). Marching. #ddftennis | @DDFTennis@atptourpic.twitter.com/3Zj5XyFSvy
According to the tennis betting odds on BetMGM, Felix Auger-Aliassime (-) is the favorite in this match-up and Daniil Medvedev (+) is the underdog for this semifinal contest. Here’s how we are betting on this highly anticipated battle between Auger-Aliassime and Medvedev at the ATP Dubai Tennis Championships 2026, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.
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Tournament & Round: ATP Dubai Tennis Championships 2026, Semifinal
Surface: Outdoor Hard Court
Format: Men’s Singles, Best of Three Sets
Date & Start Time: February 27,
Court: Centre Court, Aviation Club Tennis Centre
Best Bet: Daniil Medvedev -1.5 Games (-118, FanDuel).
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev Betting Odds
Given below are the latest odds for Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.
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Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev Predictions & Picks
Our Pick:Daniil Medvedev -1.5 Games (-118, FanDuel)
The market is pricing this as near coin-flip territory with a slight lean toward Medvedev, and that reflects matchup history more than recent form. Auger-Aliassime has been sharper week-to-week in 2026, but Medvedev’s ability to absorb pace remains a structural problem for FAA’s serve-first patterns.
Medvedev’s edge lies in rally tolerance and return depth. If he consistently neutralizes the first strike, he typically forces lower-percentage aggression from Auger-Aliassime. On Dubai hard court, that dynamic favors Medvedev over two tight sets or a controlled three-set win.
Felix Auger-Aliassime Recent Form
Rotterdam Open 2026: Final
Open Occitanie 2026: Winner
Australian Open 2026: Round of 128
United Cup 2026: Round Robin (1-1)
Daniil Medvedev Recent Form
Qatar Open 2026: Round of 16
Rotterdam Open 2026: Round of 32
Australian Open 2026: Round of 16
Brisbane International 2026: Winner
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev Head to Head Record
Daniil Medvedev leads the head-to-head against Felix Auger-Aliassime by 7-2. While the Russian won the opening seven matches of this rivalry, FAA made a mini comeback since late 2024 by beating Medvedev twice.
Event
Round
Winner
Score
2025 Doha
Quarterfinal
Felix Auger-Aliassime
6-3 RET.
2024 Paris Olympics
Round of 16
Felix Auger-Aliassime
6-3 7-6(5)
2024 Australian Open
Round of 32
Daniil Medvedev
6-3 6-4 6-3
2023 Doha
Semifinal
Daniil Medvedev
6-4 7-6(7)
2023 Rotterdam
Quarterfinal
Daniil Medvedev
6-2 6-4
2022 Australian Open
Quarterfinal
Daniil Medvedev
6-7(4) 3-6 7-6(2) 7-5 6-4
2022 ATP Cup
Semifinal
Daniil Medvedev
6-4 6-0
2021 US Open
Semifinal
Daniil Medvedev
6-4 7-5 6-2
2018 Toronto
Round of 32
Daniil Medvedev
3-6 6-4 7-6(7)
How to Watch Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev at the ATP Dubai Tennis Championships 2026?
A 🔟th career meeting between Auger-Aliassime & Medvedev 😯
While Daniil won their first seven meetings, Felix won the last two. 👀
The ATP Dubai Tennis Championships 2026 can be streamed live on various platforms and channels, depending on which part of the world you are watching from. This includes Tennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN.
A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.
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