The Golden State Warriors (28‑25) are looking to snap a three‑game home losing streak when they host the Memphis Grizzlies (20‑31) at Chase Center. Golden State enters as a 7‑point favorite, with the total set at 226.5.
Stephen Curry continues to lead the Warriors’ offense at 27.2 points per game, while Memphis leans on Santi Aldama and Cam Spencer in the absence of Ja Morant. Both teams average over 115 points per game, suggesting a high‑scoring contest. Golden State has won 22 of 38 games as favorites this season, while Memphis has struggled as underdogs, winning just nine of 34.
Golden State’s offensive balance and home‑court advantage make them the best bet to cover the spread. The Warriors average 115.6 points per game and are 21‑7 overall when scoring more than 117.5 points.
Memphis, meanwhile, allows 117.5 points per game and has struggled defensively, especially without Ja Morant. The Grizzlies are just 5‑9 ATS when underdogs of 7 or more, while Golden State is 10‑5‑1 ATS in that role.
With Curry healthy and the Warriors shooting 46% from the field, they should exploit Memphis’ defensive lapses. Expect Golden State to control tempo and pull away late, ending their home skid with a convincing win.
This parlay ties together the stars. Curry’s scoring is reliable, while Aldama remains Memphis’ primary option. Pairing those with a Warriors win creates a logical flow: Golden State wins behind Curry, while Aldama keeps Memphis competitive.
The longshot parlay banks on Golden State pulling away. Podziemski’s perimeter shooting and Spencer’s playmaking align with a high‑scoring game. If the Warriors dominate, these props fit the blowout narrative.
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Trends to Know for Warriors vs. Grizzlies
Warriors are 10‑5‑1 ATS when favored by 7 or more.
Grizzlies are 5‑9 ATS when underdogs of 7 or more.
Warriors games have gone Over in 56.9% of contests.
Grizzlies games have gone Over in 47.1% of contests.
Golden State is 21‑7 overall when scoring more than 117.5 points.
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