Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds & How to Watch – Wednesday, January 28

The Minnesota Timberwolves (28‑19) head to Dallas to face the Mavericks (19‑27) on Wednesday, January 28, 2026, at American Airlines Center. Minnesota enters as a strong 7‑point favorite, despite dropping three straight road games.

The over/under is set at 232.5 points, reflecting both teams’ offensive potential. Anthony Edwards leads the Timberwolves with 29.7 points per game, while Cooper Flagg has emerged as a key contributor for Dallas.

Minnesota has won 25 of 36 games as the favorite this season, while Dallas has struggled as an underdog, winning just 11 of 29 such contests. With national coverage on FDSN, KFAA, and WFAA, this Western Conference clash offers bettors a compelling mix of star power, recent trends, and playoff implications.

Best Bet for Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

Best Bet: Mavericks +7 (-110) at DraftKings

Minnesota has been favored by 7 points or more 22 times this season, but they’ve gone just 8‑14 ATS in those matchups. Their recent road struggles (three consecutive losses) raise questions about their ability to cover a sizable spread away from home.

Dallas, meanwhile, has been underdogs by 7 or more points 13 times and has covered in 8 of those contests, showing resilience in tough spots. The Mavericks average 114.3 points per game, exactly matching Minnesota’s defensive allowance, and they’ve gone 12‑5 overall when scoring more than 114.3 points.

With Anthony Edwards questionable due to injury management, Minnesota’s offensive ceiling could be limited. Dallas’ home ATS record (14‑11‑1) also suggests value in backing the Mavericks to keep this game close. The Timberwolves may win outright, but the Mavericks +7 feels like the sharper play.

Same‑Game Parlay Picks

3‑Leg SGP (Safer)

Mavericks +7
Anthony Edwards 25+ points
Cooper Flagg 15+ points

Combined Odds: +260

This parlay leans into both teams’ stars. Edwards, if active, remains Minnesota’s offensive engine, while Flagg has become a reliable scorer for Dallas. Pairing their production with Dallas covering creates a correlated outcome where the game stays competitive.

Longshot SGP

Mavericks +7
Rudy Gobert 12+ rebounds
Naji Marshall 2+ made threes

Combined Odds: +720

This longshot ties together a game script where Dallas keeps it close thanks to Marshall’s perimeter shooting, while Gobert controls the paint. If both hit their marks, the Mavericks covering becomes even more likely.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Odds & Top Player Props

Main Odds Table

Team	Spread	Moneyline	Total
Minnesota Timberwolves	-7 (-110)	-270	O 232.5 (-108)
Dallas Mavericks	+7 (-110)	+220	U 232.5 (-112)

The above odds are sourced from FanDuel.

Player Props

Anthony Edwards points O/U 29.5 (-115)
Cooper Flagg points O/U 18.5 (-110)
Rudy Gobert rebounds O/U 11.5 (-112)

Odds updated: January 28, 2026 – 2:00 p.m. ET. Lines may move throughout the day.

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Trends to Know for Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

Timberwolves are 8‑14 ATS when favored by 7 points or more.
Mavericks are 8‑5 ATS as underdogs of 7 points or more.
Minnesota has won 25 of 36 games as favorites this season.
Dallas has won 11 of 29 games as underdogs (37.9%).
Timberwolves are 21‑4 overall when scoring more than 116.5 points.
Mavericks are 12‑5 overall when scoring more than 114.3 points.

Latest Injuries & NBA Injury Report

Team	Player	Injury	Status
Minnesota Timberwolves	Anthony Edwards	Injury Management	Questionable
Minnesota Timberwolves	Terrence Shannon	Foot	Out
Minnesota Timberwolves	Leonard Miller	Back	Questionable
Dallas Mavericks	Dereck Lively II	Foot	Out for Season
Dallas Mavericks	Dante Exum	Knee	Out for Season
Dallas Mavericks	Anthony Davis	Hand	Out
Dallas Mavericks	Kyrie Irving	Knee	Out
Dallas Mavericks	Cooper Flagg	Injury Management	Questionable

What time is Timberwolves vs. Mavericks?

The Timberwolves vs. Mavericks game tips off at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 28, 2026.

Where is Timberwolves vs. Mavericks being played?

The matchup will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas.

How can I watch Timberwolves vs. Mavericks on TV and live stream?

Fans can catch the game on FDSN, KFAA, and WFAA, with streaming available via NBA League Pass.

Game Info Table

Detail	Info
Date	Wednesday, January 28, 2026
Time	8:30 p.m. ET
Arena	American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
TV/Streaming	FDSN, KFAA, WFAA

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