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Thunder vs. Raptors Prediction, Odds & How to Watch – Sunday, January 25

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The Toronto Raptors (28–19) head to Oklahoma City riding a three‑game road winning streak, but they face a daunting challenge against the league‑leading Thunder (37–9). Oklahoma City is listed as a 12.5‑point favorite, with the total set at 225.5.

The Thunder have been dominant at home, boasting a 20–4 record, while Toronto has proven resilient as an underdog, winning 11 of 20 games in that role. Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander continues to pace the Thunder with MVP‑caliber numbers, while Scottie Barnes and Brandon Ingram lead Toronto’s balanced attack.

The Raptors have covered three straight spreads, but Oklahoma City’s defense, ranked first in points allowed, makes this matchup a true test. Bettors will weigh whether Toronto’s recent form can keep them competitive or if the Thunder’s efficiency will overwhelm them.

Best Bet for Thunder vs. Raptors

Best Bet: Raptors +12.5 (-110) at DraftKings

While Oklahoma City is the superior team, Toronto’s ATS profile makes them a strong play. The Raptors have covered three straight spreads and are 15–9 ATS on the road. Their offense averages 114.3 points per game, which is enough to challenge the Thunder’s defense.

Oklahoma City has been favored in 46 games and won 37, but they are just 11–9 ATS when favored by 12.5 or more. Toronto’s balanced scoring, led by Barnes and Ingram, should keep them within striking distance.

The total of 225.5 is modest compared to their combined average of 235.6 points, suggesting value on the over. Still, the best bet remains Raptors +12.5, as their recent form and ability to score efficiently should allow them to cover against a Thunder team that may ease off late in a comfortable win.

Same‑Game Parlay Picks

3‑Leg SGP (Safer)

  • Raptors +12.5
  • Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander 25+ points
  • Game total Over 225.5

Combined Odds: +250

This safer parlay leans into Toronto’s ability to cover, SGA’s scoring consistency, and the likelihood of a high‑scoring contest. The correlation is clear: if SGA scores heavily and the game trends over, Toronto’s offense should keep them close enough to cover.

Longshot SGP

  • Raptors +12.5
  • Scottie Barnes 20+ points
  • Chet Holmgren 10+ rebounds
  • Thunder Under 118.5 points

Combined Odds: +900

This longshot ties together Toronto’s cover with Barnes’ scoring and Holmgren’s rebounding. If the Thunder’s offense stalls below 119, Toronto’s chances of covering improve significantly, creating a high‑value payout.

Thunder vs. Raptors Odds & Top Player Props

Main Odds Table

TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
Thunder-12.5 (-106)-620O 225.5 (-110)
Raptors+12.5 (-114)+420U 225.5 (-110)

The above odds are sourced from FanDuel.

Player Props

  • Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander points O/U 32.5 (-115)
  • Scottie Barnes points O/U 19.5 (-110)
  • Chet Holmgren rebounds O/U 9.5 (+100)

Odds updated: January 25, 2026 – 12:00 p.m. ET. Lines may move throughout the day.

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Trends to Know for Thunder vs. Raptors

  • Raptors have covered three straight spreads.
  • Thunder are 11–9 ATS when favored by 12.5+ points.
  • Raptors are 15–9 ATS on the road.
  • Thunder games have gone over in 25 of 47 contests.
  • Raptors games have gone over in 24 of 47 contests.
  • Thunder are 33–3 when scoring more than 112.2 points.

Latest Injuries & NBA Injury Report

TeamPlayerInjuryStatus
ThunderNikola TopicGroinOut
ThunderJalen WilliamsThighOut
ThunderAjay MitchellHipDay‑To‑Day
ThunderAlex CarusoAdductorDay‑To‑Day
ThunderAaron WigginsGroinDay‑To‑Day
ThunderThomas SorberKneeOut For Season
ThunderIsaiah HartensteinCalfOut
RaptorsJakob PoeltlBackDay‑To‑Day
RaptorsCollin Murray‑BoylesThumbDay‑To‑Day
RaptorsJa’Kobe WalterHipDay‑To‑Day
RaptorsImmanuel QuickleyAnkleQuestionable

What time is Thunder vs. Raptors?

The Thunder vs. Raptors game tips off at 7:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 25, 2026.

Where is Thunder vs. Raptors being played?

The game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

How can I watch Thunder vs. Raptors on TV and live stream?

Fans can watch the game on FDSOK and TSN, with streaming options available through regional sports networks.

Game Info Table

DetailInfo
DateJanuary 25, 2026
Time7:00 p.m. ET
ArenaPaycom Center, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
TV/StreamingFDSOK, TSN

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