The Toronto Raptors (28–19) head to Oklahoma City riding a three‑game road winning streak, but they face a daunting challenge against the league‑leading Thunder (37–9). Oklahoma City is listed as a 12.5‑point favorite, with the total set at 225.5.
The Thunder have been dominant at home, boasting a 20–4 record, while Toronto has proven resilient as an underdog, winning 11 of 20 games in that role. Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander continues to pace the Thunder with MVP‑caliber numbers, while Scottie Barnes and Brandon Ingram lead Toronto’s balanced attack.
The Raptors have covered three straight spreads, but Oklahoma City’s defense, ranked first in points allowed, makes this matchup a true test. Bettors will weigh whether Toronto’s recent form can keep them competitive or if the Thunder’s efficiency will overwhelm them.
Best Bet: Raptors +12.5 (-110) at DraftKings
While Oklahoma City is the superior team, Toronto’s ATS profile makes them a strong play. The Raptors have covered three straight spreads and are 15–9 ATS on the road. Their offense averages 114.3 points per game, which is enough to challenge the Thunder’s defense.
Oklahoma City has been favored in 46 games and won 37, but they are just 11–9 ATS when favored by 12.5 or more. Toronto’s balanced scoring, led by Barnes and Ingram, should keep them within striking distance.
The total of 225.5 is modest compared to their combined average of 235.6 points, suggesting value on the over. Still, the best bet remains Raptors +12.5, as their recent form and ability to score efficiently should allow them to cover against a Thunder team that may ease off late in a comfortable win.
Combined Odds: +250
This safer parlay leans into Toronto’s ability to cover, SGA’s scoring consistency, and the likelihood of a high‑scoring contest. The correlation is clear: if SGA scores heavily and the game trends over, Toronto’s offense should keep them close enough to cover.
Combined Odds: +900
This longshot ties together Toronto’s cover with Barnes’ scoring and Holmgren’s rebounding. If the Thunder’s offense stalls below 119, Toronto’s chances of covering improve significantly, creating a high‑value payout.
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | -12.5 (-106) | -620 | O 225.5 (-110) |
| Raptors | +12.5 (-114) | +420 | U 225.5 (-110) |
The above odds are sourced from FanDuel.
Odds updated: January 25, 2026 – 12:00 p.m. ET. Lines may move throughout the day.
| Team | Player | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | Nikola Topic | Groin | Out |
| Thunder | Jalen Williams | Thigh | Out |
| Thunder | Ajay Mitchell | Hip | Day‑To‑Day |
| Thunder | Alex Caruso | Adductor | Day‑To‑Day |
| Thunder | Aaron Wiggins | Groin | Day‑To‑Day |
| Thunder | Thomas Sorber | Knee | Out For Season |
| Thunder | Isaiah Hartenstein | Calf | Out |
| Raptors | Jakob Poeltl | Back | Day‑To‑Day |
| Raptors | Collin Murray‑Boyles | Thumb | Day‑To‑Day |
| Raptors | Ja’Kobe Walter | Hip | Day‑To‑Day |
| Raptors | Immanuel Quickley | Ankle | Questionable |
The Thunder vs. Raptors game tips off at 7:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 25, 2026.
The game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
Fans can watch the game on FDSOK and TSN, with streaming options available through regional sports networks.
| Detail | Info |
|---|---|
| Date | January 25, 2026 |
| Time | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| Arena | Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma |
| TV/Streaming | FDSOK, TSN |
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