Tonight’s NBA player props market is loaded with opportunities across the January 3 slate, which features eight games. With stars like Jaylen Brown, Kevin Durant, and Anthony Edwards headlining, bettors have plenty of angles to attack. We’ve narrowed down our best bets today to three props we feel confident in, based on usage, matchup, and recent form.
Check out all of our NBA picks & predictions for tonight’s slate.
| Player | Market & line | Odds & book | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | Over 5.5 assists | -110 at DraftKings | Celtics at Clippers |
| Kevin Durant | Over 20.5 points | -120 at FanDuel | Mavericks vs Rockets |
| Anthony Edwards | Over 27.5 points | -115 at BetMGM | Timberwolves at Heat |
Line: Over 5.5 assists (-110) at Assists
Jaylen Brown’s assist line is set at 5.5 for the Celtics’ matchup against the Clippers, but this number looks inflated compared to his season averages. Brown is producing 4.6 assists per game, and sportsbooks opened the market with money leaning toward the under at -124.
The Clippers defend wings effectively and rank among the league’s top ten in opponent assist percentage, which makes it difficult for secondary playmakers like Brown to rack up dimes. He has fallen short of 5.5 assists in most recent outings, with his median closer to four or five. Given the defensive matchup and market shading, the under appears to be the stronger angle here.
Line: Over 20.5 Points (-120) at FanDuel
Kevin Durant enters the Rockets’ clash with the Mavericks carrying a scoring line of 20.5 points. Durant has been a consistent offensive force for Houston, regularly surpassing the 20‑point mark and serving as both scorer and facilitator during the team’s current four‑game win streak.
The Mavericks, meanwhile, have dropped four straight and continue to struggle defensively, particularly inside, which opens opportunities for Durant’s mid‑range and rim attacks. With a close spread expected and Houston’s offensive efficiency trending upward, Durant’s usage should remain high. This makes the over on 20.5 points a playable option supported by both form and matchup.
Line: Over 27.5 points (-115) at BetMGM
Anthony Edwards’ scoring line sits at 27.5 points for the Timberwolves’ meeting with the Heat. Edwards is averaging 27.5 points per game this season and has been even hotter of late, posting 29.3 points per game across his last ten contests with multiple 30‑point performances.
Miami’s defense is among the league’s best, but Edwards thrives in isolation and has cleared this number in seven of his last ten games. If Bam Adebayo is limited, the Heat’s rim protection could weaken further, giving Edwards more room to attack. His recent form and heavy usage suggest a slight lean to the over, though Miami’s defensive strength remains a factor to consider.
If you’re building an SGP, consider pairing Edwards’ points with the game total over 220.5 – both correlate positively in a high-paced matchup.
nba
nfl
wnba We use cookies for ads and to improve your experience. By continuing on the site, you agree to our Privacy Policy. Read more about it