Rockets vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds & How to Watch – Saturday, January 31

The Houston Rockets (29‑17) welcome the Dallas Mavericks (19‑29) to Toyota Center on Saturday, January 31, 2026, in a primetime clash on ABC. Houston enters as a sizable 11.5‑point favorite, riding strong form with a 7‑3 record in its last 10 games.

Dallas, meanwhile, is desperate to halt a three‑game losing streak and has struggled to find consistency on the road. The over/under is set at 220.5 points, a number both teams have eclipsed frequently this season.

Houston’s balanced attack, led by Kevin Durant and Alperen Sengun, has powered them to one of the league’s best records at home (16‑3). Dallas counters with Cooper Flagg and Naji Marshall, but injuries to Kyrie Irving, Anthony Davis, and Dereck Lively II have left them shorthanded.

With Houston’s defense ranked second in points allowed and Dallas’ offense averaging 114.2 points per game, this matchup sets the stage for a compelling battle between firepower and resilience.

Best Bet for Rockets vs. Mavericks

Best Bet: Rockets -11.5 (-110) at DraftKings

Houston has proven to be one of the league’s most reliable teams when favored, winning 27 of 42 contests as the betting favorite this season. While their ATS record when favored by double digits (5‑7) is less convincing, the Rockets’ home dominance (16‑3 straight up) suggests they are well positioned to cover against a depleted Mavericks squad.

Dallas has been underdogs in 31 games, winning just 11 (35.5%), and they enter this matchup missing key contributors like Kyrie Irving and Anthony Davis. Houston’s offense averages 116.1 points per game, nearly matching Dallas’ defensive allowance of 116.7, while their defense ranks second in the league at 110 points allowed.

The Rockets are also 17‑6 overall when scoring more than 116.7 points, a threshold they are likely to surpass against Dallas’ weakened defense. With Kevin Durant’s scoring consistency, Sengun’s interior presence, and Houston’s rebounding dominance (first in the NBA at 49.2 per game).

The Rockets should control the pace and cover the spread. Expect Houston to extend Dallas’ losing streak and deliver a convincing win at home.

Same‑Game Parlay Picks

3‑Leg SGP (Safer)

Rockets -11.5
Kevin Durant 25+ points
Cooper Flagg 15+ points

Combined Odds: +275

This parlay leans into the stars on both sides. Durant has been Houston’s offensive anchor, while Flagg has emerged as Dallas’ most reliable scorer. If both hit their marks, Houston covering becomes more likely, as the Rockets’ defense can contain Dallas’ secondary options.

Longshot SGP

Rockets -11.5
Alperen Sengun 10+ rebounds
Naji Marshall 2+ made threes

Combined Odds: +720

This longshot ties together a game script where Houston wins behind Sengun’s rebounding dominance and Marshall’s perimeter shooting. If Sengun controls the glass and Marshall contributes from deep, Houston’s cover becomes even more probable.

Rockets vs. Mavericks Odds & Top Player Props

Main Odds Table

Team	Spread	Moneyline	Total
Dallas Mavericks	+11.5 (-110)	+430	O 220.5 (-110)
Houston Rockets	-11.5 (-110)	-590	U 220.5 (-110)

The above odds are sourced from FanDuel.

Player Props

Kevin Durant points O/U 25.5 (-110)
Alperen Sengun points O/U 18.5 (-112)
Cooper Flagg points O/U 19.5 (+100)

Odds updated: January 31, 2026 – 12:00 p.m. ET. Lines may move throughout the day.

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Trends to Know for Rockets vs. Mavericks

Rockets are 27‑15 as favorites this season, winning 64.3% of those games.
Mavericks are 11‑20 as underdogs, covering 3‑2 ATS when underdogs by 11.5 or more.
Houston is 17‑6 overall when scoring more than 116.7 points.
Dallas is 16‑13 overall when scoring more than 110 points.
Mavericks are 3‑0 ATS in their last three meetings with Houston.
Rockets have gone over the total in 41.7% of games this season.

Latest Injuries & NBA Injury Report

Team	Player	Injury	Status
Dallas Mavericks	Anthony Davis	Finger	Out
Dallas Mavericks	Dereck Lively II	Foot	Out
Dallas Mavericks	Kyrie Irving	Knee	Out
Dallas Mavericks	Dante Exum	Knee	Out
Houston Rockets	Steven Adams	Ankle	Out
Houston Rockets	Fred VanVleet	ACL	Out

What time is Rockets vs. Mavericks?

The Rockets vs. Mavericks game tips off at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 31, 2026.

Where is Rockets vs. Mavericks being played?

The matchup will be played at Toyota Center in Houston, Texas.

How can I watch Rockets vs. Mavericks on TV and live stream?

Fans can catch the game on ABC, with streaming available via NBA League Pass.

Game Info Table

Detail	Info
Date	Saturday, January 31, 2026
Time	8:30 p.m. ET
Arena	Toyota Center, Houston, Texas
TV/Streaming	ABC

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