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NBA Player Props: Our 3 Best Bets for Saturday, January 3, 2026

Akash

Tonight’s NBA player props market is loaded with opportunities across the January 3 slate, which features eight games. With stars like Jaylen Brown, Kevin Durant, and Anthony Edwards headlining, bettors have plenty of angles to attack. We’ve narrowed down our best bets today to three props we feel confident in, based on usage, matchup, and recent form.

Check out all of our NBA picks & predictions for tonight’s slate.

Best NBA player props for today

PlayerMarket & lineOdds & bookMatchup
Jaylen BrownOver 5.5 assists-110 at DraftKingsCeltics at Clippers
Kevin DurantOver 20.5 points-120 at FanDuelMavericks vs Rockets
Anthony EdwardsOver 27.5 points-115 at BetMGMTimberwolves at Heat

Prop #1 – Jaylen Brown Over 5.5

Line: Over 5.5 assists (-110) at Assists

Jaylen Brown’s assist line is set at 5.5 for the Celtics’ matchup against the Clippers, but this number looks inflated compared to his season averages. Brown is producing 4.6 assists per game, and sportsbooks opened the market with money leaning toward the under at -124.

The Clippers defend wings effectively and rank among the league’s top ten in opponent assist percentage, which makes it difficult for secondary playmakers like Brown to rack up dimes. He has fallen short of 5.5 assists in most recent outings, with his median closer to four or five. Given the defensive matchup and market shading, the under appears to be the stronger angle here.

Prop #2 – Kevin Durant Over 20.5 Points

Line: Over 20.5 Points (-120) at FanDuel

Kevin Durant enters the Rockets’ clash with the Mavericks carrying a scoring line of 20.5 points. Durant has been a consistent offensive force for Houston, regularly surpassing the 20‑point mark and serving as both scorer and facilitator during the team’s current four‑game win streak.

The Mavericks, meanwhile, have dropped four straight and continue to struggle defensively, particularly inside, which opens opportunities for Durant’s mid‑range and rim attacks. With a close spread expected and Houston’s offensive efficiency trending upward, Durant’s usage should remain high. This makes the over on 20.5 points a playable option supported by both form and matchup.

Prop #3 – Anthony Edwards Over 27.5 Points

Line: Over 27.5 points (-115) at BetMGM

Anthony Edwards’ scoring line sits at 27.5 points for the Timberwolves’ meeting with the Heat. Edwards is averaging 27.5 points per game this season and has been even hotter of late, posting 29.3 points per game across his last ten contests with multiple 30‑point performances.

Miami’s defense is among the league’s best, but Edwards thrives in isolation and has cleared this number in seven of his last ten games. If Bam Adebayo is limited, the Heat’s rim protection could weaken further, giving Edwards more room to attack. His recent form and heavy usage suggest a slight lean to the over, though Miami’s defensive strength remains a factor to consider.

Same-Game Parlay Note

If you’re building an SGP, consider pairing Edwards’ points with the game total over 220.5 – both correlate positively in a high-paced matchup.

Recap Betting Card (Jan 3, 2026)

  • Jaylen Brown Under 5.5 assists
  • Kevin Durant Over 20.5 points
  • Anthony Edwards Over 27.5 points

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